CourtFrame
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CourtFrame
NBA

NBA Predictions

Win probabilities from the CourtFrame model

Tuesday, November 3

NBA•Regular season•12:00 AM
Cleveland CavaliersHome · 2–1
VS
Oklahoma City ThunderAway · 4–0

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Oklahoma City Thunder

Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder by 2.8

76%Win probability
Cleveland Cavaliers 24%76% Oklahoma City Thunder
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Oklahoma City Thunder the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Oklahoma City Thunder 7th, Cleveland Cavaliers 12th.
  • ▸Cleveland Cavaliers: L-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Elo
    64%
  • Logistic
    60%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    76%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    73%
  • Gradient boosting
    74%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    71%
  • LLM panel
    39%

Power Index

Cleveland Cavaliers46.3↓3.9#12
Oklahoma City Thunder53.3↓5.0#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Cleveland Cavaliers2–1
LLLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder4–0
LWWWW
7 days rest
Game page →

Monday, November 2

NBA•Regular season•2:00 AM
Los Angeles LakersHome · 3–1
VS
Toronto RaptorsAway · 2–1

Our pick · Lean

Los Angeles Lakers

Projected margin: Los Angeles Lakers by 6.3

62%Win probability
Los Angeles Lakers 62%38% Toronto Raptors
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Los Angeles Lakers the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Toronto Raptors 1st, Los Angeles Lakers 6th.
  • ▸Los Angeles Lakers: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Los Angeles Lakers
  • Elo
    60%
  • Logistic
    59%
  • Logistic v2
    75%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    75%
  • Gradient boosting
    67%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    71%
  • LLM panelPub
    62%

Power Index

Los Angeles Lakers55.0↓2.3#6
Toronto Raptors100.0#1
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Los Angeles Lakers3–1
LWWWL
5 days rest
Toronto Raptors2–1
WLWWL
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•1:30 AM
Golden State WarriorsHome · 1–3
VS
Los Angeles ClippersAway · 1–2

Our pick · Lean

Los Angeles Clippers

Projected margin: Los Angeles Clippers by 5.0

63%Win probability
Golden State Warriors 37%63% Los Angeles Clippers
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Los Angeles Clippers the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Los Angeles Clippers 15th, Golden State Warriors 19th.
  • ▸Golden State Warriors: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Los Angeles Clippers
  • Elo
    55%
  • Logistic
    54%
  • Logistic v2
    58%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    58%
  • Gradient boosting
    61%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panelPub
    63%

Power Index

Golden State Warriors31.7↑5.1#19
Los Angeles Clippers38.3↓4.4#15
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Golden State Warriors1–3
LLLLW
6 days rest
Los Angeles Clippers1–2
WLWLL
Game page →

Sunday, November 1

NBA•Regular season•10:00 PM
Indiana PacersHome · 2–2
VS
Brooklyn NetsAway · 0–4

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Indiana Pacers

Projected margin: Indiana Pacers by 8.9

87%Win probability
Indiana Pacers 87%13% Brooklyn Nets
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Indiana Pacers the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Indiana Pacers 11th, Brooklyn Nets 27th.
  • ▸Indiana Pacers: L-W-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Indiana Pacers
  • Elo
    66%
  • Logistic
    75%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    78%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    75%
  • Gradient boosting
    68%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panel
    69%

Power Index

Indiana Pacers46.4↓3.6#11
Brooklyn Nets12.3↑4.3#27
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Indiana Pacers2–2
LWLWL
5 days rest
Brooklyn Nets0–4
LLLLL
5 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•8:30 PM
Orlando MagicHome · 1–2
VS
Boston CelticsAway · 3–1

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Orlando Magic

Projected margin: Orlando Magic by 0.9

54%Win probability
Orlando Magic 54%46% Boston Celtics
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 4 of 7 favour Boston Celtics.
  • ▸Power Index: Boston Celtics 4th, Orlando Magic 22nd.
  • ▸Orlando Magic: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models4 of 7 favour Boston Celtics
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    63%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    46%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    46%
  • Gradient boosting
    51%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    50%
  • LLM panel
    71%

