Tip-off. Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Thunder0
Q1
12:00
Cleveland Cavaliers0
76%Model win probability24%
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- James Harden: “Harden dribbling midcourt, Cavaliers vs Nets on January 17, 2022 (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Donovan Mitchell: “Donovan Mitchell cavs 2023 (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Evan Mobley: “Evan Mobley.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Peyton Watson: “Peyton Watson 2025 (54856827608) (cropped).jpg” by Jeff Ruane, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jarrett Allen: “Jarrett Allen 2021.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Sam Merrill: “Sam Merrill (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Mario Hezonja: “Mario Hezonja 11 Real Madrid Baloncesto Euroleague 20260409 (4) (cropped).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: “2023-08-09 Deutschland gegen Kanada (Basketball-Länderspiel) by Sandro Halank–108.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- A. Mitchell: “Ajay Mitchell OKCThunder 2025 at the NBA Cup (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Isaiah Hartenstein: “Isaiah Hartenstein (cropped).png” by Jerimaiai1000, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- J. McCain: “Jared McCain Duke v. Michigan State.jpg” by Brady Saylor, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- A. Mara: “Aday Mara (Michigan Wolverines men's basketball player) during February 11, 2026 game against the Northwestern Wildcats at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, Illinois (05).jpg” by TonyTheTiger, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- B. Stirtz: “Bennett Stirtz.jpg” by TigerNet.com, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
A projection, not a result
Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.