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ACB

ACB Predictions

Win probabilities from the CourtFrame model

Sunday, November 1

ACB•Regular season · Round 6•6:00 PM
UnicajaHome · 3–2
VS
BarcelonaAway · 3–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Unicaja

Projected margin: Unicaja by 1.1

68%Win probability
Unicaja 68%32% Barcelona
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Unicaja the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Unicaja 5th, Barcelona 7th.
  • ▸Unicaja: L-L-W-W-W in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Unicaja
  • Elo
    50%
  • Logistic
    55%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    67%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    68%
  • Gradient boosting
    60%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    63%
  • LLM panel
    60%

Power Index

Unicaja61.6#5
Barcelona58.7#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Unicaja3–2
LLWWW
7 days rest
Barcelona3–2
WLWLW
5 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 6•5:00 PM
MoraBanc AndorraHome · 1–4
VS
ValenciaAway · 3–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Valencia

Projected margin: Valencia by 9.2

78%Win probability
MoraBanc Andorra 22%78% Valencia
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Valencia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Valencia 4th, MoraBanc Andorra 15th.
  • ▸MoraBanc Andorra: L-L-L-W-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    77%
  • Logistic
    80%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    79%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    77%
  • Gradient boosting
    84%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    82%
  • LLM panel
    72%

Power Index

MoraBanc Andorra28.8#15
Valencia67.0#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

MoraBanc Andorra1–4
LLLWL
7 days rest
Valencia3–2
LWLWW
5 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 6•4:00 PM
BaskoniaHome · 3–2
VS
ManresaAway · 0–5

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Baskonia

Projected margin: Baskonia by 12.6

90%Win probability
Baskonia 90%10% Manresa
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Baskonia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Baskonia 2nd, Manresa 18th.
  • ▸Baskonia: W-W-W-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Baskonia
  • Elo
    79%
  • Logistic
    85%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    90%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    90%
  • Gradient boosting
    92%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    91%
  • LLM panel
    73%

Power Index

Baskonia97.0#2
Manresa0.0#18
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Baskonia3–2
WWWLL
5 days rest
Manresa0–5
LLLLL
Game page →

Saturday, October 31

ACB•Regular season · Round 6•8:00 PM
Leyma CorunaHome · 1–4
VS
TenerifeAway · 4–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Tenerife

Projected margin: Tenerife by 6.2

81%Win probability
Leyma Coruna 19%81% Tenerife
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Tenerife the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Tenerife 3rd, Leyma Coruna 17th.
  • ▸Leyma Coruna: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Tenerife
  • Elo
    71%
  • Logistic
    74%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    85%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    85%
  • Gradient boosting
    79%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    80%
  • LLM panel
    73%

Power Index

Leyma Coruna18.4#17
Tenerife90.6#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Leyma Coruna1–4
LWLLL
7 days rest
Tenerife4–1
LWWWW
6 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 6•6:30 PM
MurciaHome · 2–3
VS
Forca LleidaAway · 1–4

CourtFrame model · Lean

Murcia

Projected margin: Murcia by 9.7

61%Win probability
Murcia 61%39% Forca Lleida
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Murcia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Murcia 14th, Forca Lleida 16th.
  • ▸Murcia: L-W-L-L-W in the last 5.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Murcia
  • Elo
    79%
  • Logistic
    80%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    68%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    67%
  • Gradient boosting
    76%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    74%
  • LLM panel
    49%

Power Index

Murcia36.5#14
Forca Lleida24.6#16
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Murcia2–3
LWLLW
7 days rest
Forca Lleida1–4
WLLLL
6 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 6•5:00 PM
Basket ZaragozaHome · 3–2
VS
Basquet GironaAway · 3–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Basket Zaragoza

Projected margin: Basket Zaragoza by 3.6

67%Win probability
Basket Zaragoza 67%33% Basquet Girona
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Basket Zaragoza the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Basket Zaragoza 6th, Basquet Girona 10th.
  • ▸Basket Zaragoza: W-L-W-W-L in the last 5.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Basket Zaragoza
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    57%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    64%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    64%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    60%
  • LLM panel
    65%

Power Index

Basket Zaragoza60.7#6
Basquet Girona55.7#10
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Basket Zaragoza3–2
WLWWL
7 days rest
Basquet Girona3–2
WLLWW
6 days rest
Game page →

