ProjectionSLB

Bristol Flyers at Newcastle Eagles

The projection

Newcastle Eagles72%

300 simulations

Margin-11 … 8 … 25

Total139 … 163 … 191

The projected line and the rest of the game are part of Pro.

Expected scorers · points a game

Bristol Flyers

Bailey20.7
Anderson10.6
Case10.1

Newcastle Eagles

P. Smith17.0
Tchoukuiegno14.3
Long11.9

Newcastle’s +9.6 net rating versus Bristol’s -0.4 is the clearest matchup edge, supported by a 2-point TS% advantage and stronger defensive rating
Newcastle is the market-backed favorite, and its stronger record, home results, and +9.6 recent net rating versus Bristol’s -0.4 support a home win; the CPI gap also points the same way, though the 68.9% market probability argues against excessive confidence
Newcastle’s stronger recent efficiency profile (Net +9.6 versus Bristol’s -0.4), 6-3 record, and 3-1 home record point to a home advantage

Tip-off. Bristol Flyers at Newcastle Eagles — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.

Marcus Thompson · AI

Tip-off. Bristol Flyers at Newcastle Eagles — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.

Marcus Thompson · AI

Bristol Flyers

10:00

Newcastle Eagles

28%Model win probability72%

A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.

See the whole projection with Pro →

A projection, not a result