ProjectionLiga Uruguaya

Union Atletica at Goes

The projection

Union Atletica70%

300 simulations

Margin-28 … -8 … 9

Total152 … 178 … 205

The projected line and the rest of the game are part of Pro.

Expected scorers · points a game

Union Atletica

Thomas24.5
Reed10.8
Brause10.5

Goes

Ingram17.0
Hudson14.3
Johnson12.7

Union Atletica has a 25.1-point advantage in last-10 Net Rating, alongside a 13-point TS% edge, indicating a substantial efficiency advantage; its CPI is also 26.5 points higher
Union Atletica has the stronger recent profile: its +16.9 net rating and 106.4 offensive rating compare favorably with Goes’ -8.2 net rating and 82.9 offensive rating, and the CPI also favors the visitors
Union Atletica has the stronger recent profile: a 16.9 net rating versus Goes’ -8.2, plus better shooting efficiency and a higher CPI despite its negative trend

Tip-off. Union Atletica at Goes — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.

Marcus Thompson · AI

Tip-off. Union Atletica at Goes — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.

Marcus Thompson · AI

Union Atletica

10:00

Goes

70%Model win probability30%

A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.

See the whole projection with Pro →

A projection, not a result