CourtFrame
Pricing
CourtFrame
Premier League

Premier League Predictions

Win probabilities from the CourtFrame model

Thursday, October 29

Premier League•5:00 PM
Al AhliHome · 2–1
VS
Al ManamaAway · 1–0

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Al Ahli

Projected margin: Al Ahli by 0.5

50%Win probability
Al Ahli 50%50% Al Manama
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 4 of 7 favour Al Manama.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 2nd, Al Ahli 5th.
  • ▸Al Ahli: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models4 of 7 favour Al Manama
  • Elo
    51%
  • Logistic
    54%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    53%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    52%
  • Gradient boosting
    50%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    50%
  • LLM panel
    41%

Power Index

Al Ahli73.4#5
Al Manama91.7↑25.0#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Ahli2–1
LLWWL
Al Manama1–0
LLWLW
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
Al IttihadHome · 1–2
VS
Al MuharraqAway · 3–0

CourtFrame model · Lean

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 3.4

64%Win probability
Al Ittihad 36%64% Al Muharraq
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Muharraq the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 3rd, Al Ittihad 6th.
  • ▸Al Ittihad: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Muharraq
  • Elo
    57%
  • Logistic
    66%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    67%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    67%
  • Gradient boosting
    63%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    63%
  • LLM panel
    72%

Power Index

Al Ittihad41.4#6
Al Muharraq75.0↑8.3#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Ittihad1–2
WWLLW
Al Muharraq3–0
LWWWW
Game page →

Wednesday, October 28

Premier League•5:00 PM
Al HalaHome · 3–0
VS
Al NajmaAway · 3–0

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Al Najma

Projected margin: Al Najma by 0.5

51%Win probability
Al Hala 49%51% Al Najma
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Al Hala.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Najma 1st, Al Hala 4th.
  • ▸Al Hala: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Al Hala
  • Elo
    53%
  • Logistic
    57%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    52%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    52%
  • Gradient boosting
    55%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    54%
  • LLM panel
    48%

Power Index

Al Hala75.0↑8.3#4
Al Najma100.0#1
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Hala3–0
LWWWW
Al Najma3–0
LLWWW
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
ISSA TownHome · 0–2
VS
SamaheejAway · 0–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Samaheej

Projected margin: Samaheej by 5.8

63%Win probability
ISSA Town 37%63% Samaheej
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Samaheej the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: ISSA Town 8th, Samaheej 10th.
  • ▸ISSA Town: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Samaheej
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    65%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    63%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    62%
  • Gradient boosting
    54%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    55%
  • LLM panel
    41%

Power Index

ISSA Town0.0#8
Samaheej0.0#10
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

ISSA Town0–2
LLLLL
Samaheej0–2
WWLLL
Game page →

Tuesday, October 27

1/1 correct (100%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Sitra ClubHome · 0–3
83–82
NuwaidradAway · 0–3

CourtFrame model · Lean

Sitra Club

Projected margin: Sitra Club by 5.8

65%Win probability
Sitra Club 65%35% Nuwaidrad
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Sitra Club the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Sitra Club 7th, Nuwaidrad 9th.
  • ▸Sitra Club: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Sitra Club
  • Elo
    68%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    65%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    65%
  • Gradient boosting
    66%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    67%
  • LLM panel
    58%

Power Index

Sitra Club36.2↑36.2#7
Nuwaidrad0.0#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Sitra Club0–3
WLLLL
7 days rest
Nuwaidrad0–3
LWLLL
6 days rest
Game page →

Wednesday, October 21

1/1 correct (100%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
NuwaidradHome · 0–2
59–70
Al IttihadAway · 0–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Al Ittihad

Projected margin: Al Ittihad by 10.3

76%Win probability
Nuwaidrad 24%76% Al Ittihad
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Ittihad the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Ittihad 6th, Nuwaidrad 9th.
  • ▸Nuwaidrad: W-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Al Ittihad
  • Elo
    66%
  • Logistic
    75%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    75%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    75%
  • Gradient boosting
    69%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    67%
  • LLM panel
    41%

Power Index

Nuwaidrad0.0#9
Al Ittihad41.4#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Nuwaidrad0–2
WLWLL
Al Ittihad0–2
WWWLL
Game page →

Tuesday, October 20

2/2 correct (100%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al NajmaHome · 2–0
67–54
Al AhliAway · 2–0

