Nacional vs Urunday
Prediction
How it works · Track recordCourtFrame model · Lean
Nacional
Projected margin: Nacional by 5.5
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.
Where the value is on this game
Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.
- Elo72%
- Logistic72%
- Logistic v260%
- Logistic v2 + players59%
- Gradient boosting64%
- Gradient boosting + players63%
- v3 · market consensusPub68%
- LLM panel50%
Bookmakers: Nacional 65%
Power Index
Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings
Form · Last 5
Game Preview
Nacional host Urunday at Polideportivo Gran Parque Central on Friday, November 13 in the Liga Uruguaya. Nacional are 1–4 this season, Urunday 2–4. Nacional have lost their last 3 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Nacional are 10th at 5.3 and Urunday 8th at 35.3.
Key Factors to Watch
- 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Nacional the favourite.
- 2Bookmakers agree: Nacional at 65% against our 68%.
- 3Power Index: Urunday 8th, Nacional 10th.
- 4Nacional: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5.
- 5Urunday: L-L-W-L-W in the last 5.
Model Outlook(Win probability: 68%)
The CourtFrame model has Nacional winning 68% of the time, by 5.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 50–72%.
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works
Matchup Insights
Game Info
- League
- Liga Uruguaya
- Date
- Fri, Nov 13
- Time
- 12:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Polideportivo Gran Parque Central