Sunday, October 25

4/6 correct (67%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 5•6:00 PM
✓ Correct
Forca LleidaHome · 1–3
86–122
Real MadridAway · 4–0

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Real Madrid

Projected margin: Real Madrid by 8.0

78%Win probability
Forca Lleida 22%78% Real Madrid
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Real Madrid the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Real Madrid 1st, Forca Lleida 16th.
  • ▸Forca Lleida: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Real Madrid
  • Elo
    77%
  • Logistic
    84%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    80%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    79%
  • Gradient boosting
    80%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    78%
  • LLM panel
    75%

Power Index

Forca Lleida24.6#16
Real Madrid100.0#1
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Forca Lleida1–3
LWLLL
7 days rest
Real Madrid4–0
LWWWW
3 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 5•5:00 PM
✗ Missed
BreoganHome · 3–1
90–103
UnicajaAway · 2–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Breogan

Projected margin: Breogan by 1.5

59%Win probability
Breogan 59%41% Unicaja
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Breogan the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Unicaja 5th, Breogan 9th.
  • ▸Breogan: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Breogan
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    64%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    60%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    60%
  • Gradient boosting
    60%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    58%
  • LLM panel
    65%

Power Index

Breogan56.1#9
Unicaja61.6#5
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Breogan3–1
LWWWL
Unicaja2–2
LLLWW
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 5•4:00 PM
✓ Correct
ValenciaHome · 2–2
84–75
BaskoniaAway · 3–1

CourtFrame model · Lean

Valencia

Projected margin: Valencia by 7.3

57%Win probability
Valencia 57%43% Baskonia
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Valencia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Baskonia 2nd, Valencia 4th.
  • ▸Valencia: W-L-W-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    71%
  • Logistic
    67%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    57%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    56%
  • Gradient boosting
    63%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    64%
  • LLM panel
    34%

Power Index

Valencia67.0#4
Baskonia97.0#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Valencia2–2
WLWLW
2 days rest
Baskonia3–1
LWWWL
3 days rest
Game page →

Saturday, October 24

3/3 correct (100%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 5•7:00 PM
✓ Correct
BarcelonaHome · 2–2
99–81
Basket ZaragozaAway · 3–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Barcelona

Projected margin: Barcelona by 10.8

70%Win probability
Barcelona 70%30% Basket Zaragoza
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Barcelona the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Basket Zaragoza 6th, Barcelona 7th.
  • ▸Barcelona: L-W-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Barcelona
  • Elo
    78%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    60%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    59%
  • Gradient boosting
    69%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    70%
  • LLM panel
    53%

Power Index

Barcelona58.7#7
Basket Zaragoza60.7#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Barcelona2–2
LWLWL
2 days rest
Basket Zaragoza3–1
WWLWW
6 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 5•5:30 PM
✓ Correct
MurciaHome · 1–3
88–81
Leyma CorunaAway · 1–3

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Murcia

Projected margin: Murcia by 12.0

78%Win probability
Murcia 78%22% Leyma Coruna
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Murcia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Murcia 14th, Leyma Coruna 17th.
  • ▸Murcia: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Murcia
  • Elo
    82%
  • Logistic
    80%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    80%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    80%
  • Gradient boosting
    82%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    84%
  • LLM panel
    59%

Power Index

Murcia36.5#14
Leyma Coruna18.4#17
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Murcia1–3
LLWLL
6 days rest
Leyma Coruna1–3
LWLL
6 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 5•4:00 PM
✓ Correct
ManresaHome · 0–4
81–99
San Pablo BurgosAway · 1–3

CourtFrame model · Lean

San Pablo Burgos

Projected margin: San Pablo Burgos by 0.5

58%Win probability
Manresa 42%58% San Pablo Burgos
  • ▸5 of 7 CourtFrame models make San Pablo Burgos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: San Pablo Burgos 12th, Manresa 18th.
  • ▸Manresa: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models5 of 7 favour San Pablo Burgos
  • Elo
    41%
  • Logistic
    46%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    56%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    56%
  • Gradient boosting
    52%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    51%
  • LLM panel
    65%

Power Index

Manresa0.0#18
San Pablo Burgos42.6#12
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Manresa0–4
WLLLL
7 days rest
San Pablo Burgos1–3
WLWLL
7 days rest
Game page →

Sunday, October 18

5/6 correct (83%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 4•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Joventut BadalonaHome · 1–2
113–89
BarcelonaAway · 2–1