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Al Najma

Projected margin: Al Najma by 7.4

70%Win probability
Al Najma 70%30% Al Ahli
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Najma the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Najma 1st, Al Ahli 5th.
  • ▸Al Najma: L-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Najma
  • Elo
    61%
  • Logistic
    69%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    70%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    69%
  • Gradient boosting
    66%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    69%
  • LLM panel
    60%

Power Index

Al Najma100.0#1
Al Ahli73.4#5
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Najma2–0
LLLWW
Al Ahli2–0
LLLWW
7 days rest
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al HalaHome · 2–0
95–81
Sitra ClubAway · 0–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Al Hala

Projected margin: Al Hala by 5.0

69%Win probability
Al Hala 69%31% Sitra Club
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Hala the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Hala 4th, Sitra Club 7th.
  • ▸Al Hala: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Hala
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    66%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    72%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    73%
  • Gradient boosting
    61%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    64%
  • LLM panel
    65%

Power Index

Al Hala75.0↑8.3#4
Sitra Club36.2↑36.2#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Hala2–0
WLWWW
6 days rest
Sitra Club0–2
LWLLL
6 days rest
Game page →

Monday, October 19

1/1 correct (100%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
Al ManamaHome · 1–0
VS
SamaheejAway · 0–2

CourtFrame model · Lean

Al Manama

Projected margin: Al Manama by 4.2

67%Win probability
Al Manama 67%33% Samaheej
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Manama the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 2nd, Samaheej 10th.
  • ▸Al Manama: L-L-W-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Manama
  • Elo
    62%
  • Logistic
    66%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    69%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    69%
  • Gradient boosting
    71%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    72%
  • LLM panel
    72%

Power Index

Al Manama91.7↑25.0#2
Samaheej0.0#10
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Manama1–0
LLWLW
Samaheej0–2
WWLLL
5 days rest
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al MuharraqHome · 2–0
124–74
ISSA TownAway · 0–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 18.3

89%Win probability
Al Muharraq 89%11% ISSA Town
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Muharraq the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 3rd, ISSA Town 8th.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Muharraq
  • Elo
    84%
  • Logistic
    94%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    94%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    94%
  • Gradient boosting
    94%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    95%
  • LLM panel
    70%

Power Index

Al Muharraq75.0↑8.3#3
ISSA Town0.0#8
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Muharraq2–0
WLWWW
5 days rest
ISSA Town0–1
WLLLL
Game page →

Wednesday, October 14

2/2 correct (100%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al MuharraqHome · 1–0
97–73
Sitra ClubAway · 0–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 13.2

83%Win probability
Al Muharraq 83%17% Sitra Club
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Muharraq the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 3rd, Sitra Club 7th.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-W-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Muharraq
  • Elo
    75%
  • Logistic
    84%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    83%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    83%
  • Gradient boosting
    82%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    82%
  • LLM panel
    69%

Power Index

Al Muharraq75.0↑8.3#3
Sitra Club36.2↑36.2#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Muharraq1–0
WWLWW
Sitra Club0–1
WLWLL
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
SamaheejHome · 0–1
64–85
Al HalaAway · 1–0

CourtFrame model · Lean

Al Hala

Projected margin: Al Hala by 0.1

57%Win probability
Samaheej 43%57% Al Hala
  • ▸4 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Hala the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Hala 4th, Samaheej 10th.
  • ▸Samaheej: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models4 of 7 favour Al Hala
  • Elo
    38%
  • Logistic
    40%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    57%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    57%
  • Gradient boosting
    51%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    50%
  • LLM panel
    69%

Power Index

Samaheej0.0#10
Al Hala75.0↑8.3#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Samaheej0–1
LWWLL
Al Hala1–0
WWLWW
Game page →

Tuesday, October 13

1/1 correct (100%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al AhliHome · 1–0
77–69
NuwaidradAway · 0–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Al Ahli

Projected margin: Al Ahli by 5.9

70%Win probability
Al Ahli 70%30% Nuwaidrad
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Ahli the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Ahli 5th, Nuwaidrad 9th.
  • ▸Al Ahli: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Ahli
  • Elo
    66%
  • Logistic
    71%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    73%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    73%
  • Gradient boosting
    67%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    69%
  • LLM panel
    60%

Power Index

Al Ahli73.4#5
Nuwaidrad0.0#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Ahli1–0
LLLLW
7 days rest
Nuwaidrad0–1
LWLWL
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
ISSA TownHome · 0–1
VS
Al ManamaAway · 1–0

