CourtFrame
Pricing
Liga Uruguaya

Goes vs Union Atletica

Prediction & preview · Friday, October 30, 2026 • Goes

Our pick · Clear favourite

Union Atletica

Projected margin: Union Atletica by 9.9

70%Win probability
Goes 30%Bookmakers 69–3170% Union Atletica

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models6 of 7 favour Goes
  • Elo
    61%
  • Logistic
    65%
  • Logistic v2
    81%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    81%
  • Gradient boosting
    78%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    78%
  • LLM panelPub
    30%

Power Index

Goes59.2↑0.5#4
Union Atletica28.6↓5.7#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Goes2–1
WLLWW
3 days rest
Union Atletica1–2
LWWLL
4 days rest

Game Preview

Goes host Union Atletica at Goes on Friday, October 30 in the Liga Uruguaya. Goes are 2–1 this season, Union Atletica 1–2. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Goes are 4th at 59.2 and Union Atletica 9th at 28.6.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 1Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Goes.
  • 2Power Index: Goes 4th, Union Atletica 9th.
  • 3Goes: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Union Atletica: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Rest: Union Atletica 4 days, Goes 3 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 70%)

Our pick has Union Atletica winning 70% of the time, by 9.9 points. Across our 7 models the range is 19–70%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Fast vs Slow92.9 vs 88.3
Home/Away Win%100% / 100%

Game Info

Date
Fri, Oct 30
Time
12:30 AM UTC
Venue
Goes