CourtFrame model · Lean

Joventut Badalona

Projected margin: Joventut Badalona by 1.1

56%Win probability
Joventut Badalona 56%44% Barcelona
  • ▸5 of 7 CourtFrame models make Joventut Badalona the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Barcelona 7th, Joventut Badalona 13th.
  • ▸Joventut Badalona: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models5 of 7 favour Joventut Badalona
  • Elo
    50%
  • Logistic
    47%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    59%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    60%
  • Gradient boosting
    53%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    50%
  • LLM panel
    26%

Power Index

Joventut Badalona37.7#13
Barcelona58.7#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Joventut Badalona1–2
LLLLW
4 days rest
Barcelona2–1
LLWLW
2 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 4•4:00 PM
✗ Missed
TenerifeHome · 2–1
82–77
BaskoniaAway · 3–0

CourtFrame model · Lean

Baskonia

Projected margin: Baskonia by 0.5

62%Win probability
Tenerife 38%62% Baskonia
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Baskonia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Baskonia 2nd, Tenerife 3rd.
  • ▸Tenerife: L-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Baskonia
  • Elo
    48%
  • Logistic
    62%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    62%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    61%
  • Gradient boosting
    57%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    58%
  • LLM panel
    66%

Power Index

Tenerife90.6#3
Baskonia97.0#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Tenerife2–1
LLLWW
7 days rest
Baskonia3–0
LLWWW
2 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 4•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
ValenciaHome · 1–2
116–93
MurciaAway · 1–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Valencia

Projected margin: Valencia by 9.0

81%Win probability
Valencia 81%19% Murcia
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Valencia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Valencia 4th, Murcia 14th.
  • ▸Valencia: W-W-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    75%
  • Logistic
    78%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    82%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    82%
  • Gradient boosting
    83%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    82%
  • LLM panel
    65%

Power Index

Valencia67.0#4
Murcia36.5#14
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Valencia1–2
WWLWL
3 days rest
Murcia1–2
WLLWL
7 days rest
Game page →

Saturday, October 17

0/3 correct (0%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 4•7:00 PM
✗ Missed
San Pablo BurgosHome · 1–2
72–79
Obradoiro CABAway · 2–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

San Pablo Burgos

Projected margin: San Pablo Burgos by 6.3

87%Win probability
San Pablo Burgos 87%13% Obradoiro CAB
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make San Pablo Burgos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Obradoiro CAB 11th, San Pablo Burgos 12th.
  • ▸San Pablo Burgos: L-W-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour San Pablo Burgos
  • Elo
    62%
  • Logistic
    58%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    72%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    72%
  • Gradient boosting
    65%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    68%
  • LLM panel
    50%

Power Index

San Pablo Burgos42.6#12
Obradoiro CAB53.0#11
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

San Pablo Burgos1–2
LWLWL
6 days rest
Obradoiro CAB2–1
WLW
6 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 4•5:30 PM
✗ Missed
MoraBanc AndorraHome · 0–3
108–102
BreoganAway · 3–0

CourtFrame model · Lean

Breogan

Projected margin: Breogan by 0.3

69%Win probability
MoraBanc Andorra 31%69% Breogan
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Breogan the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Breogan 9th, MoraBanc Andorra 15th.
  • ▸MoraBanc Andorra: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Breogan
  • Elo
    53%
  • Logistic
    63%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    61%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    60%
  • Gradient boosting
    64%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    62%
  • LLM panel
    71%

Power Index

MoraBanc Andorra28.8#15
Breogan56.1#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

MoraBanc Andorra0–3
WLLLL
3 days rest
Breogan3–0
LLWWW
7 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 4•4:00 PM
✗ Missed
ManresaHome · 0–3
72–84
UnicajaAway · 1–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Manresa

Projected margin: Manresa by 1.7

64%Win probability
Manresa 64%36% Unicaja
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 4 of 7 favour Unicaja.
  • ▸Power Index: Unicaja 5th, Manresa 18th.
  • ▸Manresa: W-W-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models4 of 7 favour Unicaja
  • Elo
    47%
  • Logistic
    49%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    51%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    51%
  • Gradient boosting
    50%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    53%
  • LLM panel
    53%

Power Index

Manresa0.0#18
Unicaja61.6#5
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Manresa0–3
WWLLL
6 days rest
Unicaja1–2
LLLLW
7 days rest
Game page →

