CourtFrame
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Euroleague

Euroleague Predictions

Win probabilities from the CourtFrame model

Friday, October 30

Euroleague•Regular season · Round 9•7:30 PM
Virtus BolognaHome · 4–3
VS
BesiktasAway · 3–4

CourtFrame model · Lean

Virtus Bologna

Projected margin: Virtus Bologna by 7.5

59%Win probability
Virtus Bologna 59%41% Besiktas
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Virtus Bologna the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Virtus Bologna 9th, Besiktas 14th.
  • ▸Virtus Bologna: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Virtus Bologna
  • Elo
    53%
  • Logistic
    58%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    59%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    59%
  • Gradient boosting
    53%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    54%
  • LLM panel
    60%

Power Index

Virtus Bologna59.9↑0.8#9
Besiktas39.7↑1.5#14
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Virtus Bologna4–3
WWWWL
Besiktas3–4
LWLWL
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 9•7:30 PM
BarcelonaHome · 5–3
VS
ValenciaAway · 6–2

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Barcelona

Projected margin: Barcelona by 2.6

52%Win probability
Barcelona 52%48% Valencia
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Barcelona the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Valencia 5th, Barcelona 11th.
  • ▸Barcelona: L-W-L-W-W in the last 5.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Barcelona
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    51%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    50%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    50%
  • Gradient boosting
    50%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    51%
  • LLM panel
    33%

Power Index

Barcelona53.1↑7.0#11
Valencia75.1↑4.4#5
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Barcelona5–3
LWLWW
3 days rest
Valencia6–2
WLLWW
3 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 9•7:15 PM
OlympiacosHome · 5–2
VS
Olimpia MilanoAway · 1–7

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Olympiacos

Projected margin: Olympiacos by 15.8

92%Win probability
Olympiacos 92%8% Olimpia Milano
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Olympiacos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Olympiacos 3rd, Olimpia Milano 20th.
  • ▸Olympiacos: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Olympiacos
  • Elo
    87%
  • Logistic
    91%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    93%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    93%
  • Gradient boosting
    95%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    94%
  • LLM panel
    73%

Power Index

Olympiacos88.5↑0.6#3
Olimpia Milano0.0#20
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Olympiacos5–2
LWWWL
7 days rest
Olimpia Milano1–7
LLLLL
3 days rest
Game page →

Thursday, October 29

Euroleague•Regular season · Round 9•7:45 PM
Real MadridHome · 5–3
VS
FenerbahceAway · 6–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Real Madrid

Projected margin: Real Madrid by 5.7

63%Win probability
Real Madrid 63%37% Fenerbahce
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Real Madrid the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Fenerbahce 4th, Real Madrid 7th.
  • ▸Real Madrid: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Real Madrid
  • Elo
    66%
  • Logistic
    65%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    65%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    65%
  • Gradient boosting
    64%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    64%
  • LLM panel
    43%

Power Index

Real Madrid71.0↑6.9#7
Fenerbahce88.0↓12.0#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Real Madrid5–3
WWWWW
2 days rest
Fenerbahce6–2
LWWWL
2 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 9•7:05 PM
Maccabi Tel AvivHome · 2–6
VS
ParisAway · 2–6

CourtFrame model · Lean

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Projected margin: Maccabi Tel Aviv by 1.6

56%Win probability
Maccabi Tel Aviv 56%44% Paris
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Paris 16th, Maccabi Tel Aviv 18th.
  • ▸Maccabi Tel Aviv: W-L-W-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Maccabi Tel Aviv
  • Elo
    59%
  • Logistic
    55%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    52%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    53%
  • Gradient boosting
    56%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    56%
  • LLM panel
    64%

Power Index

Maccabi Tel Aviv19.4↓4.4#18
Paris22.4↑15.9#16
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Maccabi Tel Aviv2–6
WLWLL
2 days rest
Paris2–6
LLLLW
2 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 9•7:00 PM
Crvena zvezdaHome · 5–3
VS
BayernAway · 2–6