CourtFrame model · Lean

Al Manama

Projected margin: Al Manama by 4.1

63%Win probability
ISSA Town 37%63% Al Manama
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Manama the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 2nd, ISSA Town 8th.
  • ▸ISSA Town: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Manama
  • Elo
    62%
  • Logistic
    70%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    63%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    62%
  • Gradient boosting
    53%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    54%
  • LLM panel
    63%

Power Index

ISSA Town0.0#8
Al Manama91.7↑25.0#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

ISSA Town0–1
WLLLL
Al Manama1–0
LLWLW
Game page →

Monday, October 12

0/1 correct (0%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✗ Missed
Al NajmaHome · 1–0
75–70
Al IttihadAway · 0–1

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Al Ittihad

Projected margin: Al Ittihad by 1.7

50%Win probability
Al Najma 50%50% Al Ittihad
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 5 of 7 favour Al Najma.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Najma 1st, Al Ittihad 6th.
  • ▸Al Najma: W-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models5 of 7 favour Al Najma
  • Elo
    47%
  • Logistic
    46%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    50%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    51%
  • Gradient boosting
    50%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    51%
  • LLM panel
    64%

Power Index

Al Najma100.0#1
Al Ittihad41.4#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Najma1–0
WLLLW
Al Ittihad0–1
WWWWL
6 days rest
Game page →

Tuesday, October 6

1/2 correct (50%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✗ Missed
Al IttihadHome
59–66
Al AhliAway

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Al Ittihad

Projected margin: Al Ittihad by 12.7

80%Win probability
Al Ittihad 80%Bookmakers 17–8320% Al Ahli
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Ittihad the favourite.
  • ▸Bookmakers price Al Ittihad at 17%, 63 points below our 80%.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Ahli 5th, Al Ittihad 6th.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Al Ittihad
  • Elo
    71%
  • Logistic
    82%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    80%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    79%
  • Gradient boosting
    89%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    89%
  • LLM panel
    17%

Bookmakers: Al Ittihad 17%

Power Index

Al Ittihad41.4#6
Al Ahli73.4#5
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Ittihad
WWWWW
Al Ahli
LLLLL
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
SamaheejHome
60–95
Al MuharraqAway

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 11.3

83%Win probability
Samaheej 17%Bookmakers 12–8883% Al Muharraq
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Muharraq the favourite.
  • ▸Bookmakers price Al Muharraq at 88%, 5 points above our 83%.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 3rd, Samaheej 10th.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Muharraq
  • Elo
    59%
  • Logistic
    59%
  • Logistic v2
    58%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    57%
  • Gradient boosting
    55%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    55%
  • LLM panelPub
    83%

Bookmakers: Al Muharraq 88%

Power Index

Samaheej0.0#10
Al Muharraq75.0↑8.3#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Samaheej
LLWWL
Al Muharraq
WWWLW
Game page →

Monday, October 5

1/2 correct (50%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✗ Missed
Sitra ClubHome
67–84
Al ManamaAway

Our pick · Lean

Sitra Club

Projected margin: Sitra Club by 0.5

58%Win probability
Sitra Club 58%42% Al Manama
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Sitra Club the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 2nd, Sitra Club 7th.
  • ▸Sitra Club: L-W-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Sitra Club
  • Elo
    57%
  • Logistic
    64%
  • Logistic v2
    63%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    63%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panelPub
    58%

Power Index

Sitra Club36.2↑36.2#7
Al Manama91.7↑25.0#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Sitra Club
LWLWL
Al Manama
WLLWL
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al HalaHome
99–77
ISSA TownAway

Our pick · Toss-up

Al Hala

Projected margin: ISSA Town by 0.5

50%Win probability
Al Hala 50%50% ISSA Town
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Al Hala the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Al Hala 4th, ISSA Town 8th.
  • ▸Al Hala: L-W-W-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Al Hala
  • Elo
    61%
  • Logistic
    69%
  • Logistic v2
    67%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    67%
  • Gradient boosting
    67%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    67%
  • LLM panelPub
    50%

Power Index

Al Hala75.0↑8.3#4
ISSA Town0.0#8
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Al Hala
LWWLW
ISSA Town
WWLLL
Game page →

Friday, April 17

1/1 correct (100%)
Premier League•Premier League · Final•4:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al ManamaHome · 13–9
81–89
Al MuharraqAway · 19–2

