ProjectionSLB

Surrey 89ers at Newcastle Eagles

The projection

Newcastle Eagles81%

300 simulations

Margin-3 … 10 … 22

Total132 … 157 … 181

The projected line and the rest of the game are part of Pro.

Expected scorers · points a game

Surrey 89ers

Jackson20.5
Graham14.2
Reynolds14.0

Newcastle Eagles

P. Smith18.6
Tchoukuiegno15.6
Long11.8

Newcastle has the clear efficiency and rating edge: its last-10 net rating is +9 versus Surrey’s -18.5, with higher TS% (53.9% vs. 45.6%) and eFG% (48.5% vs. 42%)
Newcastle has the stronger recent efficiency profile (Net +9 versus Surrey’s -18.5), higher scoring output, and a solid home record, pointing to a comfortable home advantage
Newcastle’s stronger recent efficiency profile, 2-1 home record, and higher home scoring point to a clear home advantage over a Surrey side that is 0-2 and scored 67 points in its road game

Tip-off. Surrey 89ers at Newcastle Eagles — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.

Marcus Thompson · AI

Tip-off. Surrey 89ers at Newcastle Eagles — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.

Marcus Thompson · AI

Surrey 89ers

10:00

Newcastle Eagles

19%Model win probability81%

A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.

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A projection, not a result