What data sources are used for NBA W predictions?

We use official game statistics, team performance data, player analytics, bookmaker odds, injury reports, and advanced metrics from verified sports data providers.

NBA W Predictions

Win probabilities from the CourtFrame model

Thursday, October 29

NBA W•Final•4:30 PM

Atlanta Dream WHome · 38–18

Golden State Valkyries WAway · 41–15

Our pick · Lean

Golden State Valkyries W

Projected margin: Golden State Valkyries W by 2.6

62%Win probability

Atlanta Dream W 38%62% Golden State Valkyries W

▸Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Atlanta Dream W.
▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Atlanta Dream W 3rd.
▸Atlanta Dream W: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

7 Models6 of 7 favour Atlanta Dream W

Elo
56%
Logistic
62%
Logistic v2
59%
Logistic v2 + players
60%
Gradient boosting
58%
Gradient boosting + players
61%
LLM panelPub
38%

Power Index

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Atlanta Dream W38–18

LWWLL

2 days rest

Golden State Valkyries W41–15

WLLWW

2 days rest

Playoff SeriesFinals — Game 6

Atlanta Dream W

Golden State Valkyries W

First to 4 wins

Elimination game for Atlanta Dream W

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Atlanta Dream W: 15 gamesGolden State Valkyries W: 13 games

Game page →

Tuesday, October 27

0/1 correct (0%)

NBA W•Final•12:00 AM

✗ Missed

Golden State Valkyries WHome · 40–15

64–55

Atlanta Dream WAway · 38–17

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 1.0

50%Win probability

Golden State Valkyries W 50%50% Atlanta Dream W

▸Our models split from the pick: 5 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W.
▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Atlanta Dream W 3rd.
▸Golden State Valkyries W: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.

7 Models5 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W

Elo
52%
Logistic
49%
Logistic v2Pub
53%
Logistic v2 + players
55%
Gradient boosting
53%
Gradient boosting + players
59%
LLM panel
35%

Power Index

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Golden State Valkyries W40–15

WWLLW

3 days rest

Atlanta Dream W38–17

WLWWL

3 days rest

Playoff SeriesFinals — Game 4

Golden State Valkyries W

Atlanta Dream W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Golden State Valkyries W: 11 gamesAtlanta Dream W: 13 games

Game page →

Saturday, October 24

0/1 correct (0%)

NBA W•Final•5:00 PM

✗ Missed

Atlanta Dream WHome · 38–16

62–67

Golden State Valkyries WAway · 39–15

CourtFrame model · Lean

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 1.7

56%Win probability

Atlanta Dream W 56%44% Golden State Valkyries W

▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Atlanta Dream W the favourite.
▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Atlanta Dream W 3rd.
▸Atlanta Dream W: W-W-L-W-W in the last 5.

7 Models7 of 7 favour Atlanta Dream W

Elo
61%
Logistic
68%
Logistic v2Pub
65%
Logistic v2 + players
63%
Gradient boosting
64%
Gradient boosting + players
63%
LLM panel
55%

Power Index

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Atlanta Dream W38–16

WWLWW

2 days rest

Golden State Valkyries W39–15

WWWLL

2 days rest

Playoff SeriesFinals — Game 2

Atlanta Dream W

Golden State Valkyries W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Atlanta Dream W: 11 gamesGolden State Valkyries W: 9 games

Game page →

Thursday, October 22

1/1 correct (100%)

NBA W•Final•12:00 AM

✓ Correct

Atlanta Dream WHome · 37–16

97–71

Golden State Valkyries WAway · 39–14

Our pick · Lean

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 5.1

64%Win probability

Atlanta Dream W 64%36% Golden State Valkyries W

▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Atlanta Dream W the favourite.
▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Atlanta Dream W 3rd.
▸Atlanta Dream W: W-W-W-L-W in the last 5.

7 Models7 of 7 favour Atlanta Dream W

Elo
57%
Logistic
64%
Logistic v2
59%
Logistic v2 + players
57%
Gradient boosting
59%
Gradient boosting + players
56%
LLM panelPub
64%

Power Index

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Atlanta Dream W37–16

WWWLW

2 days rest

Golden State Valkyries W39–14

WWWWL

2 days rest

Playoff SeriesFinals — Game 1

Atlanta Dream W

Golden State Valkyries W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Atlanta Dream W: 10 gamesGolden State Valkyries W: 8 games

Game page →

Tuesday, October 20

1/1 correct (100%)

NBA W•Final•12:00 AM

✓ Correct

Golden State Valkyries WHome · 39–13

65–79

Atlanta Dream WAway · 36–16

Our pick · Lean

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 3.7

62%Win probability

Golden State Valkyries W 38%62% Atlanta Dream W

▸Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W.
▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Atlanta Dream W 3rd.
▸Golden State Valkyries W: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