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Crvena zvezda

Projected margin: Crvena zvezda by 7.0

76%Win probability
Crvena zvezda 76%24% Bayern
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Crvena zvezda the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Crvena zvezda 6th, Bayern 17th.
  • ▸Crvena zvezda: W-W-W-L-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Crvena zvezda
  • Elo
    74%
  • Logistic
    79%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    80%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    80%
  • Gradient boosting
    77%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    78%
  • LLM panel
    63%

Power Index

Crvena zvezda73.8↑10.8#6
Bayern20.4↓5.4#17
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Crvena zvezda5–3
WWWLW
2 days rest
Bayern2–6
LWLLL
2 days rest
Game page →

Wednesday, October 28

Euroleague•Regular season · Round 8•7:30 PM
Virtus BolognaHome · 4–3
VS
Zalgiris KaunasAway · 3–4

CourtFrame model · Lean

Virtus Bologna

Projected margin: Virtus Bologna by 2.3

58%Win probability
Virtus Bologna 58%42% Zalgiris Kaunas
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Virtus Bologna the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Virtus Bologna 9th, Zalgiris Kaunas 13th.
  • ▸Virtus Bologna: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Virtus Bologna
  • Elo
    50%
  • Logistic
    55%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    53%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    53%
  • Gradient boosting
    51%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    50%
  • LLM panel
    66%

Power Index

Virtus Bologna59.9↑0.8#9
Zalgiris Kaunas43.6↑2.0#13
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Virtus Bologna4–3
WWWWL
7 days rest
Zalgiris Kaunas3–4
LWLLW
5 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 8•7:00 PM
Lyon-VilleurbanneHome · 2–5
VS
Partizan Mozzart BetAway · 4–3

CourtFrame model · Lean

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Projected margin: Partizan Mozzart Bet by 1.8

63%Win probability
Lyon-Villeurbanne 37%63% Partizan Mozzart Bet
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Partizan Mozzart Bet the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Partizan Mozzart Bet 10th, Lyon-Villeurbanne 15th.
  • ▸Lyon-Villeurbanne: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Partizan Mozzart Bet
  • Elo
    55%
  • Logistic
    60%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    66%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    66%
  • Gradient boosting
    66%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    66%
  • LLM panel
    63%

Power Index

Lyon-Villeurbanne23.6↑2.5#15
Partizan Mozzart Bet55.3↑1.8#10
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Lyon-Villeurbanne2–5
LWLLL
5 days rest
Partizan Mozzart Bet4–3
WLLLW
6 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 8•6:00 PM
Hapoel Tel-AvivHome · 5–2
VS
Anadolu EfesAway · 3–4

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Projected margin: Hapoel Tel-Aviv by 5.5

73%Win probability
Hapoel Tel-Aviv 73%27% Anadolu Efes
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Hapoel Tel-Aviv the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Hapoel Tel-Aviv 1st, Anadolu Efes 12th.
  • ▸Hapoel Tel-Aviv: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Hapoel Tel-Aviv
  • Elo
    70%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    70%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    70%
  • Gradient boosting
    68%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    70%
  • LLM panel
    71%

Power Index

Hapoel Tel-Aviv100.0↑1.8#1
Anadolu Efes46.8↑2.1#12
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Hapoel Tel-Aviv5–2
WLWWW
7 days rest
Anadolu Efes3–4
LLLWW
6 days rest
Game page →

Tuesday, October 27

4/6 correct (67%)
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 8•8:00 PM
✓ Correct
BaskoniaHome · 1–6
86–104
Real MadridAway · 4–3

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Real Madrid

Projected margin: Real Madrid by 3.4

74%Win probability
Baskonia 26%74% Real Madrid
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Real Madrid the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Real Madrid 7th, Baskonia 19th.
  • ▸Baskonia: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Real Madrid
  • Elo
    67%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    76%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    75%
  • Gradient boosting
    74%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    75%
  • LLM panel
    71%

Power Index

Baskonia0.9↓4.2#19
Real Madrid71.0↑6.9#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Baskonia1–6
WLLLL
2 days rest
Real Madrid4–3
LWWWW
2 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 8•7:30 PM
✓ Correct
ValenciaHome · 5–2
86–78
FenerbahceAway · 6–1

