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Fenerbahce Seizes Control of Euroleague Final With 89-78 Win Over Zalgiris

Fenerbahce beat Zalgiris Kaunas 89-78 at Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu to take a 2-0 lead in the Euroleague Finals. The game turned in the second quarter, when Fenerbahce held Zalgiris to 9 points and built the separation that carried through the night.

James O'Brien
James O'Brien
4 min read

Key Takeaways

  • 1Fenerbahce beat Zalgiris Kaunas 89–78 at Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu, an 11-point margin.
  • 2The second quarter decided it: Fenerbahce won it 25–9, a 16-point swing.
  • 3Fenerbahce led 47–29 at the break and never gave the lead back.
  • 4The two teams combined for 167 points.
  • 5The CourtFrame model picked Zalgiris Kaunas at 68.5% confidence — the pick missed.

Fenerbahce turned Game 2 into a statement of control.

Behind a decisive second quarter and cleaner ball security, Fenerbahce defeated Zalgiris Kaunas 89-78 on April 28, 2026, at Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu, moving ahead 2-0 in the best-of-seven Euroleague Finals. The result backed up the market’s view of Fenerbahce as the stronger side at home, where the club entered with a 71.4 percent win rate in its split profile.

Zalgiris arrived with the better recent form, a stronger CPI profile and the higher season scoring average. None of that mattered once Fenerbahce imposed the game’s first major break. After a tight opening quarter, Fenerbahce won the second 25-9, turning a 22-20 edge into a 47-29 halftime lead.

The second quarter decided the night

The first quarter played to the expected balance of a Final: Fenerbahce 22, Zalgiris 20. Then the floor tilted sharply.

Fenerbahce’s 25-point second quarter was the game’s defining stretch, but the defensive number was even louder. Zalgiris managed just 9 points in the period, its lowest-scoring quarter of the night by a wide margin. That drought left Zalgiris chasing for the final 20 minutes, even after a strong third-quarter response.

Zalgiris did win the third quarter 28-18, cutting into the deficit and briefly restoring the offensive rhythm suggested by its pregame profile. But Fenerbahce answered with a 24-point fourth quarter, closing without allowing the game to fully flip.

Fenerbahce’s pressure showed up in the turnover battle

The cleanest statistical separator was possession management. Fenerbahce committed 9 turnovers, while Zalgiris gave it away 13 times. That four-turnover gap mattered in a game where both teams generated efficient looks inside the arc and neither side attempted free throws in the provided team data.

Fenerbahce also had the defensive activity edge: 5 steals and 4 blocks compared with 2 steals and 2 blocks for Zalgiris. That aligned with the game flow. Fenerbahce did not need to win every shot-quality category; it needed to disrupt Zalgiris often enough to prevent its higher-assist offense from controlling the tempo.

Zalgiris still finished with 16 assists to Fenerbahce’s 14, consistent with its pregame assist-rate advantage. But the extra giveaways blunted that creation. Fenerbahce’s defense did not erase Zalgiris’ passing game. It made it less stable.

Shot profile favored Fenerbahce from deep

Fenerbahce finished 26-for-41 from the field in the provided team statistics and hit 10 of 24 from 3-point range. Zalgiris went 22-for-33 overall but only 5-for-22 from beyond the arc.

That perimeter gap was central. Fenerbahce doubled Zalgiris’ made 3s on only two more attempts. It was also a notable reversal of the pregame shooting indicators: Zalgiris entered with a 39.1 percent 3-point mark across the analyzed sample, compared with Fenerbahce’s 35 percent. In Game 2, Fenerbahce’s shot-making from deep created the margin Zalgiris could not match.

The rebounding battle also leaned slightly toward Fenerbahce, 27-24. It was not overwhelming, but it prevented Zalgiris from building the kind of possession cushion needed to survive a cold perimeter night.

Pregame indicators pointed both ways — the venue won out

This was not a simple favorite rolls story. Zalgiris entered with the better CPI, ranked fourth at 70.37 compared with Fenerbahce’s 62.39 and ninth-place rank. Zalgiris also carried the better recent form at WWLWW, while Fenerbahce came in at WLLLL.

But the matchup context still pointed to Fenerbahce having a clear home-court platform. The market implied a 67.4 percent home win probability across 11 bookmakers, and Fenerbahce’s home split showed 5 wins in 7 games with an 81-point average. Zalgiris’ away split was more fragile: 2 wins and 5 losses despite an 85.9-point average.

Game 2 followed that split more than the form guide. Zalgiris had enough offense to make a push, especially in the third quarter. Fenerbahce had the setting, the defensive stretch and the late-game stability.

No injury caveats, no fatigue excuse

Both teams entered without significant injuries reported, and both had 11 days of rest with no games in the previous seven days. That removed two of the usual Finals variables. This was not a game bent by availability or scheduling imbalance.

Instead, it came down to execution: Fenerbahce protected the ball, hit the cleaner perimeter shots and produced the one dominant defensive quarter of the night.

What it means for the series

Fenerbahce now leads the Euroleague Finals 2-0. The series is not at an elimination point, but the pressure has shifted heavily toward Zalgiris.

For Zalgiris, the third quarter offers a path forward. The team can generate offense and still has the playmaking base that made it dangerous entering the Final. But the Game 2 formula is unsustainable if the 3-point gap remains that wide and the turnover count stays tilted toward Fenerbahce.

For Fenerbahce, the takeaway is sharper: the pregame trends did not need to be perfect. In a Finals game at home, one overwhelming quarter and a cleaner possession profile were enough to take command.

Game Data

Quarter-by-quarter score, Zalgiris Kaunas at Fenerbahce
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas209282178
Fenerbahce2225182489
Date
April 28, 2026
Competition
Euroleague
Stage
Euroleague - Final
Venue
Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
Status
Game Finished

CourtFrame model, before tip-off

Picked Zalgiris Kaunas at 68.5% confidencepick missed

Published before the game and scored against the result afterwards, hit or miss. How the model works

What the pick was built on

  • Zalgiris Kaunas holds a significant advantage in advanced metrics, particularly in defensive rating and net rating, suggesting they are the stronger team overall
  • Zalgiris Kaunas enters the game with a stronger recent form (WWLWW) compared to Fenerbahce's struggles (WLLLL)
  • Zalgiris Kaunas has a significant advantage in the Courtframe Power Index, indicating stronger overall performance

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Zalgiris Kaunas vs Fenerbahce?

Fenerbahce won 89–78, played on April 28, 2026 at Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu.

Who won Zalgiris Kaunas vs Fenerbahce?

Fenerbahce, by 11 points in the Euroleague (Euroleague - Final).

Which quarter decided Zalgiris Kaunas vs Fenerbahce?

The second quarter. Fenerbahce won it 25–9, the largest swing of the game at 16 points.

What does CourtFrame's model predict for Zalgiris Kaunas vs Fenerbahce?

The model favoured Zalgiris Kaunas with 68.5% confidence, and that pick did not come in. Picks are published before tip-off and scored against the result.

Where was Zalgiris Kaunas vs Fenerbahce played?

Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu, a Euroleague fixture at the Euroleague - Final stage.

Data Official basketball data feed (ref. 497984)

How this was written Drafted by CourtFrame's generative model from the official statistical feed for this game, then published under editorial review. Editorial policy