7 Models6 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W

Elo
58%
Logistic
53%
Logistic v2
59%
Logistic v2 + players
61%
Gradient boosting
57%
Gradient boosting + players
60%
LLM panelPub
38%

Power Index

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Golden State Valkyries W39–13

WWWWW

3 days rest

Atlanta Dream W36–16

WWWWL

3 days rest

Playoff SeriesFinals — Game 1

Golden State Valkyries W

Atlanta Dream W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Golden State Valkyries W: 8 gamesAtlanta Dream W: 10 games

Game page →

Saturday, October 17

0/1 correct (0%)

NBA W•Final•7:30 PM

✗ Missed

Golden State Valkyries WHome · 38–13

68–64

Atlanta Dream WAway · 36–15

Our pick · Lean

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 3.5

64%Win probability

Golden State Valkyries W 36%64% Atlanta Dream W

▸Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W.
▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Atlanta Dream W 3rd.
▸Golden State Valkyries W: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

7 Models6 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W

Elo
57%
Logistic
52%
Logistic v2
58%
Logistic v2 + players
64%
Gradient boosting
53%
Gradient boosting + players
64%
LLM panelPub
36%

Power Index

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Golden State Valkyries W38–13

LWWWW

7 days rest

Atlanta Dream W36–15

WWWWW

Playoff SeriesFinals — Game 1

Golden State Valkyries W

Atlanta Dream W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Golden State Valkyries W: 8 gamesAtlanta Dream W: 10 games

Game page →

Saturday, October 10

0/1 correct (0%)

NBA W•Semi-finals•1:30 AM

✗ Missed

Las Vegas Aces WHome · 32–19

77–87

Golden State Valkyries WAway · 37–13

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Golden State Valkyries W

51%Win probability

Las Vegas Aces W 49%51% Golden State Valkyries W

▸4 of 7 CourtFrame models make Golden State Valkyries W the favourite.
▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Las Vegas Aces W 8th.
▸Las Vegas Aces W: W-L-W-L-L in the last 5.

7 Models4 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W

Elo
54%
Logistic
48%
Logistic v2Pub
51%
Logistic v2 + players
54%
Gradient boosting
48%
Gradient boosting + players
50%
LLM panel
60%

Power Index

Las Vegas Aces W81.6#8

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Las Vegas Aces W32–19

WLWLL

2 days rest

Golden State Valkyries W37–13

WLWWW

2 days rest

Playoff SeriesSemi-Finals — Game 2

Las Vegas Aces W

Golden State Valkyries W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Las Vegas Aces W: 27 gamesGolden State Valkyries W: 6 games

Game page →

Friday, October 9

1/1 correct (100%)

NBA W•Semi-finals•11:30 PM

✓ Correct

New York Liberty WHome · 30–21

83–85

Atlanta Dream WAway · 35–15

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 1.8

54%Win probability

New York Liberty W 46%54% Atlanta Dream W

▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Atlanta Dream W the favourite.
▸Power Index: Atlanta Dream W 3rd, New York Liberty W 5th.
▸New York Liberty W: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

7 Models6 of 7 favour Atlanta Dream W

Elo
55%
Logistic
60%
Logistic v2Pub
56%
Logistic v2 + players
51%
Gradient boosting
55%
Gradient boosting + players
46%
LLM panel
66%

Power Index

New York Liberty W87.9#5

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

New York Liberty W30–21

LWWLL

2 days rest

Atlanta Dream W35–15

WWWWW

2 days rest

Playoff SeriesSemi-Finals — Game 2

New York Liberty W

Atlanta Dream W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

New York Liberty W: 23 gamesAtlanta Dream W: 8 games

Game page →

Thursday, October 8

1/1 correct (100%)

NBA W•Semi-finals•1:30 AM

✓ Correct

Golden State Valkyries WHome · 36–13

83–81

Las Vegas Aces WAway · 32–18

CourtFrame model · Lean

Golden State Valkyries W

Projected margin: Golden State Valkyries W by 3.0

66%Win probability

Golden State Valkyries W 66%34% Las Vegas Aces W

▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Golden State Valkyries W the favourite.
▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Las Vegas Aces W 8th.
▸Golden State Valkyries W: W-W-L-W-W in the last 5.