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 12.5

83%Win probability
Al Manama 17%83% Al Muharraq
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 1st, Al Manama 3rd.
  • ▸Al Manama: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Manama61.5#3
Al Muharraq100.0#1
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Manama13–9
WWLLW
3 days rest
Al Muharraq19–2
WWWWL
3 days rest
Game page →

Tuesday, April 14

0/1 correct (0%)
Premier League•Premier League · Final•4:00 PM
✗ Missed
Al MuharraqHome · 19–1
83–89
Al ManamaAway · 12–9

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 12.9

82%Win probability
Al Muharraq 82%18% Al Manama
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 1st, Al Manama 3rd.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Manama: W-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Muharraq100.0#1
Al Manama61.5#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Muharraq19–1
WWWWW
3 days rest
Al Manama12–9
WWWLL
3 days rest
Game page →

Saturday, April 11

1/1 correct (100%)
Premier League•Premier League · Final•4:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al ManamaHome · 12–8
80–88
Al MuharraqAway · 18–1

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 13.3

82%Win probability
Al Manama 18%82% Al Muharraq
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 1st, Al Manama 3rd.
  • ▸Al Manama: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Manama61.5#3
Al Muharraq100.0#1
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Manama12–8
LWWWL
3 days rest
Al Muharraq18–1
WWWWW
3 days rest
Game page →

Wednesday, April 8

1/1 correct (100%)
Premier League•Premier League · Final•4:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al MuharraqHome · 17–1
74–73
Al ManamaAway · 12–7

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 6.5

82%Win probability
Al Muharraq 82%18% Al Manama
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 1st, Al Manama 3rd.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Manama: L-L-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Muharraq100.0#1
Al Manama61.5#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Muharraq17–1
WWWWW
7 days rest
Al Manama12–7
LLWWW
4 days rest
Game page →

Saturday, April 4

0/1 correct (0%)
Premier League•Premier League · Semi-finals•4:00 PM
✗ Missed
Al NajmaHome · 9–9
71–75
Al ManamaAway · 11–7

Our pick · Toss-up

Al Najma

Projected margin: Al Najma by 2.0

52%Win probability
Al Najma 52%48% Al Manama
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 3rd, Al Najma 5th.
  • ▸Al Najma: W-L-W-L-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Manama: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Najma46.0#5
Al Manama61.5#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Najma9–9
WLWLL
3 days rest
Al Manama11–7
WLLWW
3 days rest
Game page →

Wednesday, April 1

2/2 correct (100%)
Premier League•Premier League · Semi-finals•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al MuharraqHome · 16–1
102–63
Al AhliAway · 7–10

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 9.5

84%Win probability
Al Muharraq 84%16% Al Ahli
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 1st, Al Ahli 7th.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Ahli: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Muharraq100.0#1
Al Ahli37.0#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Muharraq16–1
WWWWW
3 days rest
Al Ahli7–10
WLLLL
3 days rest
Game page →
Premier League•Premier League · Semi-finals•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al ManamaHome · 10–7
95–92
Al NajmaAway · 9–8

Our pick · Lean

Al Manama

Projected margin: Al Manama by 2.5

58%Win probability
Al Manama 58%42% Al Najma
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 3rd, Al Najma 5th.
  • ▸Al Manama: L-W-L-L-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Najma: L-W-L-W-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Manama61.5#3
Al Najma46.0#5
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Manama10–7
LWLLW
3 days rest
Al Najma9–8
LWLWL
3 days rest
Game page →

Thursday, March 26

1/2 correct (50%)
Premier League•Premier League · Semi-finals•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al MuharraqHome · 14–1
90–73
Al AhliAway · 7–8

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 9.5

83%Win probability
Al Muharraq 83%17% Al Ahli
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 1st, Al Ahli 7th.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Ahli: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Muharraq100.0#1
Al Ahli37.0#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Muharraq14–1
WWWWW
Al Ahli7–8
LWWLL
Game page →
Premier League•Premier League · Semi-finals•3:00 PM
✗ Missed
Al ManamaHome · 9–6
76–78
Al NajmaAway · 8–7

Our pick · Lean

Al Manama

Projected margin: Al Manama by 2.5

58%Win probability
Al Manama 58%42% Al Najma
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 3rd, Al Najma 5th.
  • ▸Al Manama: W-L-L-W-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Najma: W-W-L-W-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Manama61.5#3
Al Najma46.0#5
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Manama9–6
WLLWL
Al Najma8–7
WWLWL
Game page →