CourtFrame model · Lean

Valencia

Projected margin: Valencia by 3.2

56%Win probability
Valencia 56%44% Fenerbahce
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Valencia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Fenerbahce 4th, Valencia 5th.
  • ▸Valencia: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    60%
  • Logistic
    60%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    56%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    56%
  • Gradient boosting
    60%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panel
    50%

Power Index

Valencia75.1↑4.4#5
Fenerbahce88.0↓12.0#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Valencia5–2
WWLLW
2 days rest
Fenerbahce6–1
WLWWW
4 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 8•7:15 PM
✓ Correct
PanathinaikosHome · 6–1
80–75
Olimpia MilanoAway · 1–6

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Panathinaikos

Projected margin: Panathinaikos by 12.4

92%Win probability
Panathinaikos 92%8% Olimpia Milano
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Panathinaikos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Panathinaikos 2nd, Olimpia Milano 20th.
  • ▸Panathinaikos: W-W-W-L-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Panathinaikos
  • Elo
    80%
  • Logistic
    88%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    91%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    91%
  • Gradient boosting
    93%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    93%
  • LLM panel
    74%

Power Index

Panathinaikos89.1↓2.9#2
Olimpia Milano0.0#20
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Panathinaikos6–1
WWWLW
5 days rest
Olimpia Milano1–6
LLLLL
5 days rest
Game page →

Friday, October 23

2/3 correct (67%)
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 7•6:45 PM
✓ Correct
ParisHome · 1–5
93–104
ValenciaAway · 4–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Valencia

Projected margin: Valencia by 0.5

60%Win probability
Paris 40%60% Valencia
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Valencia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Valencia 5th, Paris 16th.
  • ▸Paris: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    54%
  • Logistic
    62%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    62%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    61%
  • Gradient boosting
    60%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panel
    75%

Power Index

Paris22.4↑15.9#16
Valencia75.1↑4.4#5
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Paris1–5
LWLLL
7 days rest
Valencia4–2
WWWLL
5 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 7•6:15 PM
✗ Missed
OlympiacosHome · 5–1
61–64
FenerbahceAway · 5–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Olympiacos

Projected margin: Olympiacos by 9.2

76%Win probability
Olympiacos 76%24% Fenerbahce
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Olympiacos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Olympiacos 3rd, Fenerbahce 4th.
  • ▸Olympiacos: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Olympiacos
  • Elo
    74%
  • Logistic
    75%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    77%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    77%
  • Gradient boosting
    74%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    72%
  • LLM panel
    63%

Power Index

Olympiacos88.5↑0.6#3
Fenerbahce88.0↓12.0#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Olympiacos5–1
WLWWW
7 days rest
Fenerbahce5–1
WWLWW
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 7•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Zalgiris KaunasHome · 2–4
105–85
Lyon-VilleurbanneAway · 2–4

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Zalgiris Kaunas

Projected margin: Zalgiris Kaunas by 7.6

75%Win probability
Zalgiris Kaunas 75%25% Lyon-Villeurbanne
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Zalgiris Kaunas the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Zalgiris Kaunas 13th, Lyon-Villeurbanne 15th.
  • ▸Zalgiris Kaunas: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Zalgiris Kaunas
  • Elo
    79%
  • Logistic
    75%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    76%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    76%
  • Gradient boosting
    73%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    72%
  • LLM panel
    50%

Power Index

Zalgiris Kaunas43.6↑2.0#13
Lyon-Villeurbanne23.6↑2.5#15
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Zalgiris Kaunas2–4
LLWLL
7 days rest
Lyon-Villeurbanne2–4
LLWLL
Game page →

Thursday, October 22

5/6 correct (83%)
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 7•6:45 PM
✓ Correct
Partizan Mozzart BetHome · 3–3
85–82
Crvena zvezdaAway · 4–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Projected margin: Partizan Mozzart Bet by 5.2

63%Win probability
Partizan Mozzart Bet 63%37% Crvena zvezda
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Partizan Mozzart Bet the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Crvena zvezda 6th, Partizan Mozzart Bet 10th.
  • ▸Partizan Mozzart Bet: W-W-L-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Partizan Mozzart Bet
  • Elo
    54%
  • Logistic
    51%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    59%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    60%
  • Gradient boosting
    54%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    54%
  • LLM panel
    49%