7 Models7 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W

Elo
63%
Logistic
61%
Logistic v2Pub
65%
Logistic v2 + players
68%
Gradient boosting
61%
Gradient boosting + players
63%
LLM panel
62%

Power Index

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Las Vegas Aces W81.6#8

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Golden State Valkyries W36–13

WWLWW

4 days rest

Las Vegas Aces W32–18

WWLWL

4 days rest

Playoff SeriesSemi-Finals — Game 2

Golden State Valkyries W

Las Vegas Aces W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Golden State Valkyries W: 6 gamesLas Vegas Aces W: 27 games

Game page →

Wednesday, October 7

1/1 correct (100%)

NBA W•Semi-finals•11:30 PM

✓ Correct

Atlanta Dream WHome · 34–15

101–98

New York Liberty WAway · 30–20

CourtFrame model · Lean

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 4.8

69%Win probability

Atlanta Dream W 69%31% New York Liberty W

▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Atlanta Dream W the favourite.
▸Power Index: Atlanta Dream W 3rd, New York Liberty W 5th.
▸Atlanta Dream W: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

7 Models7 of 7 favour Atlanta Dream W

Elo
64%
Logistic
71%
Logistic v2Pub
69%
Logistic v2 + players
69%
Gradient boosting
66%
Gradient boosting + players
67%
LLM panel
67%

Power Index

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

New York Liberty W87.9#5

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Atlanta Dream W34–15

WWWWW

3 days rest

New York Liberty W30–20

LLWWL

3 days rest

Playoff SeriesSemi-Finals — Game 2

Atlanta Dream W

New York Liberty W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Atlanta Dream W: 8 gamesNew York Liberty W: 23 games

Game page →

Sunday, October 4

1/1 correct (100%)

NBA W•Semi-finals•6:00 PM

✓ Correct

Atlanta Dream WHome · 33–15

92–82

New York Liberty WAway · 30–19

Our pick · Lean

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 2.7

67%Win probability

Atlanta Dream W 67%Bookmakers 60–4033% New York Liberty W

▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Atlanta Dream W the favourite.
▸Bookmakers price Atlanta Dream W at 60%, 7 points below our 67%.
▸Power Index: Atlanta Dream W 3rd, New York Liberty W 5th.

7 Models7 of 7 favour Atlanta Dream W

Elo
62%
Logistic
69%
Logistic v2
67%
Logistic v2 + players
67%
Gradient boosting
65%
Gradient boosting + players
66%
LLM panelPub
67%

Bookmakers: Atlanta Dream W 60%

Power Index

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

New York Liberty W87.9#5

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Atlanta Dream W33–15

WWWWW

4 days rest

New York Liberty W30–19

WLLWW

4 days rest

Playoff SeriesSemi-Finals — Game 1

Atlanta Dream W

New York Liberty W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Atlanta Dream W: 7 gamesNew York Liberty W: 22 games

Game page →

Thursday, October 1

0/1 correct (0%)

NBA W•Quarter-finals•1:00 AM

✗ Missed

Dallas Wings WHome · 29–18

108–100

Golden State Valkyries WAway · 34–12

Our pick · Lean

Golden State Valkyries W

Projected margin: Golden State Valkyries W by 3.2

60%Win probability

Dallas Wings W 40%60% Golden State Valkyries W

▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Golden State Valkyries W the favourite.
▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Dallas Wings W 7th.
▸Dallas Wings W: W-W-L-W-L in the last 5.

7 Models7 of 7 favour Golden State Valkyries W

Elo
60%
Logistic
59%
Logistic v2
53%
Logistic v2 + players
56%
Gradient boosting
53%
Gradient boosting + players
57%
LLM panelPub
60%

Power Index

Dallas Wings W86.0#7

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Dallas Wings W29–18

WWLWL

3 days rest

Golden State Valkyries W34–12

WWLWW

3 days rest

Playoff SeriesQuarter-Finals — Game 2

Dallas Wings W

Golden State Valkyries W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Dallas Wings W: 2 gamesGolden State Valkyries W: 3 games

Game page →

Wednesday, September 30

1/2 correct (50%)

NBA W•Quarter-finals•11:00 PM

✓ Correct

Washington Mystics WHome · 29–18

75–93

Atlanta Dream WAway · 32–15

Our pick · Lean

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 4.2

67%Win probability

Washington Mystics W 33%67% Atlanta Dream W

▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Atlanta Dream W the favourite.
▸Power Index: Atlanta Dream W 3rd, Washington Mystics W 4th.
▸Washington Mystics W: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5.

