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Suns Outpace Warriors 131-122 Behind Third-Quarter Surge

Phoenix beat Golden State 131-122 at Mortgage Matchup Center, using a 45-point third quarter and a 33-assist night to secure its first win of the regular season. The Suns overcame 17 turnovers by shooting 50-for-86 from the field and controlling the game’s offensive flow after halftime.

CourtFrame
5 min read

Key Takeaways

  • 1Phoenix Suns beat Golden State Warriors 131–122 at Mortgage Matchup Center, a 9-point margin.
  • 2The third quarter decided it: Phoenix Suns won it 45–38, a 7-point swing.
  • 3Phoenix Suns led 57–54 at the break and never gave the lead back.
  • 4The two teams combined for 253 points.
  • 5The CourtFrame model picked Phoenix Suns at 58.5% confidence — the pick was correct.

The Phoenix Suns earned their first win of the regular season on October 25, beating the Golden State Warriors 131-122 at Mortgage Matchup Center in a game shaped by shot quality, ball movement and a decisive third-quarter separation.

Golden State led 25-22 after the first quarter, but Phoenix changed the terms of the game in the middle periods. The Suns scored 35 points in the second quarter and then produced a 45-point third quarter, turning a tight first half into a game Golden State spent the fourth quarter chasing.

Phoenix entered at 0-1 and Golden State at 0-2, with both teams still searching for early-season stability. The Suns had three days of rest and only one game in the previous seven days, while the Warriors were playing on one day of rest in a back-to-back spot after two games in the previous seven days. That context showed most clearly after halftime, when Phoenix’s pace and half-court execution put sustained pressure on a Warriors rotation already missing Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis.

Phoenix’s passing created the separation

The clearest statistical difference was Phoenix’s ability to convert possessions into clean looks. The Suns finished with 33 assists on 50 made field goals, while Golden State had 24 assists on 41 makes. Phoenix shot 50-for-86 from the field, a level of efficiency that allowed the Suns to withstand their own 17 turnovers.

The Warriors generated enough perimeter volume to stay within range, making 17 of 39 from 3-point range. Phoenix countered with broader offensive balance: 50 made field goals, 14 made 3s and 17 made free throws. The Suns did not need to win the possession battle cleanly because their shot-making and passing were more reliable across the final three quarters.

The third quarter decided the game. Golden State scored 38 in the period, which would normally be enough to flip momentum on the road. Phoenix answered with 45, its highest-scoring quarter of the night, and carried that offensive rhythm into a fourth quarter where the Warriors never erased the deficit.

Golden State’s offense had volume, but not enough resistance

Golden State’s 122 points were built on 91 field-goal attempts, 39 3-point attempts and 32 free-throw attempts. The Warriors also won the rebounding margin 44-42, but those advantages did not overcome Phoenix’s superior field-goal conversion and assist creation.

The Warriors committed 17 turnovers, matching Phoenix’s total, and finished with nine steals and four blocks. The defensive activity was present, but it did not translate into enough disruption once Phoenix settled into its passing game. The Suns had 33 assists despite Golden State’s pressure, which points to Phoenix solving the first layer of defense and forcing rotations behind it.

Stephen Curry entered as Golden State’s leading established scorer at 23.5 points per game through two games, while Y. Lendeborg had opened the season averaging 18.7 points, 8.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists through three games. With Jimmy Butler III out following right ACL repair surgery, Moses Moody out after left patellar tendon repair surgery and Kristaps Porzingis not with the team, Golden State needed its available creators to carry a heavy offensive burden. The Warriors scored enough to compete, but they did not get enough stops to make that scoring hold up.

Booker-led Suns fit the pregame profile at home

Devin Booker entered the night averaging 33 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists through two games, giving Phoenix the clearest individual scoring anchor in the matchup. The Suns also had Dillon Brooks at 12.5 points per game, Miles Bridges at 12 points per game, Luke Kennard at 11 points in his lone appearance and Jalen Green at 11 points per game through two games.

Phoenix’s injury situation left the frontcourt short-handed, with Mark Williams out after left shoulder surgery and Oso Ighodaro doubtful because of a right oblique strain. Luke Kennard was questionable with left knee tendinopathy. Even with those availability concerns, the Suns produced 42 rebounds, five blocks and enough offensive spacing to score 131.

The result aligned with the pregame expectation that Phoenix held the stronger position at home. The market implied Phoenix at 77.3 percent before tipoff, and the Suns had already won their only home split while averaging 131 points in that setting. Golden State entered 0-2 away from home while averaging 113.5 points in those games, and the Warriors allowed Phoenix to reach exactly 131 again.

What the result means

Phoenix moved to 1-1 by showing that its offense can absorb turnovers when the passing volume and finishing are this sharp. The Suns’ 33 assists were the defining number because they reflected a team creating advantages collectively rather than relying only on isolation scoring.

Golden State fell to 0-3 despite scoring 122 and making 17 3-pointers. The Warriors’ issue was not offensive ambition; it was defensive containment. Allowing 50 made field goals and a 45-point third quarter on the second night of a back-to-back left too little margin, even with strong 3-point volume and 32 free-throw attempts.

For Phoenix, the win provided an early regular-season correction after an 0-1 start. For Golden State, the opening stretch now includes three losses, a depleted injury report and a defense that has yet to support the scoring output required to win high-possession games.

Game Data

Quarter-by-quarter score, Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors25293830122
Phoenix Suns22354529131
Date
October 25, 2026
Competition
NBA
Venue
Mortgage Matchup Center
Status
Game Finished

CourtFrame model, before tip-off

Picked Phoenix Suns at 58.5% confidence — pick hit

Published before the game and scored against the result afterwards, hit or miss. How the model works

What the pick was built on

  • Both teams enter with no games played, no reported significant injuries, and identical rest, so there is no form or fatigue edge to weigh
  • Neither team has significant reported injuries, so there is no injury-driven performance or replacement-production adjustment

Top Performers

Full box score →

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?

Phoenix Suns won 131–122, played on October 25, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center.

Who won Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?

Phoenix Suns, by 9 points in the NBA.

Which quarter decided Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?

The third quarter. Phoenix Suns won it 45–38, the largest swing of the game at 7 points.

What does CourtFrame's model predict for Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?

The model favoured Phoenix Suns with 58.5% confidence, and that pick was correct. Picks are published before tip-off and scored against the result.

Where was Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns played?

Mortgage Matchup Center, a NBA fixture.