Sunday, October 11

3/6 correct (50%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 3•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
BarcelonaHome · 1–1
89–86
ValenciaAway · 1–1

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Barcelona

Projected margin: Barcelona by 1.0

50%Win probability
Barcelona 50%50% Valencia
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Valencia.
  • ▸Power Index: Valencia 4th, Barcelona 7th.
  • ▸Barcelona: L-L-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    51%
  • Logistic
    54%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    62%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    62%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panel
    35%

Power Index

Barcelona58.7#7
Valencia67.0#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Barcelona1–1
LLLWL
2 days rest
Valencia1–1
WWWLW
3 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 3•4:00 PM
✗ Missed
BilbaoHome · 1–1
96–87
San Pablo BurgosAway · 1–1

CourtFrame model · Lean

San Pablo Burgos

Projected margin: San Pablo Burgos by 0.5

57%Win probability
Bilbao 43%57% San Pablo Burgos
  • ▸4 of 7 CourtFrame models make San Pablo Burgos the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Bilbao 8th, San Pablo Burgos 12th.
  • ▸Bilbao: W-L-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models4 of 7 favour San Pablo Burgos
  • Elo
    36%
  • Logistic
    39%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    65%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    65%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    61%
  • LLM panel
    44%

Power Index

Bilbao57.9#8
San Pablo Burgos42.6#12
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Bilbao1–1
WLLWL
7 days rest
San Pablo Burgos1–1
WLWLW
7 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 3•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
BaskoniaHome · 2–0
93–73
Joventut BadalonaAway · 0–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Baskonia

Projected margin: Baskonia by 6.1

83%Win probability
Baskonia 83%17% Joventut Badalona
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Baskonia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Baskonia 2nd, Joventut Badalona 13th.
  • ▸Baskonia: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Baskonia
  • Elo
    65%
  • Logistic
    75%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    82%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    82%
  • Gradient boosting
    81%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    81%
  • LLM panel
    74%

Power Index

Baskonia97.0#2
Joventut Badalona37.7#13
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Baskonia2–0
WLLWW
2 days rest
Joventut Badalona0–1
WLLLL
Game page →

Saturday, October 10

2/3 correct (67%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 3•7:00 PM
✓ Correct
BreoganHome · 2–0
115–92
Basquet GironaAway · 1–1

CourtFrame model · Lean

Breogan

Projected margin: Breogan by 3.6

64%Win probability
Breogan 64%36% Basquet Girona
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Breogan the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Breogan 9th, Basquet Girona 10th.
  • ▸Breogan: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Breogan
  • Elo
    65%
  • Logistic
    74%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    63%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    63%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    61%
  • LLM panel
    71%

Power Index

Breogan56.1#9
Basquet Girona55.7#10
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Breogan2–0
WLLWW
7 days rest
Basquet Girona1–1
LLWWL
6 days rest
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 3•5:30 PM
✓ Correct
UnicajaHome · 0–2
92–84
MoraBanc AndorraAway · 0–1

CourtFrame model · Lean

Unicaja

Projected margin: Unicaja by 7.4

63%Win probability
Unicaja 63%37% MoraBanc Andorra
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Unicaja the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Unicaja 5th, MoraBanc Andorra 15th.
  • ▸Unicaja: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Unicaja
  • Elo
    69%
  • Logistic
    63%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    63%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    63%
  • Gradient boosting
    62%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    61%
  • LLM panel
    40%

Power Index

Unicaja61.6#5
MoraBanc Andorra28.8#15
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Unicaja0–2
WLLLL
7 days rest
MoraBanc Andorra0–1
LLWLL
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 3•4:00 PM
✗ Missed
Leyma CorunaHome · 1–1
71–92
Basket ZaragozaAway · 1–1

CourtFrame model · Lean

Leyma Coruna

Projected margin: Leyma Coruna by 2.4

60%Win probability
Leyma Coruna 60%40% Basket Zaragoza
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Leyma Coruna the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Basket Zaragoza 6th, Leyma Coruna 17th.
  • ▸Basket Zaragoza: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Leyma Coruna
  • Elo
    55%
  • Logistic
    56%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    60%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    61%
  • Gradient boosting
    57%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    57%
  • LLM panel
    60%