7 Models6 of 7 favour Atlanta Dream W

Elo
58%
Logistic
61%
Logistic v2
53%
Logistic v2 + players
51%
Gradient boosting
54%
Gradient boosting + players
44%
LLM panelPub
67%

Power Index

Washington Mystics W88.5#4

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Washington Mystics W29–18

WWWWL

3 days rest

Atlanta Dream W32–15

WWWWW

3 days rest

Playoff SeriesQuarter-Finals — Game 2

Washington Mystics W

Atlanta Dream W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Washington Mystics W: 1 gamesAtlanta Dream W: 6 games

Game page →

NBA W•Quarter-finals•12:30 AM

✗ Missed

New York Liberty WHome · 29–19

87–71

Minnesota Lynx WAway · 35–12

Our pick · Toss-up

Minnesota Lynx W

Projected margin: Minnesota Lynx W by 0.9

54%Win probability

New York Liberty W 46%54% Minnesota Lynx W

▸Our models split from the pick: 5 of 7 favour New York Liberty W.
▸Power Index: New York Liberty W 5th, Minnesota Lynx W 6th.
▸New York Liberty W: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.

7 Models5 of 7 favour New York Liberty W

Elo
48%
Logistic
53%
Logistic v2
52%
Logistic v2 + players
53%
Gradient boosting
51%
Gradient boosting + players
50%
LLM panelPub
46%

Power Index

New York Liberty W87.9#5

Minnesota Lynx W86.2#6

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

New York Liberty W29–19

WWLLW

3 days rest

Minnesota Lynx W35–12

LWLWL

3 days rest

Playoff SeriesQuarter-Finals — Game 2

New York Liberty W

Minnesota Lynx W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

New York Liberty W: 23 gamesMinnesota Lynx W: 21 games

Game page →

Tuesday, September 29

0/1 correct (0%)

NBA W•Quarter-finals•10:30 PM

✗ Missed

Indiana Fever WHome · 29–18

99–89

Las Vegas Aces WAway · 31–16

Our pick · Lean

Las Vegas Aces W

Projected margin: Las Vegas Aces W by 2.1

56%Win probability

Indiana Fever W 44%Bookmakers 51–4956% Las Vegas Aces W

▸Our models split from the pick: 5 of 7 favour Indiana Fever W.
▸Bookmakers price Las Vegas Aces W at 49%, 7 points below our 56%.
▸Power Index: Indiana Fever W 2nd, Las Vegas Aces W 8th.

7 Models5 of 7 favour Indiana Fever W

Elo
52%
Logistic
46%
Logistic v2
50%
Logistic v2 + players
51%
Gradient boosting
54%
Gradient boosting + players
55%
LLM panelPub
45%

Bookmakers: Indiana Fever W 51%

Power Index

Indiana Fever W93.5#2

Las Vegas Aces W81.6#8

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Indiana Fever W29–18

WLWLL

2 days rest

Las Vegas Aces W31–16

WWWWW

2 days rest

Playoff SeriesQuarter-Finals — Game 2

Indiana Fever W

Las Vegas Aces W

First to 4 wins

Playoff Experience (3yr)

Indiana Fever W: 12 gamesLas Vegas Aces W: 25 games

Game page →

Thursday, September 24

3/3 correct (100%)

NBA W•11:00 PM

✓ Correct

Connecticut Sun WHome · 11–34

95–81

Toronto Tempo WAway · 11–34

Our pick · Lean

Connecticut Sun W

Projected margin: Connecticut Sun W by 1.6

58%Win probability

Connecticut Sun W 58%42% Toronto Tempo W

▸Power Index: Connecticut Sun W 13th, Toronto Tempo W 14th.
▸Connecticut Sun W: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
▸Toronto Tempo W: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Connecticut Sun W30.2#13

Toronto Tempo W16.3#14

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Connecticut Sun W11–34

LLLLL

2 days rest

Toronto Tempo W11–34

LLLLL

Back-to-back

Game page →

NBA W•2:00 AM

✓ Correct

Seattle Storm WHome · 9–36

91–103

Dallas Wings WAway · 28–17

Our pick · Clear favourite

Dallas Wings W

Projected margin: Dallas Wings W by 6.8

85%Win probability

Seattle Storm W 15%85% Dallas Wings W

▸Power Index: Dallas Wings W 7th, Seattle Storm W 15th.
▸Seattle Storm W: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
▸Dallas Wings W: W-W-W-W-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Seattle Storm W15.1#15

Dallas Wings W86.0#7

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Seattle Storm W9–36

WLLLL

3 days rest

Dallas Wings W28–17

WWWWL

2 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•12:00 AM

✓ Correct

New York Liberty WHome · 28–18

65–83

Atlanta Dream WAway · 30–15

Our pick · Lean

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 2.2

61%Win probability

New York Liberty W 39%61% Atlanta Dream W

▸Power Index: Atlanta Dream W 3rd, New York Liberty W 5th.
▸New York Liberty W: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5.
▸Atlanta Dream W: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