Power Index

Partizan Mozzart Bet55.3↑1.8#10
Crvena zvezda73.8↑10.8#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Partizan Mozzart Bet3–3
WWLLL
7 days rest
Crvena zvezda4–2
LWWWW
6 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 7•6:30 PM
✓ Correct
Olimpia MilanoHome · 1–5
81–89
BarcelonaAway · 3–3

CourtFrame model · Lean

Barcelona

Projected margin: Barcelona by 0.2

62%Win probability
Olimpia Milano 38%62% Barcelona
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Barcelona the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Barcelona 11th, Olimpia Milano 20th.
  • ▸Olimpia Milano: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Barcelona
  • Elo
    51%
  • Logistic
    61%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    64%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    64%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    58%
  • LLM panel
    71%

Power Index

Olimpia Milano0.0#20
Barcelona53.1↑7.0#11
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Olimpia Milano1–5
WLLLL
7 days rest
Barcelona3–3
LWLWL
4 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 7•6:15 PM
✓ Correct
PanathinaikosHome · 5–1
85–79
BaskoniaAway · 1–5

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Panathinaikos

Projected margin: Panathinaikos by 14.2

92%Win probability
Panathinaikos 92%8% Baskonia
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Panathinaikos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Panathinaikos 2nd, Baskonia 19th.
  • ▸Panathinaikos: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Panathinaikos
  • Elo
    81%
  • Logistic
    87%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    92%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    92%
  • Gradient boosting
    93%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    93%
  • LLM panel
    74%

Power Index

Panathinaikos89.1↓2.9#2
Baskonia0.9↓4.2#19
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Panathinaikos5–1
WWWWL
6 days rest
Baskonia1–5
LWLLL
4 days rest
Game page →

Wednesday, October 21

1/1 correct (100%)
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 7•4:00 PM
✓ Correct
Hapoel Tel-AvivHome · 4–2
90–81
Virtus BolognaAway · 4–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Projected margin: Hapoel Tel-Aviv by 6.4

69%Win probability
Hapoel Tel-Aviv 69%31% Virtus Bologna
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Hapoel Tel-Aviv the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Hapoel Tel-Aviv 1st, Virtus Bologna 9th.
  • ▸Hapoel Tel-Aviv: W-W-L-W-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Hapoel Tel-Aviv
  • Elo
    75%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    76%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    76%
  • Gradient boosting
    70%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    71%
  • LLM panel
    66%

Power Index

Hapoel Tel-Aviv100.0↑1.8#1
Virtus Bologna59.9↑0.8#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Hapoel Tel-Aviv4–2
WWLWW
5 days rest
Virtus Bologna4–2
LWWWW
5 days rest
Game page →

Friday, October 16

4/6 correct (67%)
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 6•6:30 PM
✓ Correct
BarcelonaHome · 3–2
100–105
OlympiacosAway · 4–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Olympiacos

Projected margin: Olympiacos by 4.1

70%Win probability
Barcelona 30%70% Olympiacos
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Olympiacos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Olympiacos 3rd, Barcelona 11th.
  • ▸Barcelona: W-L-W-L-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Olympiacos
  • Elo
    58%
  • Logistic
    65%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    71%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    71%
  • Gradient boosting
    63%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    64%
  • LLM panel
    63%

Power Index

Barcelona53.1↑7.0#11
Olympiacos88.5↑0.6#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Barcelona3–2
WLWLW
3 days rest
Olympiacos4–1
WWLWW
3 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 6•6:30 PM
✓ Correct
Virtus BolognaHome · 3–2
86–78
BaskoniaAway · 1–4

CourtFrame model · Lean

Virtus Bologna

Projected margin: Virtus Bologna by 3.5

67%Win probability
Virtus Bologna 67%33% Baskonia
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Virtus Bologna the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Virtus Bologna 9th, Baskonia 19th.
  • ▸Virtus Bologna: L-L-W-W-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Virtus Bologna
  • Elo
    65%
  • Logistic
    68%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    77%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    77%
  • Gradient boosting
    77%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    76%
  • LLM panel
    66%

