Tip-off. Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Dallas Mavericks0
Q1
12:00
Houston Rockets0
41%Model win probability59%
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- Kevin Durant: “Kevin Durant Feb 2014.jpg” by Keith Allison, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jabari Smith Jr.: “1 jabari smith jr.jpg” by Chensiyuan, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Alperen Sengun: “Alperen Şengün 23 Türkiye 20250823 (2) (cropped).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Marcus Smart: “MarcusSmart2021 (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Tari Eason: “1 tari eason.jpg” by Chensiyuan, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Steven Adams: “Steven Adams (32049572304).jpg” by Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- C. Flagg: “Duke at UNC, Mar 2025, Flagg.jpg” by Hameltion, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Naji Marshall: “Naji Marshall.png” by FOX Sports, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Max Christie: “Max Christie (53368718915) (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Tarik Biberovic: “Tarik Biberovic 13 Fenerbahçe Basketbol Euroleague 20260409 (4) (cropped).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Daniel Gafford: “WizardsRaptors 35 (51589304503) (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Zaccharie Risacher: “Zaccharie Risacher All Star Game (cropped).jpg” by Yoann210, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Sergio De Larrea: “Sergio de Larrea con la selección española.jpg” by Deriman Arca, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Caleb Martin: “Caleb Martin.jpg” by SneakinDeacon, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
A projection, not a result
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets
A projection, not a result. One sampled path of many; the range is shown alongside it. Scorers are drawn from each side's expected rotation by their averages; players reported out are left out. Shot spots are illustrative.