Power Index

Orlando Magic21.5↓6.1#22
Boston Celtics70.4↓16.3#4
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Orlando Magic1–2
LLLLW
7 days rest
Boston Celtics3–1
LLWWW
5 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•12:30 AM
Houston RocketsHome · 4–0
VS
Oklahoma City ThunderAway · 4–0

Our pick · Lean

Houston Rockets

Projected margin: Houston Rockets by 4.3

60%Win probability
Houston Rockets 60%40% Oklahoma City Thunder
  • ▸4 of 7 CourtFrame models make Houston Rockets the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Houston Rockets 5th, Oklahoma City Thunder 7th.
  • ▸Houston Rockets: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models4 of 7 favour Houston Rockets
  • Elo
    40%
  • Logistic
    47%
  • Logistic v2
    51%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    55%
  • Gradient boosting
    49%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    59%
  • LLM panelPub
    60%

Power Index

Houston Rockets60.2↓4.9#5
Oklahoma City Thunder53.3↓5.0#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Houston Rockets4–0
LWWWW
5 days rest
Oklahoma City Thunder4–0
LWWWW
5 days rest
Game page →

Saturday, October 31

NBA•Regular season•11:00 PM
New Orleans PelicansHome · 0–3
VS
Atlanta HawksAway · 2–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Atlanta Hawks

Projected margin: Atlanta Hawks by 0.5

70%Win probability
New Orleans Pelicans 30%70% Atlanta Hawks
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Atlanta Hawks the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Atlanta Hawks 2nd, New Orleans Pelicans 24th.
  • ▸New Orleans Pelicans: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Atlanta Hawks
  • Elo
    66%
  • Logistic
    63%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    72%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    72%
  • Gradient boosting
    74%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    76%
  • LLM panel
    67%

Power Index

New Orleans Pelicans18.1↓5.9#24
Atlanta Hawks92.1↓3.7#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

New Orleans Pelicans0–3
LLLLL
6 days rest
Atlanta Hawks2–2
LWWLL
4 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•10:00 PM
Charlotte HornetsHome · 3–1
VS
Philadelphia 76ersAway · 3–1

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Philadelphia 76ers

Projected margin: Philadelphia 76ers by 0.5

53%Win probability
Charlotte Hornets 47%53% Philadelphia 76ers
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Charlotte Hornets.
  • ▸Power Index: Philadelphia 76ers 3rd, Charlotte Hornets 21st.
  • ▸Charlotte Hornets: L-W-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Charlotte Hornets
  • Elo
    57%
  • Logistic
    66%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    54%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    59%
  • Gradient boosting
    56%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    57%
  • LLM panel
    30%

Power Index

Charlotte Hornets26.2↓6.1#21
Philadelphia 76ers77.3↓0.5#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Charlotte Hornets3–1
LWLWW
5 days rest
Philadelphia 76ers3–1
LWWWL
6 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•7:00 PM
Utah JazzHome · 1–3
VS
Portland Trail BlazersAway · 3–0

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Portland Trail Blazers

Projected margin: Portland Trail Blazers by 5.5

83%Win probability
Utah Jazz 17%83% Portland Trail Blazers
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Portland Trail Blazers the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Portland Trail Blazers 8th, Utah Jazz 20th.
  • ▸Utah Jazz: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Portland Trail Blazers
  • Elo
    76%
  • Logistic
    82%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    84%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    85%
  • Gradient boosting
    82%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    82%
  • LLM panel
    63%

Power Index

Utah Jazz28.1↓6.7#20
Portland Trail Blazers52.7↓5.8#8
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Utah Jazz1–3
LLWLL
4 days rest
Portland Trail Blazers3–0
LLWWW
3 days rest
Game page →

Friday, October 30

NBA•Regular season•11:30 PM
Toronto RaptorsHome · 2–1
VS
Orlando MagicAway · 1–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Toronto Raptors

Projected margin: Toronto Raptors by 3.4

82%Win probability
Toronto Raptors 82%18% Orlando Magic
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Toronto Raptors the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Toronto Raptors 1st, Orlando Magic 22nd.
  • ▸Toronto Raptors: W-L-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Toronto Raptors
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    68%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    61%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    60%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    58%
  • LLM panel
    67%