Power Index

Leyma Coruna18.4#17
Basket Zaragoza60.7#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Leyma Coruna1–1
LW
6 days rest
Basket Zaragoza1–1
LLWWL
6 days rest
Game page →

Sunday, October 4

1/6 correct (17%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 2•5:00 PM
✗ Missed
MurciaHome · 0–1
100–94
BarcelonaAway · 1–0

Our pick · Clear favourite

Barcelona

Projected margin: Barcelona by 16.1

72%Win probability
Murcia 28%72% Barcelona
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Barcelona the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Barcelona 7th, Murcia 14th.
  • ▸Murcia: W-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Barcelona
  • Elo
    48%
  • Logistic
    55%
  • Logistic v2
    54%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    53%
  • Gradient boosting
    55%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    54%
  • LLM panelPub
    72%

Power Index

Murcia36.5#14
Barcelona58.7#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Murcia0–1
WLWLL
7 days rest
Barcelona1–0
WLLLW
2 days rest
Playoff Series2 — Game 1
Murcia
0
Barcelona
0
First to 4 wins
Playoff Experience (3yr)
Murcia: 105 gamesBarcelona: 218 games
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 2•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
BaskoniaHome · 1–0
118–78
Basquet GironaAway · 1–0

Our pick · Lean

Baskonia

Projected margin: Baskonia by 9.1

69%Win probability
Baskonia 69%31% Basquet Girona
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Baskonia the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Baskonia 2nd, Basquet Girona 10th.
  • ▸Baskonia: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Baskonia
  • Elo
    75%
  • Logistic
    78%
  • Logistic v2
    74%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    73%
  • Gradient boosting
    72%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    71%
  • LLM panelPub
    69%

Power Index

Baskonia97.0#2
Basquet Girona55.7#10
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Baskonia1–0
WWLLW
2 days rest
Basquet Girona1–0
LLLWW
7 days rest
Playoff Series2 — Game 1
Baskonia
0
Basquet Girona
0
First to 4 wins
Playoff Experience (3yr)
Baskonia: 195 gamesBasquet Girona: 93 games
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 2•3:00 PM
✗ Missed
Basket ZaragozaHome · 1–0
82–97
ValenciaAway · 0–1

Our pick · Lean

Basket Zaragoza

Projected margin: Basket Zaragoza by 6.1

63%Win probability
Basket Zaragoza 63%37% Valencia
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Valencia.
  • ▸Power Index: Valencia 4th, Basket Zaragoza 6th.
  • ▸Basket Zaragoza: L-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    75%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2
    59%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    57%
  • Gradient boosting
    58%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    58%
  • LLM panelPub
    37%

Power Index

Basket Zaragoza60.7#6
Valencia67.0#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Basket Zaragoza1–0
LLLWW
7 days rest
Valencia0–1
LWWWL
2 days rest
Playoff Series2 — Game 1
Basket Zaragoza
0
Valencia
0
First to 4 wins
Playoff Experience (3yr)
Basket Zaragoza: 91 gamesValencia: 181 games
Game page →

Saturday, October 3

1/2 correct (50%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 2•7:00 PM
✓ Correct
ManresaHome · 0–1
95–101
BreoganAway · 1–0

Our pick · Lean

Breogan

Projected margin: Breogan by 7.6

65%Win probability
Manresa 35%65% Breogan
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Manresa.
  • ▸Power Index: Breogan 9th, Manresa 18th.
  • ▸Manresa: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Manresa
  • Elo
    59%
  • Logistic
    54%
  • Logistic v2
    59%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    60%
  • Gradient boosting
    51%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    52%
  • LLM panelPub
    35%

Power Index

Manresa0.0#18
Breogan56.1#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Manresa0–1
WWWWL
7 days rest
Breogan1–0
WWLLW
6 days rest
Playoff Series2 — Game 1
Manresa
0
Breogan
0
First to 4 wins
Playoff Experience (3yr)
Manresa: 94 gamesBreogan: 93 games
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 2•5:30 PM
✗ Missed
UnicajaHome · 0–1
75–80
TenerifeAway · 0–1

Our pick · Lean

Unicaja

Projected margin: Unicaja by 4.8

65%Win probability
Unicaja 65%35% Tenerife
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Unicaja the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Tenerife 3rd, Unicaja 5th.
  • ▸Unicaja: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Unicaja
  • Elo
    57%
  • Logistic
    60%
  • Logistic v2
    61%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    61%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panelPub
    65%