Power Index

Virtus Bologna59.9↑0.8#9
Baskonia0.9↓4.2#19
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Virtus Bologna3–2
LLWWW
2 days rest
Baskonia1–4
LLWLL
3 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 6•6:15 PM
✗ Missed
PanathinaikosHome · 5–0
81–91
Hapoel Tel-AvivAway · 3–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Panathinaikos

Projected margin: Panathinaikos by 9.5

84%Win probability
Panathinaikos 84%16% Hapoel Tel-Aviv
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Panathinaikos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Hapoel Tel-Aviv 1st, Panathinaikos 2nd.
  • ▸Panathinaikos: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Panathinaikos
  • Elo
    70%
  • Logistic
    78%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    85%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    85%
  • Gradient boosting
    84%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    83%
  • LLM panel
    74%

Power Index

Panathinaikos89.1↓2.9#2
Hapoel Tel-Aviv100.0↑1.8#1
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Panathinaikos5–0
WWWWW
3 days rest
Hapoel Tel-Aviv3–2
LWWLW
2 days rest
Game page →

Thursday, October 15

3/4 correct (75%)
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 6•7:00 PM
✓ Correct
Real MadridHome · 2–3
111–92
Lyon-VilleurbanneAway · 2–3

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Real Madrid

Projected margin: Real Madrid by 10.8

82%Win probability
Real Madrid 82%18% Lyon-Villeurbanne
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Real Madrid the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Real Madrid 7th, Lyon-Villeurbanne 15th.
  • ▸Real Madrid: L-L-L-W-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Real Madrid
  • Elo
    85%
  • Logistic
    84%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    82%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    81%
  • Gradient boosting
    85%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    83%
  • LLM panel
    51%

Power Index

Real Madrid71.0↑6.9#7
Lyon-Villeurbanne23.6↑2.5#15
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Real Madrid2–3
LLLWW
2 days rest
Lyon-Villeurbanne2–3
WLLWL
2 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 6•6:30 PM
✗ Missed
ValenciaHome · 4–1
88–91
Maccabi Tel AvivAway · 1–4

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Valencia

Projected margin: Valencia by 9.7

86%Win probability
Valencia 86%14% Maccabi Tel Aviv
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Valencia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Valencia 5th, Maccabi Tel Aviv 18th.
  • ▸Valencia: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    78%
  • Logistic
    85%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    85%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    85%
  • Gradient boosting
    85%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    84%
  • LLM panel
    74%

Power Index

Valencia75.1↑4.4#5
Maccabi Tel Aviv19.4↓4.4#18
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Valencia4–1
WWWWL
2 days rest
Maccabi Tel Aviv1–4
LLLWL
2 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 6•6:30 PM
✓ Correct
Olimpia MilanoHome · 1–4
97–101
DubaiAway · 3–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Dubai

Projected margin: Dubai by 0.5

56%Win probability
Olimpia Milano 44%56% Dubai
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Dubai the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Dubai 8th, Olimpia Milano 20th.
  • ▸Olimpia Milano: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Dubai
  • Elo
    49%
  • Logistic
    55%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    61%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    60%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    60%
  • LLM panel
    61%

Power Index

Olimpia Milano0.0#20
Dubai62.2↓10.1#8
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Olimpia Milano1–4
LWLLL
2 days rest
Dubai3–2
WWLLW
2 days rest
Game page →

Wednesday, October 14

0/3 correct (0%)
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 5•6:45 PM
✗ Missed
ParisHome · 1–3
94–96
Virtus BolognaAway · 2–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Paris

Projected margin: Paris by 7.7

65%Win probability
Paris 65%35% Virtus Bologna
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Paris the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Virtus Bologna 9th, Paris 16th.
  • ▸Paris: L-L-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Paris
  • Elo
    68%
  • Logistic
    68%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    65%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    66%
  • Gradient boosting
    62%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    62%
  • LLM panel
    37%

Power Index

Paris22.4↑15.9#16
Virtus Bologna59.9↑0.8#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Paris1–3
LLLWL
7 days rest
Virtus Bologna2–2
WLLWW
6 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 5•5:30 PM
✗ Missed
Anadolu EfesHome · 1–3
93–101
BayernAway · 1–3