Power Index

Toronto Raptors100.0#1
Orlando Magic21.5↓6.1#22
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Toronto Raptors2–1
WLWWL
5 days rest
Orlando Magic1–2
LLLLW
5 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•11:30 PM
Philadelphia 76ersHome · 3–1
VS
New York KnicksAway · 1–3

CourtFrame model · Lean

New York Knicks

Projected margin: New York Knicks by 6.9

59%Win probability
Philadelphia 76ers 41%59% New York Knicks
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make New York Knicks the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Philadelphia 76ers 3rd, New York Knicks 29th.
  • ▸Philadelphia 76ers: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour New York Knicks
  • Elo
    64%
  • Logistic
    67%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    63%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    67%
  • Gradient boosting
    57%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    62%
  • LLM panel
    35%

Power Index

Philadelphia 76ers77.3↓0.5#3
New York Knicks3.2↑3.2#29
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Philadelphia 76ers3–1
LWWWL
5 days rest
New York Knicks1–3
WLLLW
2 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•11:30 PM
Brooklyn NetsHome · 0–4
VS
Detroit PistonsAway · 3–1

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Detroit Pistons

Projected margin: Detroit Pistons by 8.2

87%Win probability
Brooklyn Nets 13%87% Detroit Pistons
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Detroit Pistons the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Detroit Pistons 14th, Brooklyn Nets 27th.
  • ▸Brooklyn Nets: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Detroit Pistons
  • Elo
    85%
  • Logistic
    86%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    87%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    86%
  • Gradient boosting
    88%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    87%
  • LLM panel
    67%

Power Index

Brooklyn Nets12.3↑4.3#27
Detroit Pistons38.9↓2.7#14
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Brooklyn Nets0–4
LLLLL
3 days rest
Detroit Pistons3–1
LWWWL
2 days rest
Game page →

Thursday, October 29

NBA•Regular season•2:30 AM
Los Angeles ClippersHome · 1–2
VS
Los Angeles LakersAway · 3–1

CourtFrame model · Lean

Los Angeles Clippers

Projected margin: Los Angeles Clippers by 0.2

55%Win probability
Los Angeles Clippers 55%45% Los Angeles Lakers
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 5 of 7 favour Los Angeles Lakers.
  • ▸Power Index: Los Angeles Lakers 6th, Los Angeles Clippers 15th.
  • ▸Los Angeles Clippers: W-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models5 of 7 favour Los Angeles Lakers
  • Elo
    52%
  • Logistic
    49%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    52%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    52%
  • Gradient boosting
    53%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    55%
  • LLM panel
    43%

Power Index

Los Angeles Clippers38.3↓4.4#15
Los Angeles Lakers55.0↓2.3#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Los Angeles Clippers1–2
WLWLL
4 days rest
Los Angeles Lakers3–1
LWWWL
Back-to-back
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•1:30 AM
Dallas MavericksHome · 2–2
VS
Oklahoma City ThunderAway · 4–0

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Oklahoma City Thunder

Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder by 6.4

76%Win probability
Dallas Mavericks 24%76% Oklahoma City Thunder
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Oklahoma City Thunder the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Oklahoma City Thunder 7th, Dallas Mavericks 16th.
  • ▸Dallas Mavericks: W-L-W-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Elo
    82%
  • Logistic
    76%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    82%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    76%
  • Gradient boosting
    86%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    85%
  • LLM panel
    67%

Power Index

Dallas Mavericks37.3↓5.0#16
Oklahoma City Thunder53.3↓5.0#7
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Dallas Mavericks2–2
WLWLW
3 days rest
Oklahoma City Thunder4–0
LWWWW
2 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•1:00 AM
Utah JazzHome · 1–3
VS
San Antonio SpursAway · 2–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

San Antonio Spurs

Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs by 9.5

75%Win probability
Utah Jazz 25%75% San Antonio Spurs
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make San Antonio Spurs the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: San Antonio Spurs 13th, Utah Jazz 20th.
  • ▸Utah Jazz: L-L-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour San Antonio Spurs
  • Elo
    86%
  • Logistic
    84%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    85%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    88%
  • Gradient boosting
    89%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    88%
  • LLM panel
    63%

