Tip-off. Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Denver Nuggets0
Q1
12:00
Thunder0
42%Model win probability59%
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: “2023-08-09 Deutschland gegen Kanada (Basketball-Länderspiel) by Sandro Halank–108.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jalen Williams: “Jalen Williams OKCThunder 2025 NBA Cup (cropped) (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Cason Wallace: “Cason Wallace - MBB v. Vanderbilt - March 01, 2023 by Brady Saylor - 0099.jpg” by Brady Saylor, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- A. Mitchell: “Ajay Mitchell OKCThunder 2025 at the NBA Cup (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Isaiah Hartenstein: “Isaiah Hartenstein (cropped).png” by Jerimaiai1000, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Alex Caruso: “Alex Caruso (52480104636) (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- J. McCain: “Jared McCain Duke v. Michigan State.jpg” by Brady Saylor, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jamal Murray: “Jamal Murray free throw (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Nikola Jokic: “Nikola Jokic free throw (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Christian Braun: “Christian Braun 2023 parade (cropped).jpg” by Pbritti, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- DeMar DeRozan: “DeMar DeRozan 2022.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Cameron Johnson: “CamJohnsonCC (cropped).png” by YES Network, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Aaron Gordon: “Aaron Gordon 2019 (cropped).jpg” by Reggie Hildred, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Alpha Diallo: “Alpha Diallo.jpg” by Ken Jancef, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Lonnie Walker: “20170329 MCDAAG Lonnie Walker IV.jpg” by TonyTheTiger, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Marvin Bagley: “Marvin Bagley III (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
A projection, not a result
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.