CourtFrame
Pricing
Euroleague

Bayern vs Virtus Bologna

Prediction & preview · Thursday, October 8, 2026 • BMW Park

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Bayern

Projected margin: Bayern by 8.5

71%Win probability
Bayern 71%Bookmakers 67–3329% Virtus Bologna

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Bayern
  • Elo
    71%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    71%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    71%
  • Gradient boosting
    68%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    66%
  • LLM panel
    61%

Bookmakers: Bayern 67%

Power Index

Bayern51.0#10
Virtus Bologna48.8#11
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Bayern1–2
WLWLL
6 days rest
Virtus Bologna1–2
LWLLW
7 days rest

Game Preview

Bayern host Virtus Bologna at BMW Park on Thursday, October 8 in the Euroleague. Bayern are 1–2 this season, Virtus Bologna 1–2. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Bayern are 10th at 51.0 and Virtus Bologna 11th at 48.8.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Bayern the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Bayern at 67% against our 71%.
  • 3Power Index: Bayern 10th, Virtus Bologna 11th.
  • 4Bayern: W-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Virtus Bologna: L-W-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 71%)

The CourtFrame model has Bayern winning 71% of the time, by 8.5 points. Across our 7 models the range is 61–72%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Slow vs Fast81.2 vs 88.0
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%0% / 0%

Game Info

Date
Thu, Oct 8
Time
6:00 PM UTC
Venue
BMW Park
Stage
Regular season · Round 4