CourtFrame
Pricing
Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026 • Aleksandar Nikolic Hall

CourtFrame model · Lean

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Projected margin: Hapoel Tel-Aviv by 4.5

66%Win probability
Maccabi Tel Aviv 34%Bookmakers 36–6466% Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Hapoel Tel-Aviv
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    67%
  • Logistic v2
    72%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    71%
  • Gradient boosting
    71%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    70%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    66%
  • LLM panel
    75%

Bookmakers: Hapoel Tel-Aviv 64%

Power Index

Maccabi Tel Aviv16.3↑0.6#18
Hapoel Tel-Aviv94.2↓0.5#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Maccabi Tel Aviv2–8
WLLLL
6 days rest
Hapoel Tel-Aviv6–4
WWWLL
7 days rest

Game Preview

Maccabi Tel Aviv host Hapoel Tel-Aviv at Aleksandar Nikolic Hall on Thursday, November 12 in the Euroleague. Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2–8 this season, Hapoel Tel-Aviv 6–4. Maccabi Tel Aviv have lost their last 4 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Maccabi Tel Aviv are 18th at 16.3 and Hapoel Tel-Aviv 2nd at 94.2.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Hapoel Tel-Aviv the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Hapoel Tel-Aviv at 64% against our 66%.
  • 3Power Index: Hapoel Tel-Aviv 2nd, Maccabi Tel Aviv 18th.
  • 4Maccabi Tel Aviv: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
  • 5Hapoel Tel-Aviv: W-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 66%)

The CourtFrame model has Hapoel Tel-Aviv winning 66% of the time, by 4.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 56–75%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Fast vs Slow82.2 vs 77.5
Schedule EdgeAway Advantage
Home/Away Win%25% / 50%

Game Info

Date
Thu, Nov 12
Time
7:05 PM UTC
Venue
Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
Stage
Regular season · Round 11