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Bucks hold off Pacers 105-99 after third-quarter swing at Fiserv Forum

Milwaukee steadied itself after a slow start and beat Indiana 105-99 on Feb. 7, 2026, at Fiserv Forum. A decisive third quarter flipped the game, and the Bucks survived a late Pacers push to close it out.

James O'Brien
James O'Brien
2 min read

Key Takeaways

  • 1Milwaukee Bucks beat Indiana Pacers 105–99 at Fiserv Forum, a 6-point margin.
  • 2The second quarter decided it: Milwaukee Bucks won it 31–18, a 13-point swing.
  • 3Milwaukee Bucks led 54–47 at the break and never gave the lead back.
  • 4The two teams combined for 204 points.
  • 5The CourtFrame model picked Milwaukee Bucks at 72% confidence — the pick was correct.

Milwaukee didn’t win this one with early rhythm. It won it with a response — and one quarter that changed the entire night.

The Bucks (21-29) beat the Pacers (13-39) 105-99 on Friday at Fiserv Forum, using a dominant middle stretch to erase an early deficit and then withstand a furious fourth-quarter Indiana rally.

Game flow: Milwaukee’s middle quarters decide it

Indiana came out sharp, taking the first quarter 29-23 and controlling tempo early. Milwaukee answered in the second, winning 31-18 to grab a seven-point halftime lead at 54-47.

The biggest separation came after the break. The Bucks won the third quarter 29-18, stretching the margin to 83-65 and putting the game on their terms.

Indiana had one more punch. The Pacers exploded for 34 points in the fourth — more than either team scored in any other period — but Milwaukee’s cushion from the third-quarter surge held up just enough to finish the job.

Turning point: The third-quarter squeeze

This game swung when Milwaukee tightened the screws in the third. A 29-18 quarter didn’t just add points — it changed the math. Indiana entered the fourth needing a near-perfect offensive finish to climb out, and even a 34-point closing quarter couldn’t fully erase the damage.

Team notes: Even passing, different results

Both teams finished with 26 assists, a sign the ball moved on both sides. The difference was when that creation translated into separation: Milwaukee’s assist-driven offense steadied the second quarter and created the runway in the third; Indiana’s best stretch came late, when the deficit was already steep.

What it means going forward

For Milwaukee, the win continues a positive run of form and offers a template: survive the uneven start, then win the middle of the game with sustained two-way pressure. At 21-29, stacking results matters, and this one came via the kind of quarter-to-quarter control that’s been inconsistent this season.

For Indiana, the late surge showed fight — but the Pacers’ margin for error is thin at 13-39. The second and third quarters (a combined 36 points) left them with too much to do, even with a fourth-quarter burst that nearly turned the night into a steal.

Game Data

Quarter-by-quarter score, Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers2918183499
Milwaukee Bucks23312922105
Date
February 7, 2026
Competition
NBA
Venue
Fiserv Forum
Status
Game Finished

CourtFrame model, before tip-off

Picked Milwaukee Bucks at 72% confidencepick hit

Published before the game and scored against the result afterwards, hit or miss. How the model works

What the pick was built on

  • Milwaukee has the better overall record (20-29 vs 13-38)
  • Indiana’s poor overall performance suggests a lower baseline despite a mixed recent run
  • No significant injuries for either team, reducing volatility from lineup changes

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Milwaukee Bucks won 105–99, played on February 7, 2026 at Fiserv Forum.

Who won Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Milwaukee Bucks, by 6 points in the NBA.

Which quarter decided Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

The second quarter. Milwaukee Bucks won it 31–18, the largest swing of the game at 13 points.

What does CourtFrame's model predict for Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

The model favoured Milwaukee Bucks with 72% confidence, and that pick was correct. Picks are published before tip-off and scored against the result.

Where was Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks played?

Fiserv Forum, a NBA fixture.

Data Official basketball data feed (ref. 470222)

How this was written Drafted by CourtFrame's generative model from the official statistical feed for this game, then published under editorial review. Editorial policy