Tip-off. Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Cleveland Cavaliers0
Q1
12:00
Miami Heat0
42%Model win probability58%
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- Bam Adebayo: “20160330 MCDAAG Bam Adebayo with the ball.jpg” by TonyTheTiger, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: “Giannis Antetokounmpo (51915153421) (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Davion Mitchell: “Davion Mitchell.jpg” by LockedIN Magazine, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Andrew Wiggins: “Andrew Wiggins Huntington (cropped).jpg” by Bryan Horowitz, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Tim Hardaway: “Tim Hardaway Jr. 2021.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Bobby Portis: “Bobby Portis 2021 (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Klay Thompson: “Klay Thompson (cropped).jpg” by Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Nikola Jovic: “Nikola-Jovic-2024.jpg” by Košarkaški savez Srbije, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- James Harden: “Harden dribbling midcourt, Cavaliers vs Nets on January 17, 2022 (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Donovan Mitchell: “Donovan Mitchell cavs 2023 (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Evan Mobley: “Evan Mobley.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Peyton Watson: “Peyton Watson 2025 (54856827608) (cropped).jpg” by Jeff Ruane, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jarrett Allen: “Jarrett Allen 2021.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Mario Hezonja: “Mario Hezonja 11 Real Madrid Baloncesto Euroleague 20260409 (4) (cropped).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Craig Porter: “Craig Porter Jr. (53368474868) (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
A projection, not a result
Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.