CourtFrame model · Lean

Anadolu Efes

Projected margin: Anadolu Efes by 4.1

62%Win probability
Anadolu Efes 62%38% Bayern
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Anadolu Efes the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Anadolu Efes 12th, Bayern 17th.
  • ▸Anadolu Efes: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Anadolu Efes
  • Elo
    63%
  • Logistic
    59%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    64%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    64%
  • Gradient boosting
    61%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    61%
  • LLM panel
    54%

Power Index

Anadolu Efes46.8↑2.1#12
Bayern20.4↓5.4#17
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Anadolu Efes1–3
LLWLL
5 days rest
Bayern1–3
LWLLL
6 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 5•4:00 PM
✗ Missed
Hapoel Tel-AvivHome · 2–2
100–82
BesiktasAway · 2–2

No pick yet — not enough games this season

Power Index

Hapoel Tel-Aviv100.0↑1.8#1
Besiktas39.7↑1.5#14
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Hapoel Tel-Aviv2–2
LLWWL
6 days rest
Besiktas2–2
LWLW
5 days rest
Game page →

Tuesday, October 13

6/7 correct (86%)
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 5•7:00 PM
✓ Correct
ValenciaHome · 4–0
97–102
OlympiacosAway · 3–1

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Olympiacos

Projected margin: Olympiacos by 1.5

54%Win probability
Valencia 46%54% Olympiacos
  • ▸4 of 7 CourtFrame models make Olympiacos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Olympiacos 3rd, Valencia 5th.
  • ▸Valencia: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models4 of 7 favour Olympiacos
  • Elo
    49%
  • Logistic
    49%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    55%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    54%
  • Gradient boosting
    56%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    54%
  • LLM panel
    33%

Power Index

Valencia75.1↑4.4#5
Olympiacos88.5↑0.6#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Valencia4–0
LWWWW
2 days rest
Olympiacos3–1
WWWLW
4 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 5•6:30 PM
✗ Missed
Partizan Mozzart BetHome · 3–1
55–72
PanathinaikosAway · 4–0

CourtFrame model · Lean

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Projected margin: Partizan Mozzart Bet by 5.6

63%Win probability
Partizan Mozzart Bet 63%37% Panathinaikos
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 5 of 7 favour Panathinaikos.
  • ▸Power Index: Panathinaikos 2nd, Partizan Mozzart Bet 10th.
  • ▸Partizan Mozzart Bet: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models5 of 7 favour Panathinaikos
  • Elo
    49%
  • Logistic
    52%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    54%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    52%
  • Gradient boosting
    57%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    57%
  • LLM panel
    40%

Power Index

Partizan Mozzart Bet55.3↑1.8#10
Panathinaikos89.1↓2.9#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Partizan Mozzart Bet3–1
WWWWL
5 days rest
Panathinaikos4–0
LWWWW
5 days rest
Game page →
Euroleague•Regular season · Round 5•6:30 PM
✓ Correct
Olimpia MilanoHome · 1–3
89–98
Real MadridAway · 1–3

CourtFrame model · Lean

Real Madrid

Projected margin: Real Madrid by 1.2

57%Win probability
Olimpia Milano 43%57% Real Madrid
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Real Madrid the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Real Madrid 7th, Olimpia Milano 20th.
  • ▸Olimpia Milano: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Real Madrid
  • Elo
    58%
  • Logistic
    61%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    68%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    67%
  • Gradient boosting
    61%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    62%
  • LLM panel
    47%

Power Index

Olimpia Milano0.0#20
Real Madrid71.0↑6.9#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Olimpia Milano1–3
LLWLL
5 days rest
Real Madrid1–3
LLLLW
2 days rest
Game page →
← All Predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are CourtFrame Euroleague predictions?

Every published pick is graded against the final score, and the record — misses included — is public on the track record page. The model is also scored each night against the bookmakers' closing line.

Where do the numbers come from?

From the CourtFrame model, a statistical model retrained every night on every game we track: team ratings carried across seasons, recent form, rest, and box-score efficiency adjusted for the opponents played. When a team has too few games behind it, we publish no pick rather than a guess.

How should I use these predictions?

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.