Tip-off. Murcia at Valencia — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Murcia0
Q1
10:00
Valencia0
19%Model win probability81%
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- Sander Raieste: “2023-01-05 ALBA Berlin gegen Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (EuroLeague 2022-23) by Sandro Halank–006.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Emanuel Cate: “45a Lliga Nacional Catalana AON 2024 ACB (53987383757).jpg” by FCBQ, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Dylan Ennis: “Dylan Ennis 31 KK Crvena zvezda 20171219 (2) (cropped).jpg” by Sakhalinio, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jonah Radebaugh: “2022-05-27 ALBA Berlin gegen MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg (Basketball-Bundesliga 2021-22) by Sandro Halank–107.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Kameron Taylor: “Kameron Taylor1.jpg” by BiggySmoov, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Neal Sako: “All-Star Game LNB 2024 (435) (Neal Sako).jpg” by Like tears in rain, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Marcis Steinbergs: “Semifinals 43a Lliga Catalana AON 2022 ACB (52374118850).jpg” by FCBQ, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Josep Puerto: “Josep Puerto 2 Valencia Basket Euroleague 20260116 (5).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Nikola Mirotic: “2022-03-22 ALBA Berlin gegen FC Barcelona Bàsquet (EuroLeague 2021-22) by Sandro Halank–014.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Armoni Brooks: “Armoni Brooks.jpg” by Tom Hagerty, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Dylan Osetkowski: “2021-06-01 ALBA Berlin gegen ratiopharm Ulm (Play-off-Halbfinale 3, Basketball-Bundesliga 2020-21) by Sandro Halank–043.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Moussa Diagne: “FCBQ) - 41863058761.jpg” by FCBQ, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Mario Saint-Supery: “45a Lliga Nacional Catalana AON 2024 ACB (53987383792).jpg” by FCBQ, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jean-Marc Pansa: “2025-12-16 ALBA Berlin gegen Sabah BC (Basketball Champions League 2025-26) by Sandro Halank–001.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
From the record
Murcia at Valencia
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.