New York Liberty W87.9#5

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

New York Liberty W28–18

LWWWL

2 days rest

Atlanta Dream W30–15

LWWWW

2 days rest

Game page →

Wednesday, September 23

2/4 correct (50%)

NBA W•2:00 AM

✗ Missed

Portland WHome · 15–28

90–82

Golden State Valkyries WAway · 32–11

Our pick · Clear favourite

Golden State Valkyries W

Projected margin: Golden State Valkyries W by 12.1

89%Win probability

Portland W 11%89% Golden State Valkyries W

▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Portland W 11th.
▸Portland W: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
▸Golden State Valkyries W: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Portland W47.1#11

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Portland W15–28

WLLLL

3 days rest

Golden State Valkyries W32–11

WWWWW

3 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•2:00 AM

✓ Correct

Las Vegas Aces WHome · 28–16

89–79

Los Angeles Sparks WAway · 17–26

Our pick · Clear favourite

Las Vegas Aces W

Projected margin: Las Vegas Aces W by 18.1

90%Win probability

Las Vegas Aces W 90%10% Los Angeles Sparks W

▸Power Index: Las Vegas Aces W 8th, Los Angeles Sparks W 10th.
▸Las Vegas Aces W: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
▸Los Angeles Sparks W: L-W-W-L-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Las Vegas Aces W81.6#8

Los Angeles Sparks W62.2#10

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Las Vegas Aces W28–16

WWWWW

2 days rest

Los Angeles Sparks W17–26

LWWLW

3 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•12:00 AM

✓ Correct

Chicago Sky WHome · 16–28

97–85

Toronto Tempo WAway · 11–33

Our pick · Lean

Chicago Sky W

Projected margin: Chicago Sky W by 4.5

66%Win probability

Chicago Sky W 66%34% Toronto Tempo W

▸Power Index: Chicago Sky W 12th, Toronto Tempo W 14th.
▸Chicago Sky W: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
▸Toronto Tempo W: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Chicago Sky W44.8#12

Toronto Tempo W16.3#14

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Chicago Sky W16–28

LLLLL

4 days rest

Toronto Tempo W11–33

LLLLL

3 days rest

Game page →

Tuesday, September 22

2/3 correct (67%)

NBA W•11:30 PM

✓ Correct

Washington Mystics WHome · 27–17

79–69

Connecticut Sun WAway · 11–33

Our pick · Clear favourite

Washington Mystics W

Projected margin: Washington Mystics W by 13.2

79%Win probability

Washington Mystics W 79%21% Connecticut Sun W

▸Power Index: Washington Mystics W 4th, Connecticut Sun W 13th.
▸Washington Mystics W: W-W-L-W-W in the last 5.
▸Connecticut Sun W: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Washington Mystics W88.5#4

Connecticut Sun W30.2#13

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Washington Mystics W27–17

WWLWW

2 days rest

Connecticut Sun W11–33

LLLLL

2 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•2:00 AM

✗ Missed

Phoenix Mercury WHome · 16–27

87–86

Dallas Wings WAway · 28–16

Our pick · Clear favourite

Dallas Wings W

Projected margin: Dallas Wings W by 6.0

73%Win probability

Phoenix Mercury W 27%73% Dallas Wings W

▸Power Index: Dallas Wings W 7th, Phoenix Mercury W 9th.
▸Phoenix Mercury W: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5.
▸Dallas Wings W: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Phoenix Mercury W62.9#9

Dallas Wings W86.0#7

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Phoenix Mercury W16–27

LLWWL

3 days rest

Dallas Wings W28–16

WWWWW

3 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•12:00 AM

✓ Correct

New York Liberty WHome · 28–17

84–95

Atlanta Dream WAway · 29–15

Our pick · Toss-up

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 1.0

52%Win probability

New York Liberty W 48%52% Atlanta Dream W

▸Power Index: Atlanta Dream W 3rd, New York Liberty W 5th.
▸New York Liberty W: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5.
▸Atlanta Dream W: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

New York Liberty W87.9#5

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

New York Liberty W28–17

WLWWW

2 days rest

Atlanta Dream W29–15

WLWWW

3 days rest

Game page →

Sunday, September 20

3/4 correct (75%)

NBA W•8:00 PM

✗ Missed

Indiana Fever WHome · 28–15

77–93

Washington Mystics WAway · 26–17

Our pick · Clear favourite

Indiana Fever W

Projected margin: Indiana Fever W by 5.0

77%Win probability

Indiana Fever W 77%23% Washington Mystics W

▸Power Index: Indiana Fever W 2nd, Washington Mystics W 4th.
▸Indiana Fever W: L-L-W-W-W in the last 5.
▸Washington Mystics W: W-W-W-L-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Indiana Fever W93.5#2

