Tip-off. Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Houston Rockets0
Q1
12:00
Spurs0
41%Model win probability59%
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- De'Aaron Fox: “DeAaron Fox DBZ 2.jpg” by Bandai Namco Entertainment America, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Devin Vassell: “Devin Vassell.jpg” by SneakinDeacon, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Stephon Castle: “Stephon Castle.jpg” by The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Victor Wembanyama: “Victor Wembanyama San Antonio Spurs 2024.jpg” by Frenchieinportland, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Julian Champagnie: “Julian Champagnie San Antonio Spurs 2024.jpg” by Frenchieinportland, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Harrison Barnes: “Harrison Barnes in 2019 (cropped).jpg” by Frenchieinportland, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Keldon Johnson: “Keldon Johnson.png” by FOX Sports, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Luke Kornet: “Luke Kornet San Antonio Spurs 2025 NBA Cup (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Kevin Durant: “Kevin Durant Feb 2014.jpg” by Keith Allison, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jabari Smith Jr.: “1 jabari smith jr.jpg” by Chensiyuan, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Alperen Sengun: “Alperen Şengün 23 Türkiye 20250823 (2) (cropped).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Marcus Smart: “MarcusSmart2021 (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Tari Eason: “1 tari eason.jpg” by Chensiyuan, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Steven Adams: “Steven Adams (32049572304).jpg” by Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
A projection, not a result
Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.