Power Index

Unicaja61.6#5
Tenerife90.6#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Unicaja0–1
LWLLL
6 days rest
Tenerife0–1
WLLLL
6 days rest
Playoff Series2 — Game 1
Unicaja
0
Tenerife
0
First to 4 wins
Playoff Experience (3yr)
Unicaja: 107 gamesTenerife: 105 games
Game page →

Wednesday, October 14

1/1 correct (100%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 2•6:00 PM
✓ Correct
Joventut BadalonaHome · 0–2
96–75
MoraBanc AndorraAway · 0–2

Our pick · Lean

Joventut Badalona

Projected margin: Joventut Badalona by 7.9

66%Win probability
Joventut Badalona 66%34% MoraBanc Andorra
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Joventut Badalona the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Joventut Badalona 13th, MoraBanc Andorra 15th.
  • ▸Joventut Badalona: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Joventut Badalona
  • Elo
    75%
  • Logistic
    70%
  • Logistic v2
    73%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    73%
  • Gradient boosting
    70%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    69%
  • LLM panelPub
    66%

Power Index

Joventut Badalona37.7#13
MoraBanc Andorra28.8#15
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Joventut Badalona0–2
LLLLL
3 days rest
MoraBanc Andorra0–2
LWLLL
4 days rest
Playoff Series2 — Game 1
Joventut Badalona
0
MoraBanc Andorra
0
First to 4 wins
Playoff Experience (3yr)
Joventut Badalona: 18 gamesMoraBanc Andorra: 9 games
Game page →

Sunday, September 27

1/5 correct (20%)
ACB•Regular season · Round 1•4:00 PM
✗ Missed
ValenciaHome
100–105
Forca LleidaAway

Our pick · Lean

Valencia

Projected margin: Valencia by 5.0

67%Win probability
Valencia 67%33% Forca Lleida
  • ▸Power Index: Valencia 4th, Forca Lleida 16th.
  • ▸Valencia: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
  • ▸Forca Lleida: W-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.

Power Index

Valencia67.0#4
Forca Lleida24.6#16
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Valencia
WLWWW
2 days rest
Forca Lleida
WLWLL
Playoff Series1 — Game 1
Valencia
0
Forca Lleida
0
First to 4 wins
Playoff Experience (3yr)
Valencia: 27 gamesForca Lleida: 9 games
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 1•3:00 PM
✗ Missed
Basquet GironaHome
84–77
MurciaAway

Our pick · Lean

Murcia

Projected margin: Murcia by 1.2

59%Win probability
Basquet Girona 41%59% Murcia
  • ▸Power Index: Basquet Girona 10th, Murcia 14th.
  • ▸Basquet Girona: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
  • ▸Murcia: W-W-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.

Power Index

Basquet Girona55.7#10
Murcia36.5#14
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Basquet Girona
LLLLW
Murcia
WWLWL
Playoff Series1 — Game 1
Basquet Girona
0
Murcia
0
First to 4 wins
Playoff Experience (3yr)
Basquet Girona: 9 gamesMurcia: 12 games
Game page →
ACB•Regular season · Round 1•11:00 AM
✗ Missed
TenerifeHome
80–81
Basket ZaragozaAway

Our pick · Lean

Tenerife

Projected margin: Tenerife by 3.2

61%Win probability
Tenerife 61%39% Basket Zaragoza
  • ▸Power Index: Tenerife 3rd, Basket Zaragoza 6th.
  • ▸Tenerife: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
  • ▸Basket Zaragoza: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.

Power Index

Tenerife90.6#3
Basket Zaragoza60.7#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Tenerife
LWLLL
Basket Zaragoza
LLLLW
Playoff Series1 — Game 1
Tenerife
0
Basket Zaragoza
0
First to 4 wins
Playoff Experience (3yr)
Tenerife: 14 gamesBasket Zaragoza: 7 games
Game page →
← All Predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are CourtFrame ACB predictions?

Every published pick is graded against the final score, and the record — misses included — is public on the track record page. The model is also scored each night against the bookmakers' closing line.

Where do the numbers come from?

From the CourtFrame model, a statistical model retrained every night on every game we track: team ratings carried across seasons, recent form, rest, and box-score efficiency adjusted for the opponents played. When a team has too few games behind it, we publish no pick rather than a guess.

How should I use these predictions?

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.