Washington Mystics W88.5#4

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Indiana Fever W28–15

LLWWW

2 days rest

Washington Mystics W26–17

WWWLW

2 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•7:00 PM

✓ Correct

Toronto Tempo WHome · 11–32

69–106

New York Liberty WAway · 27–17

Our pick · Clear favourite

New York Liberty W

Projected margin: New York Liberty W by 12.0

82%Win probability

Toronto Tempo W 18%82% New York Liberty W

▸Power Index: New York Liberty W 5th, Toronto Tempo W 14th.
▸Toronto Tempo W: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
▸New York Liberty W: L-W-L-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Toronto Tempo W16.3#14

New York Liberty W87.9#5

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Toronto Tempo W11–32

LLLLL

2 days rest

New York Liberty W27–17

LWLWW

2 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•5:00 PM

✓ Correct

Connecticut Sun WHome · 11–32

89–101

Minnesota Lynx WAway · 33–10

Our pick · Clear favourite

Minnesota Lynx W

Projected margin: Minnesota Lynx W by 14.3

87%Win probability

Connecticut Sun W 13%87% Minnesota Lynx W

▸Power Index: Minnesota Lynx W 6th, Connecticut Sun W 13th.
▸Connecticut Sun W: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
▸Minnesota Lynx W: W-W-L-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Connecticut Sun W30.2#13

Minnesota Lynx W86.2#6

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Connecticut Sun W11–32

WLLLL

3 days rest

Minnesota Lynx W33–10

WWLLL

2 days rest

Game page →

Saturday, September 19

3/3 correct (100%)

NBA W•11:00 PM

✓ Correct

Atlanta Dream WHome · 28–15

106–81

Chicago Sky WAway · 16–27

Our pick · Clear favourite

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 10.8

88%Win probability

Atlanta Dream W 88%12% Chicago Sky W

▸Power Index: Atlanta Dream W 3rd, Chicago Sky W 12th.
▸Atlanta Dream W: W-W-L-W-W in the last 5.
▸Chicago Sky W: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Chicago Sky W44.8#12

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Atlanta Dream W28–15

WWLWW

2 days rest

Chicago Sky W16–27

WLLLL

Back-to-back

Game page →

NBA W•5:00 PM

✓ Correct

Dallas Wings WHome · 27–16

87–82

Phoenix Mercury WAway · 16–26

Our pick · Clear favourite

Dallas Wings W

Projected margin: Dallas Wings W by 7.6

71%Win probability

Dallas Wings W 71%29% Phoenix Mercury W

▸Power Index: Dallas Wings W 7th, Phoenix Mercury W 9th.
▸Dallas Wings W: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
▸Phoenix Mercury W: L-L-L-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Dallas Wings W86.0#7

Phoenix Mercury W62.9#9

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Dallas Wings W27–16

WWWWW

Back-to-back

Phoenix Mercury W16–26

LLLWW

Back-to-back

Game page →

NBA W•2:00 AM

✓ Correct

Golden State Valkyries WHome · 30–11

82–66

Portland WAway · 15–26

Our pick · Clear favourite

Golden State Valkyries W

Projected margin: Golden State Valkyries W by 14.6

84%Win probability

Golden State Valkyries W 84%16% Portland W

▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Portland W 11th.
▸Golden State Valkyries W: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
▸Portland W: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Portland W47.1#11

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Golden State Valkyries W30–11

LWWWW

Portland W15–26

LLWLL

Back-to-back

Game page →

Friday, September 18

5/6 correct (83%)

NBA W•11:30 PM

✓ Correct

Toronto Tempo WHome · 11–31

85–103

Indiana Fever WAway · 27–15

Our pick · Clear favourite

Indiana Fever W

Projected margin: Indiana Fever W by 12.6

83%Win probability

Toronto Tempo W 17%83% Indiana Fever W

▸Power Index: Indiana Fever W 2nd, Toronto Tempo W 14th.
▸Toronto Tempo W: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
▸Indiana Fever W: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Toronto Tempo W16.3#14

Indiana Fever W93.5#2

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Toronto Tempo W11–31

WLLLL

Indiana Fever W27–15

WLLWW

Game page →

NBA W•11:30 PM

✗ Missed

Minnesota Lynx WHome · 33–9

81–93

New York Liberty WAway · 26–17

Our pick · Lean

Minnesota Lynx W

Projected margin: Minnesota Lynx W by 1.8

55%Win probability

Minnesota Lynx W 55%45% New York Liberty W

▸Power Index: New York Liberty W 5th, Minnesota Lynx W 6th.
▸Minnesota Lynx W: W-W-W-L-L in the last 5.
▸New York Liberty W: W-L-W-L-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Minnesota Lynx W86.2#6

