Tip-off. San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Spurs0
Q1
12:00
Dallas Mavericks0
41%Model win probability59%
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- C. Flagg: “Duke at UNC, Mar 2025, Flagg.jpg” by Hameltion, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Naji Marshall: “Naji Marshall.png” by FOX Sports, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Max Christie: “Max Christie (53368718915) (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Tarik Biberovic: “Tarik Biberovic 13 Fenerbahçe Basketbol Euroleague 20260409 (4) (cropped).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Daniel Gafford: “WizardsRaptors 35 (51589304503) (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Zaccharie Risacher: “Zaccharie Risacher All Star Game (cropped).jpg” by Yoann210, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Sergio De Larrea: “Sergio de Larrea con la selección española.jpg” by Deriman Arca, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Caleb Martin: “Caleb Martin.jpg” by SneakinDeacon, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- De'Aaron Fox: “DeAaron Fox DBZ 2.jpg” by Bandai Namco Entertainment America, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Devin Vassell: “Devin Vassell.jpg” by SneakinDeacon, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Stephon Castle: “Stephon Castle.jpg” by The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Victor Wembanyama: “Victor Wembanyama San Antonio Spurs 2024.jpg” by Frenchieinportland, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Julian Champagnie: “Julian Champagnie San Antonio Spurs 2024.jpg” by Frenchieinportland, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Harrison Barnes: “Harrison Barnes in 2019 (cropped).jpg” by Frenchieinportland, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Keldon Johnson: “Keldon Johnson.png” by FOX Sports, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Luke Kornet: “Luke Kornet San Antonio Spurs 2025 NBA Cup (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
A projection, not a result
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.