Maccabi Tel Aviv hosts Hapoel Tel-Aviv on November 12, 2026, at Aleksandar Nikolic Hall in Round 11 of the regular season, with the teams separated by four wins and a wide efficiency gap through 10 games.
Maccabi is 2-8 and averaging 84.7 points per game, while Hapoel is 6-4 and scoring 92.1 points per game. The market reflects that separation, with Hapoel carrying a 64.9 percent implied probability across nine bookmakers and Maccabi at 35.1 percent.
Efficiency gap favors Hapoel
The clearest difference is Hapoel’s offensive efficiency. Hapoel owns a 118.9 offensive rating, a 68.0 true shooting percentage and a 56.2 effective field goal percentage. Maccabi’s offense has been efficient in shot-making terms, with a 61.6 true shooting percentage and 56.6 effective field goal percentage, but its 103.1 offensive rating sits well below Hapoel’s mark.
The larger concern for Maccabi is defensive. Maccabi has allowed a 115.9 defensive rating and carries a minus-12.8 net rating. Hapoel enters with a 104.9 defensive rating and a plus-14.0 net rating, giving it a 26.8-point net rating advantage in the matchup.
The CourtFrame Power Index shows the same divide. Hapoel ranks No. 2 with a 94.15 CPI, while Maccabi ranks No. 18 with a 16.33 CPI. Maccabi’s CPI trend is up 0.6, and Hapoel’s is down 0.5, but the current differential remains 77.8 points in Hapoel’s favor.
Pace and possession control
Maccabi plays faster at 82.2 possessions per game, while Hapoel’s pace is 77.5. That contrast matters because Maccabi’s best path is likely to increase volume and lean into its home scoring profile, where it averages 95.8 points despite a 1-3 home record.
Hapoel has been more controlled with the ball. It turns the ball over on 12.5 percent of possessions and averages 9.7 turnovers, compared with Maccabi’s 16.3 turnover rate and 13.4 turnovers. If Hapoel keeps the game in the half court and avoids live-ball mistakes, Maccabi’s defensive issues become harder to hide.
Both teams take a high share of their shots from three-point range. Hapoel’s three-point rate is 42.8 percent and it is shooting 38.7 percent from deep. Maccabi’s three-point rate is 40.9 percent with 36.0 percent accuracy. Hapoel also gets to the line more frequently, with a 33.3 free throw rate compared with Maccabi’s 28.5.
Key personnel matchup
Hapoel’s scoring balance gives Maccabi multiple pressure points to solve. Elijah Bryant averages 14.8 points, 5.4 rebounds and 3.8 assists, while Vasilije Micic adds 14.2 points and 4.3 assists. Antonio Blakeney averages 14.0 points, and the frontcourt pairing of Zach LeDay and Daniel Oturu each averages 11.0 points.
Oturu’s 5.9 rebounds per game and Bryant’s 5.4 give Hapoel two reliable rebounders against a Maccabi team averaging 28.7 rebounds. Hapoel averages 31.5 rebounds and owns a 49.1 rebound percentage, close to Maccabi’s 49.8, so the glass projects as one of the more competitive areas of the matchup.
Maccabi’s offense runs through J. Clark and Yam Madar. Clark averages 14.3 points and 3.4 assists, while Madar averages 11.1 points and 4.7 assists. Bonzie Colson adds 9.9 points, Roman Sorkin averages 9.7, and Oshae Brissett contributes 8.9 points and 4.5 rebounds.
Maccabi’s assist rate of 61.8 percent is higher than Hapoel’s 54.8, and it averages 18.6 assists compared with Hapoel’s 15.5. That ball movement is essential against a Hapoel defense allowing a 104.9 defensive rating, especially because Maccabi cannot afford empty possessions against the more efficient offense.
Rest, injuries and market shape
Neither team reports significant injuries, so the matchup should be shaped more by execution than availability. Maccabi enters with five days of rest and one game in the last seven days. Hapoel has seven days of rest and no games in the last seven days.
The total market is clustered around the high 170s and low 180s, with 181.5 priced evenly at 1.90 on both over and under. That aligns with the scoring profiles: Hapoel averages 92.1 points, Maccabi averages 84.7, and Maccabi’s home games have produced a 95.8-point scoring average for the host.
The spread market consistently leans toward Hapoel, with away prices appearing across small negative numbers and Maccabi drawing plus-points support deeper into the board. The underlying matchup explains the tilt: Hapoel has the superior record, the stronger net rating, the lower turnover profile and the higher CPI ranking.
What decides it
Maccabi’s path starts with pace, three-point volume and a cleaner possession game than its 16.3 turnover rate suggests. If Maccabi can push the tempo toward its 82.2 pace and turn its 61.8 assist rate into high-quality perimeter looks, it has enough shooting efficiency to pressure Hapoel.
Hapoel’s path is more direct. Its 118.9 offensive rating, 68.0 true shooting percentage and 12.5 turnover rate give it a strong foundation against a Maccabi defense allowing 115.9 points per 100 possessions. If Hapoel controls turnovers and continues to generate free throws at its 33.3 rate, the efficiency gap becomes difficult for Maccabi to overcome.