New York Liberty W87.9#5

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Minnesota Lynx W33–9

WWWLL

New York Liberty W26–17

WLWLW

Game page →

NBA W•2:00 AM

✓ Correct

Seattle Storm WHome · 9–33

77–114

Las Vegas Aces WAway · 26–16

Our pick · Clear favourite

Las Vegas Aces W

Projected margin: Las Vegas Aces W by 10.5

84%Win probability

Seattle Storm W 16%84% Las Vegas Aces W

▸Power Index: Las Vegas Aces W 8th, Seattle Storm W 15th.
▸Seattle Storm W: L-L-L-W-L in the last 5.
▸Las Vegas Aces W: L-L-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Seattle Storm W15.1#15

Las Vegas Aces W81.6#8

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Seattle Storm W9–33

LLLWL

Las Vegas Aces W26–16

LLWWW

Game page →

Thursday, September 17

1/1 correct (100%)

NBA W•11:30 PM

✓ Correct

Atlanta Dream WHome · 27–15

103–59

Connecticut Sun WAway · 11–31

Our pick · Clear favourite

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 15.3

82%Win probability

Atlanta Dream W 82%18% Connecticut Sun W

▸Power Index: Atlanta Dream W 3rd, Connecticut Sun W 13th.
▸Atlanta Dream W: W-W-W-L-W in the last 5.
▸Connecticut Sun W: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Connecticut Sun W30.2#13

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Atlanta Dream W27–15

WWWLW

Connecticut Sun W11–31

LWLLL

Game page →

Thursday, August 27

1/1 correct (100%)

NBA W•2:00 AM

✓ Correct

Seattle Storm WHome · 8–32

90–78

Toronto Tempo WAway · 11–28

Our pick · Lean

Seattle Storm W

Projected margin: Seattle Storm W by 1.6

60%Win probability

Seattle Storm W 60%40% Toronto Tempo W

▸Power Index: Toronto Tempo W 14th, Seattle Storm W 15th.
▸Seattle Storm W: L-W-L-L-L in the last 5.
▸Toronto Tempo W: L-L-L-W-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Seattle Storm W15.1#15

Toronto Tempo W16.3#14

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Seattle Storm W8–32

LWLLL

4 days rest

Toronto Tempo W11–28

LLLWL

4 days rest

Game page →

Wednesday, August 26

3/3 correct (100%)

NBA W•11:00 PM

✓ Correct

Connecticut Sun WHome · 11–28

64–89

Golden State Valkyries WAway · 27–11

Our pick · Clear favourite

Golden State Valkyries W

Projected margin: Golden State Valkyries W by 8.6

76%Win probability

Connecticut Sun W 24%76% Golden State Valkyries W

▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Connecticut Sun W 13th.
▸Connecticut Sun W: L-W-L-L-W in the last 5.
▸Golden State Valkyries W: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Connecticut Sun W30.2#13

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Connecticut Sun W11–28

LWLLW

Back-to-back

Golden State Valkyries W27–11

WWLLW

Back-to-back

Game page →

NBA W•2:00 AM

✓ Correct

Phoenix Mercury WHome · 14–24

84–94

Washington Mystics WAway · 23–16

Our pick · Lean

Washington Mystics W

Projected margin: Washington Mystics W by 2.9

64%Win probability

Phoenix Mercury W 36%64% Washington Mystics W

▸Power Index: Washington Mystics W 4th, Phoenix Mercury W 9th.
▸Phoenix Mercury W: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5.
▸Washington Mystics W: L-W-W-L-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Phoenix Mercury W62.9#9

Washington Mystics W88.5#4

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Phoenix Mercury W14–24

LLWLL

3 days rest

Washington Mystics W23–16

LWWLW

3 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•12:00 AM

✓ Correct

Dallas Wings WHome · 24–16

96–78

Portland WAway · 14–23

Our pick · Lean

Dallas Wings W

Projected margin: Dallas Wings W by 3.6

65%Win probability

Dallas Wings W 65%35% Portland W

▸Power Index: Dallas Wings W 7th, Portland W 11th.
▸Dallas Wings W: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5.
▸Portland W: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Dallas Wings W86.0#7

Portland W47.1#11

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Dallas Wings W24–16

WLLWW

3 days rest

Portland W14–23

LWWLL

3 days rest

Game page →

Tuesday, August 25

1/3 correct (33%)

