Manresa hosts Obradoiro CAB on November 7, 2026 at Pavelló Nou Congost in Round 7 of the regular season, with the home side still searching for its first ACB win at 0-6. Obradoiro CAB enters at 3-3 and has been the more stable team across the opening six games, particularly in turnover control, rebounding and defensive efficiency.
The market gives Manresa a 62.5 percent implied probability across nine bookmakers, a notable contrast with the early-season performance indicators. Manresa ranks 18th in CourtFrame Power Index at 0.00, while Obradoiro CAB ranks 11th at 45.66, creating a CPI differential of -45.7 from the home team’s perspective.
Efficiency profile: Obradoiro CAB has the cleaner two-way baseline
Manresa is scoring 84.3 points per game, but its broader efficiency profile explains the 0-6 start. It owns a 95.3 offensive rating and a 114.7 defensive rating, producing a -19.4 net rating through six games. The defensive number is the central concern: Manresa has not been able to offset its shooting efficiency with enough stops.
Obradoiro CAB has also been outscored on a per-possession basis, but the gap is less severe. It has a 99.9 offensive rating, a 106.9 defensive rating and a -7.0 net rating. That gives Obradoiro CAB a 4.6-point advantage in offensive rating and a 7.8-point advantage in defensive rating compared with Manresa.
The shooting indicators are close at the top line. Manresa has a 58.4 true shooting percentage and 53.2 effective field goal percentage, while Obradoiro CAB has a 58.6 true shooting percentage and 50.8 effective field goal percentage. The difference is that Obradoiro CAB has paired similar scoring efficiency with fewer empty possessions and better work on the glass.
Pace and possession battle
The pace matchup is almost even. Manresa plays at 88.5 possessions per game, while Obradoiro CAB sits at 88.9. With both teams operating in a similar tempo band, the game is less likely to be decided by pace preference and more likely to hinge on possession quality.
That is where Obradoiro CAB has a measurable edge. Manresa has a turnover rate of 18.5 percent and averages 16.3 turnovers, while Obradoiro CAB has a 14.8 percent turnover rate and averages 13.2 turnovers. In a matchup between two teams playing at nearly identical speed, that difference in ball security can become a direct source of shot-volume separation.
Obradoiro CAB also has the stronger rebounding profile. It owns a 51.1 rebound percentage and averages 34.8 rebounds, compared with Manresa’s 46.2 rebound percentage and 30.2 rebounds. If those trends hold, Obradoiro CAB can control more of the possession math even without forcing the game into a faster tempo.
Shot selection and scoring pressure
Both teams lean heavily into perimeter volume. Manresa has a 42.5 three-point rate, while Obradoiro CAB is slightly higher at 43.5. Neither team has shot the three at an elite clip so far: Manresa is at 28.0 percent, and Obradoiro CAB is at 29.7 percent.
The free-throw profile favors Obradoiro CAB by a small margin. Obradoiro CAB has a 34.2 free-throw rate and shoots 72.6 percent at the line, while Manresa has a 32.5 free-throw rate and shoots 65.0 percent. In a matchup where both teams take a large share of attempts from three, free-throw efficiency could be a stabilizer when jump shots are not falling.
Manresa’s field goal percentage is stronger at 47.2 percent compared with Obradoiro CAB’s 44.3 percent, and its effective field goal percentage advantage points to better two-point or shot-value conversion. But that advantage has not translated into wins because Manresa’s turnover rate, defensive rating and rebounding percentage have created too many disadvantages elsewhere.
Key players to watch
Manresa: T. Allen’s scoring load
T. Allen has averaged 20.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists across two games, giving Manresa its highest individual scoring average among the main contributors. His production adds needed shot creation to a team that has averaged 84.3 points but has struggled to build complete performances.
J. Notae has averaged 12.5 points and 1.8 assists across six games, while N. Ongenda has added 10.5 points and 4.5 rebounds. Pierre Oriola has contributed 9.8 points and 4.5 rebounds in four games, and Lukasz Kolenda has averaged 9.2 points and 2.0 assists across five games.
Obradoiro CAB: frontcourt balance and guard organization
J. Soriano leads Obradoiro CAB at 14.7 points and 6.2 rebounds per game, giving the visitors a reliable interior production point against a Manresa team that has struggled defensively. L. Meindl adds 11.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.5 assists, giving Obradoiro CAB another forward who can affect multiple phases.
Brandon Childress has averaged 11.0 points and 4.5 assists, the top playmaking figure in this matchup. Caleb Agada adds 9.5 points and 3.7 assists, while Alex Barcello contributes 10.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. Obradoiro CAB’s assist rate of 64.0 percent, compared with Manresa’s 60.3 percent, reflects that broader distribution.
Home and away context
Manresa is 0-3 at home and has averaged 82.7 points at Pavelló Nou Congost. Obradoiro CAB is 2-1 away from home and has averaged 81.7 points in road games. The venue gives Manresa the setting to reset, but the home split has not yet produced a result advantage.
Both teams enter with identical rest conditions: six days of rest and one game in the last seven days. Fatigue should not create a meaningful scheduling imbalance, which puts the focus back on execution, defensive resistance and possession control.
Injury report
Manresa reports no significant injuries, and Obradoiro CAB also reports no significant injuries. With both rotations intact, the matchup should reflect each team’s current form rather than availability constraints.
What decides the game
Manresa’s path starts with reducing turnovers. Its 18.5 percent turnover rate has placed too much pressure on a defense already allowing 114.7 points per 100 possessions. If Manresa gives Obradoiro CAB extra possessions while losing the rebounding battle, its offensive efficiency will need to be exceptional to compensate.
Obradoiro CAB’s path is more straightforward: protect the ball, rebound at its season level and force Manresa to defend deep into possessions. With advantages in turnover rate, rebound percentage, defensive rating and CPI rank, Obradoiro CAB enters with the more complete statistical case despite the market leaning toward Manresa.