Tuesday, March 17

1/1 correct (100%)
Premier League•Premier League · Final•5:30 PM
✓ Correct
Al HalaHome · 5–12
96–86
Sitra ClubAway · 8–6

Our pick · Lean

Al Hala

Projected margin: Al Hala by 2.5

55%Win probability
Al Hala 55%45% Sitra Club
  • ▸Power Index: Sitra Club 6th, Al Hala 8th.
  • ▸Al Hala: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Sitra Club: W-L-W-L-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Hala34.6#8
Sitra Club39.6#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Hala5–12
LLWWL
Back-to-back
Sitra Club8–6
WLWLW
Back-to-back
Game page →

Thursday, February 19

2/2 correct (100%)
Premier League•7:45 PM
✓ Correct
Sitra ClubHome · 6–5
110–92
ISSA TownAway · 2–9

Our pick · Clear favourite

Sitra Club

Projected margin: Sitra Club by 6.5

72%Win probability
Sitra Club 72%28% ISSA Town
  • ▸Power Index: Sitra Club 6th, ISSA Town 10th.
  • ▸Sitra Club: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5.
  • ▸ISSA Town: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Sitra Club39.6#6
ISSA Town1.2#10
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Sitra Club6–5
LLWWL
ISSA Town2–9
LWWLL
6 days rest
Game page →
Premier League•5:45 PM
✓ Correct
SamaheejHome · 7–4
76–91
Al IttihadAway · 11–0

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Ittihad

Projected margin: Al Ittihad by 7.0

84%Win probability
Samaheej 16%84% Al Ittihad
  • ▸Power Index: Al Ittihad 2nd, Samaheej 4th.
  • ▸Samaheej: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Ittihad: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Samaheej61.4#4
Al Ittihad98.1#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Samaheej7–4
WLLWW
6 days rest
Al Ittihad11–0
WWWWW
7 days rest
Game page →

Wednesday, February 18

2/2 correct (100%)
Premier League•7:30 PM
✓ Correct
NuwaidradHome · 2–11
67–94
Al ManamaAway · 8–5

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Manama

Projected margin: Al Manama by 9.0

78%Win probability
Nuwaidrad 22%78% Al Manama
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 3rd, Nuwaidrad 9th.
  • ▸Nuwaidrad: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Manama: W-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Nuwaidrad28.4#9
Al Manama61.5#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Nuwaidrad2–11
LLLLW
7 days rest
Al Manama8–5
WWWLL
6 days rest
Game page →
Premier League•5:30 PM
✓ Correct
Al HalaHome · 3–10
94–107
Al NajmaAway · 7–6

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Najma

Projected margin: Al Najma by 6.0

72%Win probability
Al Hala 28%72% Al Najma
  • ▸Power Index: Al Najma 5th, Al Hala 8th.
  • ▸Al Hala: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Najma: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Hala34.6#8
Al Najma46.0#5
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Hala3–10
WLLLL
7 days rest
Al Najma7–6
LLWWL
5 days rest
Game page →

Friday, February 13

2/2 correct (100%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al NajmaHome · 7–5
87–102
Al MuharraqAway · 11–1

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 6.0

78%Win probability
Al Najma 22%78% Al Muharraq
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 1st, Al Najma 5th.
  • ▸Al Najma: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Najma46.0#5
Al Muharraq100.0#1
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Najma7–5
WLLWW
6 days rest
Al Muharraq11–1
WLWWW
7 days rest
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
ISSA TownHome · 2–8
71–88
SamaheejAway · 6–4

Our pick · Lean

Samaheej

Projected margin: Samaheej by 5.5

68%Win probability
ISSA Town 32%68% Samaheej
  • ▸Power Index: Samaheej 4th, ISSA Town 10th.
  • ▸ISSA Town: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Samaheej: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.

Power Index

ISSA Town1.2#10
Samaheej61.4#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

ISSA Town2–8
LLWWL
Samaheej6–4
WWLLW
Game page →

Thursday, February 12

1/2 correct (50%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✗ Missed
Al ManamaHome · 8–4
67–78
Al AhliAway · 6–6

Our pick · Lean

Al Manama

Projected margin: Al Manama by 4.5

68%Win probability
Al Manama 68%32% Al Ahli
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 3rd, Al Ahli 7th.
  • ▸Al Manama: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Ahli: L-L-W-L-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Manama61.5#3
Al Ahli37.0#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Manama8–4
LWWWL
5 days rest
Al Ahli6–6
LLWLW
7 days rest
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
Bahrain ClubHome · 2–9
75–95
Al IttihadAway · 10–0

