Atlanta Dream W vs New York Liberty W | Preview

NBA W

Thursday, June 11, 2026 • Gateway Center Arena

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Prediction

Winner

New York Liberty W

Confidence

51%

Margin

-1.9

AI Consensus5 of 7 agree

51%confident

▸New York Liberty W has a superior Net Rating of 7
▸The New York Liberty W have a slightly higher offensive rating and a better net rating compared to the Atlanta Dream W, suggesting they are more efficient overall
▸New York Liberty W has a slight edge due to better offensive efficiency (ORtg 110

Matchup Insights

Pace

Fast vs Slow64.4 vs 60.2

Injury ImpactNone

Schedule EdgeEven

Home/Away Win%66.7% / 80%

Upset Risk40.00%

Confidence Breakdown

Stats74%

Market63%

Momentum68%

Injuries75%

Matchup54%

Sentiment70%

New York Liberty W has a superior Net Rating of 7.6 compared to Atlanta Dream W's 5.3, driven by a higher Offensive Rating and True Shooting Percentage. Despite Atlanta's higher Courtframe Power Index, New York's more efficient shooting and slightly better pace control should give them an edge. The predicted total reflects both teams' high scoring averages and efficient offenses. The New York Liberty W have a slightly higher offensive rating and a better net rating compared to the Atlanta Dream W, suggesting they are more efficient overall. Despite Atlanta's strong home performance, New York's road success and superior scoring average give them a slight edge. The total is set high due to both teams' strong offensive metrics and relatively high PPG averages. New York Liberty W has a slight edge due to better offensive efficiency (ORtg 110.2) and strong road performance (80% win rate, 92.4 PPG). They also benefit from an extra day of rest compared to Atlanta Dream W. Despite Atlanta's higher CPI, New York's recent form and travel schedule give them the momentum advantage in this matchup. Despite both teams being healthy, New York Liberty W has a slightly better offensive rating and performs well on the road, averaging 92.4 PPG. Their higher ORtg and eFG% suggest they can outscore Atlanta Dream W, who have a strong home record but a lower CPI. The Liberty's superior road performance and offensive efficiency give them the edge in this matchup. The Atlanta Dream W have a slight edge due to their strong home performance and higher Courtframe Power Index. Despite the New York Liberty W's superior offensive rating and road performance, Atlanta's ability to control the pace and their defensive rating could be crucial. The lack of recent head-to-head data adds uncertainty, leading to a modest confidence level. The Atlanta Dream have a strong home record and are scoring well at home, averaging 87.3 PPG. Although the New York Liberty have a slightly better overall offensive rating, the Dream's solid defense and home-court advantage give them the edge in this matchup. Despite the Atlanta Dream's higher Courtframe Power Index, the New York Liberty have a stronger recent offensive performance with a higher ORtg and eFG%. The Liberty also have a strong road record and are slightly better rested. However, the Dream's home advantage and strong CPI suggest potential for an upset.

CPI Matchup

Atlanta Dream W84.19

New York Liberty W67.44

Edge: Atlanta Dream W +16.8 CPI

Game Info

League: NBA W
Date: Thu, Jun 11
Time: 11:30 PM
Venue: Gateway Center Arena

Team Pages

Atlanta Dream W

New York Liberty W