NBA W•11:00 PM

✗ Missed

Connecticut Sun WHome · 10–28

87–81

Chicago Sky WAway · 16–24

Our pick · Lean

Chicago Sky W

Projected margin: Chicago Sky W by 3.3

57%Win probability

Connecticut Sun W 43%57% Chicago Sky W

▸Power Index: Chicago Sky W 12th, Connecticut Sun W 13th.
▸Connecticut Sun W: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5.
▸Chicago Sky W: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Connecticut Sun W30.2#13

Chicago Sky W44.8#12

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Connecticut Sun W10–28

LLWLL

2 days rest

Chicago Sky W16–24

LWWWL

2 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•2:00 AM

✓ Correct

Los Angeles Sparks WHome · 14–24

71–78

Atlanta Dream WAway · 25–14

Our pick · Clear favourite

Atlanta Dream W

Projected margin: Atlanta Dream W by 7.3

86%Win probability

Los Angeles Sparks W 14%86% Atlanta Dream W

▸Power Index: Atlanta Dream W 3rd, Los Angeles Sparks W 10th.
▸Los Angeles Sparks W: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5.
▸Atlanta Dream W: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Los Angeles Sparks W62.2#10

Atlanta Dream W90.7#3

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Los Angeles Sparks W14–24

LLLLW

2 days rest

Atlanta Dream W25–14

WLWWW

2 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•12:00 AM

✗ Missed

Minnesota Lynx WHome · 33–7

66–80

Golden State Valkyries WAway · 26–11

Our pick · Clear favourite

Minnesota Lynx W

Projected margin: Minnesota Lynx W by 4.7

71%Win probability

Minnesota Lynx W 71%29% Golden State Valkyries W

▸Power Index: Golden State Valkyries W 1st, Minnesota Lynx W 6th.
▸Minnesota Lynx W: W-W-W-W-W in the last 5.
▸Golden State Valkyries W: W-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Minnesota Lynx W86.2#6

Golden State Valkyries W100.0#1

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Minnesota Lynx W33–7

WWWWW

4 days rest

Golden State Valkyries W26–11

WWWLL

4 days rest

Game page →

Sunday, August 23

4/4 correct (100%)

NBA W•11:00 PM

✓ Correct

Portland WHome · 14–22

100–105

Washington Mystics WAway · 22–16

Our pick · Lean

Washington Mystics W

Projected margin: Washington Mystics W by 2.6

68%Win probability

Portland W 32%68% Washington Mystics W

▸Power Index: Washington Mystics W 4th, Portland W 11th.
▸Portland W: W-L-W-W-L in the last 5.
▸Washington Mystics W: L-L-W-W-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Portland W47.1#11

Washington Mystics W88.5#4

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Portland W14–22

WLWWL

Back-to-back

Washington Mystics W22–16

LLWWL

2 days rest

Game page →

NBA W•11:00 PM

✓ Correct

Chicago Sky WHome · 16–23

90–113

Indiana Fever WAway · 25–15

Our pick · Lean

Indiana Fever W

Projected margin: Indiana Fever W by 5.4

61%Win probability

Chicago Sky W 39%61% Indiana Fever W

▸Power Index: Indiana Fever W 2nd, Chicago Sky W 12th.
▸Chicago Sky W: L-L-W-W-W in the last 5.
▸Indiana Fever W: W-W-W-L-L in the last 5.

Power Index

Chicago Sky W44.8#12

Indiana Fever W93.5#2

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Chicago Sky W16–23

LLWWW

2 days rest

Indiana Fever W25–15

WWWLL

Back-to-back

Game page →

NBA W•11:00 PM

✓ Correct

Toronto Tempo WHome · 11–27

78–88

Las Vegas Aces WAway · 24–16

Our pick · Clear favourite

Las Vegas Aces W

Projected margin: Las Vegas Aces W by 7.3

70%Win probability

Toronto Tempo W 30%70% Las Vegas Aces W

▸Power Index: Las Vegas Aces W 8th, Toronto Tempo W 14th.
▸Toronto Tempo W: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5.
▸Las Vegas Aces W: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.

Power Index

Toronto Tempo W16.3#14

Las Vegas Aces W81.6#8

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Toronto Tempo W11–27

LLLLW

Back-to-back

Las Vegas Aces W24–16

WWLLW

2 days rest

Game page →

← All Predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are CourtFrame NBA W predictions?

Every published pick is graded against the final score, and the record — misses included — is public on the track record page. The model is also scored each night against the bookmakers' closing line.

Where do the numbers come from?

From the CourtFrame model, a statistical model retrained every night on every game we track: team ratings carried across seasons, recent form, rest, and box-score efficiency adjusted for the opponents played. When a team has too few games behind it, we publish no pick rather than a guess.

How should I use these predictions?

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.