Tip-off. Dubai at Bayern — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Dubai0
Q1
10:00
Bayern0
40%Model win probability60%
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- Andreas Obst: “2025-01-05 ALBA Berlin gegen FC Bayern München (Basketball-Bundesliga 2024-25) by Sandro Halank–019.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Vladimir Lucic: “2025-01-24 ALBA Berlin gegen FC Bayern München (EuroLeague 2024-25) by Sandro Halank–005.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Duane Washington: “Duane Washington Jr..jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Johannes Thiemann: “2023-12-09 Syntainics MBC gegen ALBA Berlin (BBL-Pokal, Viertelfinale) by Sandro Halank–099.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Justinian Jessup: “2024-11-09 ALBA Berlin gegen ratiopharm Ulm (Basketball-Bundesliga 2024-25) by Sandro Halank–018.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Kamar Baldwin: “2025-10-26 ALBA Berlin gegen FC Bayern München (Basketball-Bundesliga 2025-26) by Sandro Halank–026.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Oscar Da Silva: “2025-01-05 ALBA Berlin gegen FC Bayern München (Basketball-Bundesliga 2024-25) by Sandro Halank–037.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- MarJon Beauchamp: “MarJon Beauchamp.png” by Al Ward, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Rokas Jokubaitis: “2022-03-22 ALBA Berlin gegen FC Barcelona Bàsquet (EuroLeague 2021-22) by Sandro Halank–028.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Justus Hollatz: “2022-04-27 ALBA Berlin gegen Hamburg Towers (Basketball-Bundesliga 2021-22) by Sandro Halank–044.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- McKinley Wright: “McKinley Wright IV 25 KK Budućnost EuroCup 20250122 (2).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Dwayne Bacon: “Dwayne Bacon @ Zenit (2024-10-21)-0.jpg” by Vyacheslav Bukharov, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Elie Okobo: “Elie Okobo.jpg” by Yannick - L'oeil du nord, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jaron Blossomgame: “Jaron Blossomgame (1).jpg” by Garry Thompson from New River Valley, Virginia, United States, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Tornike Shengelia: “Tornike Shengelia 21 Virtus Pallacanestro Bologna Euroleague 20250131 (9).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Thomas Walkup: “2022-03-10 ALBA Berlin gegen Olympiacos Piraeus (EuroLeague 2021-22) by Sandro Halank–028.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Filip Petrusev: “2022-11-22 ALBA Berlin gegen KK Crvena zvezda (EuroLeague 2022-23) by Sandro Halank–050.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Mfiondu Kabengele: “Mfiondu Kabengele (cropped).jpg” by SneakinDeacon from New River Valley, Va, United States, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Mamadi Diakite: “Mamadi Diakite (cropped).jpg” by SneakinDeacon from New River Valley, Va, United States, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Davis Bertans: “Dāvis Bertāns 8 Dubai Basketball Euroleague 20251014 (2) (cropped).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
A projection, not a result
Dubai at Bayern
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.