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Baskonia edges Real Madrid 98-96 in Vitoria as late push seals upset

Baskonia held off Real Madrid 98-96 on April 3, 2026 at Fernando Buesa Arena, closing with a 25-20 fourth quarter to flip a tight game. The win comes despite a season-long gap in records, with Baskonia improving on an 11-24 mark against Madrid’s 22-13.

James O'Brien
James O'Brien
2 min read

Key Takeaways

  • 1Baskonia beat Real Madrid 98–96 at Fernando Buesa Arena, a 2-point margin.
  • 2The fourth quarter decided it: Baskonia won it 25–20, a 5-point swing.
  • 3Real Madrid led 53–48 at the break, so Baskonia won this one after trailing at halftime.
  • 4The two teams combined for 194 points.
  • 5The CourtFrame model picked Real Madrid at 84% confidence — the pick missed.

Baskonia didn’t need overtime — just one last, composed closing stretch. On Friday night at Fernando Buesa Arena, the hosts outlasted Real Madrid 98-96 behind a decisive fourth-quarter surge, turning a one-possession game into a statement win in the EuroLeague’s 2025 season.

How it happened

The game was fast from the opening tip. Baskonia took the first punch and landed back harder, winning the first quarter 29-27. Real Madrid’s offense stayed in rhythm in the second, outscoring Baskonia 26-19 to take a 53-48 halftime lead.

Baskonia responded immediately after the break. A 25-23 third quarter trimmed the margin to three, setting up a closing frame where execution mattered more than pace. Baskonia delivered: 25-20 in the fourth quarter to complete the comeback and secure the 98-96 final.

Turning point: Baskonia’s fourth-quarter control

With the margins tight all night, Baskonia’s ability to win the final 10 minutes was the separator. After trailing at halftime and still chasing after three, the home side’s 25-point fourth quarter provided the finishing edge — not by blowing the game open, but by consistently winning the possession battle when it mattered most.

Team notes: contrasting styles in the box score

Real Madrid finished with 22 assists, a clear indicator of their ball movement and creation through passing. Baskonia countered with 13 assists, suggesting a more direct approach to generating offense — fewer table-setters, more emphasis on individual creation and shot-making within possessions.

What it means going forward

For Baskonia (11-24), the win is a jolt of momentum at home, especially against a Real Madrid team that entered with a 22-13 record. It also continues a recent swing in form (WWLLL coming in), showing they can still close games against elite opposition when the fourth quarter tightens.

For Real Madrid (22-13), the loss is the kind that stings because the structure was there — the assist volume points to quality process — but the finish wasn’t. Dropping a three-point lead after three and losing the fourth by five underscores how thin the margins are when the game turns into late-clock execution.

Game Data

Quarter-by-quarter score, Real Madrid at Baskonia
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2726232096
Baskonia2919252598
Date
April 3, 2026
Competition
Euroleague
Venue
Fernando Buesa Arena
Status
Game Finished

CourtFrame model, before tip-off

Picked Real Madrid at 84% confidencepick missed

Published before the game and scored against the result afterwards, hit or miss. How the model works

What the pick was built on

  • Large gap in season records (Baskonia 10-24 vs Real Madrid 22-12)
  • Recent form advantage (Baskonia WLLLL vs Real Madrid WWLWW)
  • No significant injuries reported for either team (no major availability swing)

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Baskonia?

Baskonia won 98–96, played on April 3, 2026 at Fernando Buesa Arena.

Who won Real Madrid vs Baskonia?

Baskonia, by 2 points in the Euroleague.

Which quarter decided Real Madrid vs Baskonia?

The fourth quarter. Baskonia won it 25–20, the largest swing of the game at 5 points.

What does CourtFrame's model predict for Real Madrid vs Baskonia?

The model favoured Real Madrid with 84% confidence, and that pick did not come in. Picks are published before tip-off and scored against the result.

Where was Real Madrid vs Baskonia played?

Fernando Buesa Arena, a Euroleague fixture.

Data Official basketball data feed (ref. 454625)

How this was written Drafted by CourtFrame's generative model from the official statistical feed for this game, then published under editorial review. Editorial policy