Power Index

Utah Jazz28.1↓6.7#20
San Antonio Spurs41.4↓1.3#13
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Utah Jazz1–3
LLWLL
2 days rest
San Antonio Spurs2–2
LLLWW
Back-to-back
Game page →

Wednesday, October 28

NBA•Regular season•11:30 PM
Toronto RaptorsHome · 2–1
VS
Orlando MagicAway · 1–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Toronto Raptors

Projected margin: Toronto Raptors by 2.3

75%Win probability
Toronto Raptors 75%25% Orlando Magic
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Toronto Raptors the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Toronto Raptors 1st, Orlando Magic 22nd.
  • ▸Toronto Raptors: W-L-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Toronto Raptors
  • Elo
    56%
  • Logistic
    68%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    63%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    64%
  • Gradient boosting
    60%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    58%
  • LLM panel
    63%

Power Index

Toronto Raptors100.0#1
Orlando Magic21.5↓6.1#22
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Toronto Raptors2–1
WLWWL
3 days rest
Orlando Magic1–2
LLLLW
3 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•11:00 PM
Atlanta HawksHome · 2–2
VS
Miami HeatAway · 0–4

CourtFrame model · Lean

Atlanta Hawks

Projected margin: Atlanta Hawks by 0.6

67%Win probability
Atlanta Hawks 67%33% Miami Heat
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Atlanta Hawks the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Atlanta Hawks 2nd, Miami Heat 25th.
  • ▸Atlanta Hawks: L-W-W-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Atlanta Hawks
  • Elo
    67%
  • Logistic
    60%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    75%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    75%
  • Gradient boosting
    73%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    75%
  • LLM panel
    64%

Power Index

Atlanta Hawks92.1↓3.7#2
Miami Heat15.4↓6.1#25
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Atlanta Hawks2–2
LWWLL
Back-to-back
Miami Heat0–4
LLLLL
2 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•11:00 PM
Detroit PistonsHome · 3–1
VS
Charlotte HornetsAway · 3–1

CourtFrame model · Lean

Detroit Pistons

Projected margin: Detroit Pistons by 1.2

59%Win probability
Detroit Pistons 59%41% Charlotte Hornets
  • ▸6 of 7 CourtFrame models make Detroit Pistons the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Detroit Pistons 14th, Charlotte Hornets 21st.
  • ▸Detroit Pistons: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models6 of 7 favour Detroit Pistons
  • Elo
    65%
  • Logistic
    61%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    72%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    72%
  • Gradient boosting
    73%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    75%
  • LLM panel
    41%

Power Index

Detroit Pistons38.9↓2.7#14
Charlotte Hornets26.2↓6.1#21
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Detroit Pistons3–1
LWWWL
Back-to-back
Charlotte Hornets3–1
LWLWW
2 days rest
Game page →

Tuesday, October 27

3/5 correct (60%)
NBA•Regular season•11:30 PM
Boston CelticsHome · 2–1
125–124
Brooklyn NetsAway · 0–3

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Boston Celtics

Projected margin: Boston Celtics by 12.5

86%Win probability
Boston Celtics 86%14% Brooklyn Nets
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Boston Celtics the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Boston Celtics 4th, Brooklyn Nets 27th.
  • ▸Boston Celtics: L-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Boston Celtics
  • Elo
    88%
  • Logistic
    90%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    90%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    90%
  • Gradient boosting
    80%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    82%
  • LLM panel
    67%

Power Index

Boston Celtics70.4↓16.3#4
Brooklyn Nets12.3↑4.3#27
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Boston Celtics2–1
LLLWW
Back-to-back
Brooklyn Nets0–3
LLLLL
2 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•2:00 AM
✗ Missed
Denver NuggetsHome · 1–1
114–134
Golden State WarriorsAway · 0–3

Our pick · Lean

Denver Nuggets

Projected margin: Denver Nuggets by 1.4

59%Win probability
Denver Nuggets 59%41% Golden State Warriors
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Denver Nuggets the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Denver Nuggets 18th, Golden State Warriors 19th.
  • ▸Denver Nuggets: L-W-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Denver Nuggets
  • Elo
    76%
  • Logistic
    79%
  • Logistic v2
    81%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    81%
  • Gradient boosting
    73%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    72%
  • LLM panelPub
    59%

