Manresa hosts San Pablo Burgos on October 24, 2026, at Pavelló Nou Congost in Round 5 of the regular season, with both teams trying to stabilize uneven starts. Manresa is 0-4 overall and 0-2 at home, while San Pablo Burgos is 1-3 overall and 1-1 away from home.
The matchup carries early-season urgency because Manresa has averaged 85.5 points but has not yet converted that scoring into a win. San Pablo Burgos has averaged 87.5 points and has been more productive on the road, scoring 90.5 points per away game through two away contests.
There is no recent head-to-head history between the teams, and neither side has significant injuries reported. That leaves the game shaped less by availability and more by execution: Manresa’s ability to protect the ball and finish possessions against a San Pablo Burgos team that has shown a clear rebounding advantage.
Early records point to pressure on Manresa
Manresa’s 0-4 start has come with a difficult efficiency profile. The club has scored 85.5 points per game, but its results have been undermined by defensive slippage and possession losses. Through four games, Manresa has averaged 13.8 turnovers, 17.3 assists, 30.5 rebounds, 7 steals and 1.8 blocks.
San Pablo Burgos has been only one win better in the table, but its underlying team profile is stronger in several possession-based categories. Through four games, San Pablo Burgos has averaged 87.5 points, 15 turnovers, 14.8 assists, 37 rebounds, 8 steals and 2.5 blocks.
The rebounding gap is the cleanest statistical separation. San Pablo Burgos has averaged 37 rebounds compared with Manresa’s 30.5, and that difference matters in a matchup where both teams are still searching for reliable late-game margins.
Pace and scoring environment
Both teams have played at similar tempos, with Manresa at a pace of 92 and San Pablo Burgos at 93.1. Because neither team has a meaningful rest disadvantage — Manresa has had seven days of rest and San Pablo Burgos has had six, with each playing one game in the last seven days — the pace should be dictated by ball security, defensive rebounding and transition control rather than fatigue.
The scoring market reflects that offensive environment, with totals clustered in the mid-180s, including 184.5, 185.5 and 186.5. That aligns with the teams’ combined scoring averages of 173 points per game, while also acknowledging that San Pablo Burgos has been more productive away from home and Manresa has still reached 83.5 points per game at Pavelló Nou Congost despite its 0-2 home record.
Manresa’s shot profile has leaned heavily toward the perimeter, with a three-point rate of 38.9. The issue has been conversion: Manresa has made 28 percent from three and 61.6 percent at the free-throw line. San Pablo Burgos has also been below 30 percent from three at 29.5, but its 78.8 percent free-throw shooting gives it a cleaner path to efficient scoring when the game slows down.
San Pablo Burgos’ edge on the glass
San Pablo Burgos enters with a 54.4 rebound percentage, while Manresa sits at 45.7. Even with both teams below full-season sample sizes, that gap matches the counting numbers: San Pablo Burgos is pulling down 6.5 more rebounds per game.
Balsa Koprivica is central to that advantage, averaging 11.3 points and 6 rebounds through four games. His work on the interior gives San Pablo Burgos a stabilizing presence next to perimeter scorers D. Steward, C. Audige and Ziga Samar.
Manresa’s counter begins with T. Allen, who has averaged 20.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists in two games. His scoring and rebounding production give Manresa a direct answer to San Pablo Burgos’ frontcourt size, but Manresa will need more collective work from N. Ongenda and C. Agbo, who are each averaging 10.3 points through four games.
Primary matchup: Manresa shot creation vs. San Pablo Burgos pressure
Manresa has a higher assist average than San Pablo Burgos, 17.3 to 14.8, and a higher assist rate, 54.3 to 46.5. That suggests Manresa has generated a larger share of its offense through passing sequences rather than isolated scoring.
The problem is that Manresa’s turnover rate is 15, and San Pablo Burgos has averaged 8 steals. San Pablo Burgos also has a higher block average, 2.5 to 1.8, which adds another layer to Manresa’s finishing challenge if the home side is forced off the three-point line.
J. Notae is an important pressure point for Manresa, averaging 13 points, 1.5 assists and 1.5 rebounds through four games. Lukasz Kolenda, at 10.3 points and 2.7 assists in three games, gives Manresa another ball-handling option, but the home team’s offensive balance will depend on whether those guards can create clean looks without feeding San Pablo Burgos’ transition chances.
San Pablo Burgos’ offensive balance
D. Steward leads San Pablo Burgos at 17 points per game, with 2.3 assists and 3 rebounds through four games. His production gives the visitors a clear perimeter scoring base, while Sekou Doumbouya has added 12.5 points and 3.5 rebounds per game.
C. Audige has averaged 11.5 points, and Ziga Samar has supplied 9.8 points, 3.5 assists and 2.5 rebounds. Samar’s playmaking is especially relevant against a Manresa defense that has already allowed opponents to put sustained pressure on the rim and foul line.
San Pablo Burgos’ own turnover average of 15 is a concern, particularly on the road. Manresa has averaged 7 steals, so the home side has enough activity to disrupt possessions if San Pablo Burgos becomes loose with entry passes or early-clock decisions.
Market and CPI view
The market gives Manresa a 57.7 percent implied probability compared with 42.3 percent for San Pablo Burgos, and the spread board has centered around Manresa as a narrow home favorite, including Manresa -1, -2 and -3 prices across the market.
The CourtFrame Power Index leans the other direction. San Pablo Burgos enters ranked 15th with a CPI of 24.90, while Manresa ranks 18th with a CPI of 0.00. The CPI differential is -24.9 from Manresa’s perspective, reflecting San Pablo Burgos’ stronger early profile despite the road setting.
That split between home-court pricing and CPI profile frames the matchup. Manresa has the venue and a market edge, but San Pablo Burgos has the superior rebounding numbers, better free-throw shooting and a stronger early CPI position.
What will decide it
Manresa needs to turn its passing volume into efficient shots without compounding possessions through turnovers. Its 46.2 percent field-goal shooting is identical to San Pablo Burgos, but the home team’s 28 percent three-point shooting and 61.6 percent free-throw shooting leave less margin if the game becomes possession-by-possession late.
San Pablo Burgos can tilt the game by controlling the defensive glass and getting to the line, where its 78.8 percent free-throw shooting is a major advantage over Manresa. If Koprivica and Doumbouya help maintain the rebounding edge, San Pablo Burgos can reduce Manresa’s second opportunities and force the home side to win with first-shot efficiency.
For Manresa, the clearest path to a first win is a cleaner guard game from Notae and Kolenda, plus another high-usage scoring night from Allen. For San Pablo Burgos, the formula is simpler: protect the ball well enough to let its rebounding, free-throw shooting and deeper scoring balance travel.