CourtFrame
Pricing
NBA W

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, October 7, 2026 • Gateway Center Arena

CourtFrame model · Lean

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 4.8

69%Win probability
Atlanta Dream W 69%31% New York Liberty W

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

then $29/month · cancel anytime
7 Models7 of 7 favour Atlanta Dream W
  • Elo
    64%
  • Logistic
    71%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    69%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    69%
  • Gradient boosting
    66%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    67%
  • LLM panel
    67%

Power Index

Atlanta Dream W100.0#1
New York Liberty W78.1#8
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Atlanta Dream W34–15
WWWWW
3 days rest
New York Liberty W30–20
LLWWL
3 days rest

Game Preview

Atlanta Dream host New York Liberty at Gateway Center Arena on Wednesday, October 7 in the NBA W (semi-finals). Atlanta Dream are 34–15 this season, New York Liberty 30–20. Atlanta Dream have won their last 5 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Atlanta Dream are 1st at 100.0 and New York Liberty 8th at 78.1.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Atlanta Dream the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Atlanta Dream 1st, New York Liberty 8th.
  • 3Atlanta Dream: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
  • 4New York Liberty: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 69%)

The CourtFrame model has Atlanta Dream winning 69% of the time, by 4.8 points. Across our 7 models the range is 64–71%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Fast vs Slow93.2 vs 89.6
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%68% / 56%

Game Info

League
NBA W
Date
Wed, Oct 7
Time
7:30 PM EDT
Venue
Gateway Center Arena
Stage
Semi-finals