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Ittihad

Projected margin: Al Ittihad by 12.0

90%Win probability
Bahrain Club 10%90% Al Ittihad
  • ▸Power Index: Al Ittihad 2nd, Bahrain Club 11th.
  • ▸Bahrain Club: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Ittihad: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Bahrain Club0.0#11
Al Ittihad98.1#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Bahrain Club2–9
LLLLL
7 days rest
Al Ittihad10–0
WWWWW
5 days rest
Game page →

Wednesday, February 11

0/1 correct (0%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✗ Missed
NuwaidradHome · 1–11
90–82
Al HalaAway · 3–9

Our pick · Lean

Al Hala

Projected margin: Al Hala by 4.0

66%Win probability
Nuwaidrad 34%66% Al Hala
  • ▸Power Index: Al Hala 8th, Nuwaidrad 9th.
  • ▸Nuwaidrad: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Hala: W-W-L-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Nuwaidrad28.4#9
Al Hala34.6#8
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Nuwaidrad1–11
LLLLL
6 days rest
Al Hala3–9
WWLLL
5 days rest
Game page →

Saturday, February 7

1/2 correct (50%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✗ Missed
Al NajmaHome · 6–5
86–71
Al ManamaAway · 8–3

Our pick · Lean

Al Manama

Projected margin: Al Manama by 3.0

66%Win probability
Al Najma 34%66% Al Manama
  • ▸Power Index: Al Manama 3rd, Al Najma 5th.
  • ▸Al Najma: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Manama: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Najma46.0#5
Al Manama61.5#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Najma6–5
WWLLW
Al Manama8–3
WLWWW
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al IttihadHome · 9–0
90–86
Sitra ClubAway · 6–4

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Ittihad

Projected margin: Al Ittihad by 7.0

82%Win probability
Al Ittihad 82%18% Sitra Club
  • ▸Power Index: Al Ittihad 2nd, Sitra Club 6th.
  • ▸Al Ittihad: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
  • ▸Sitra Club: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Ittihad98.1#2
Sitra Club39.6#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Ittihad9–0
WWWWW
Sitra Club6–4
WLLWW
Game page →

Friday, February 6

1/1 correct (100%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al HalaHome · 3–8
80–93
Al MuharraqAway · 10–1

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Muharraq

Projected margin: Al Muharraq by 10.0

82%Win probability
Al Hala 18%82% Al Muharraq
  • ▸Power Index: Al Muharraq 1st, Al Hala 8th.
  • ▸Al Hala: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Al Muharraq: W-W-L-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Hala34.6#8
Al Muharraq100.0#1
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Hala3–8
LWWLL
Al Muharraq10–1
WWLWW
Game page →

Thursday, February 5

2/2 correct (100%)
Premier League•5:00 PM
✓ Correct
Al AhliHome · 5–6
79–74
NuwaidradAway · 1–10

Our pick · Clear favourite

Al Ahli

Projected margin: Al Ahli by 10.5

78%Win probability
Al Ahli 78%22% Nuwaidrad
  • ▸Power Index: Al Ahli 7th, Nuwaidrad 9th.
  • ▸Al Ahli: W-L-L-W-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Nuwaidrad: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Al Ahli37.0#7
Nuwaidrad28.4#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Al Ahli5–6
WLLWL
Nuwaidrad1–10
LLLLL
Game page →
Premier League•3:00 PM
✓ Correct
Bahrain ClubHome · 2–8
71–100
SamaheejAway · 5–4

Our pick · Clear favourite

Samaheej

Projected margin: Samaheej by 6.0

72%Win probability
Bahrain Club 28%72% Samaheej
  • ▸Power Index: Samaheej 4th, Bahrain Club 11th.
  • ▸Bahrain Club: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
  • ▸Samaheej: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Bahrain Club0.0#11
Samaheej61.4#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Bahrain Club2–8
LLLLL
7 days rest
Samaheej5–4
LWWLL
Game page →
← All Predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are CourtFrame Premier League predictions?

Every published pick is graded against the final score, and the record — misses included — is public on the track record page. The model is also scored each night against the bookmakers' closing line.

Where do the numbers come from?

From the CourtFrame model, a statistical model retrained every night on every game we track: team ratings carried across seasons, recent form, rest, and box-score efficiency adjusted for the opponents played. When a team has too few games behind it, we publish no pick rather than a guess.

How should I use these predictions?

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.