Power Index

Denver Nuggets32.7↓12.6#18
Golden State Warriors31.7↑5.1#19
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Denver Nuggets1–1
LWLLW
2 days rest
Golden State Warriors0–3
WLLLL
2 days rest
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•1:00 AM
✗ Missed
Utah JazzHome · 1–2
105–110
Memphis GrizzliesAway · 3–0

Our pick · Lean

Utah Jazz

Projected margin: Utah Jazz by 0.8

58%Win probability
Utah Jazz 58%42% Memphis Grizzlies
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 4 of 7 favour Memphis Grizzlies.
  • ▸Power Index: Memphis Grizzlies 9th, Utah Jazz 20th.
  • ▸Utah Jazz: W-L-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models4 of 7 favour Memphis Grizzlies
  • Elo
    50%
  • Logistic
    49%
  • Logistic v2
    51%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    52%
  • Gradient boosting
    56%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    57%
  • LLM panelPub
    42%

Power Index

Utah Jazz28.1↓6.7#20
Memphis Grizzlies52.7↓2.9#9
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Utah Jazz1–2
WLLWL
2 days rest
Memphis Grizzlies3–0
LLWWW
Back-to-back
Game page →

Monday, October 26

3/4 correct (75%)
NBA•Regular season•11:30 PM
✗ Missed
Miami HeatHome · 0–3
109–113
Dallas MavericksAway · 1–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Miami Heat

Projected margin: Miami Heat by 6.0

70%Win probability
Miami Heat 70%30% Dallas Mavericks
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Miami Heat the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Dallas Mavericks 16th, Miami Heat 25th.
  • ▸Miami Heat: W-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Miami Heat
  • Elo
    67%
  • Logistic
    69%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    56%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    58%
  • Gradient boosting
    57%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    57%
  • LLM panel
    59%

Power Index

Miami Heat15.4↓6.1#25
Dallas Mavericks37.3↓5.0#16
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Miami Heat0–3
WLLLL
2 days rest
Dallas Mavericks1–2
LWLWL
Back-to-back
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•11:30 PM
✓ Correct
Boston CelticsHome · 1–1
134–99
Chicago BullsAway · 1–2

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Boston Celtics

Projected margin: Boston Celtics by 8.9

78%Win probability
Boston Celtics 78%22% Chicago Bulls
  • ▸7 of 7 CourtFrame models make Boston Celtics the favourite.
  • ▸Power Index: Boston Celtics 4th, Chicago Bulls 30th.
  • ▸Boston Celtics: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models7 of 7 favour Boston Celtics
  • Elo
    83%
  • Logistic
    85%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    84%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    83%
  • Gradient boosting
    81%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    80%
  • LLM panel
    58%

Power Index

Boston Celtics70.4↓16.3#4
Chicago Bulls0.0↓6.8#30
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Boston Celtics1–1
LLLLW
3 days rest
Chicago Bulls1–2
LLLWL
Back-to-back
Game page →
NBA•Regular season•11:00 PM
✓ Correct
Cleveland CavaliersHome · 1–1
127–125
Minnesota TimberwolvesAway · 3–0

CourtFrame model · Lean

Cleveland Cavaliers

Projected margin: Cleveland Cavaliers by 3.4

61%Win probability
Cleveland Cavaliers 61%39% Minnesota Timberwolves
  • ▸Our models split from the pick: 5 of 7 favour Minnesota Timberwolves.
  • ▸Power Index: Minnesota Timberwolves 10th, Cleveland Cavaliers 12th.
  • ▸Cleveland Cavaliers: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
7 Models5 of 7 favour Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Elo
    50%
  • Logistic
    52%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    76%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    76%
  • Gradient boosting
    73%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    70%
  • LLM panel
    41%

Power Index

Cleveland Cavaliers46.3↓3.9#12
Minnesota Timberwolves46.9↓3.8#10
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Cleveland Cavaliers1–1
LLLLW
2 days rest
Minnesota Timberwolves3–0
LLWWW
Back-to-back
Game page →
← All Predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are CourtFrame NBA predictions?

Every published pick is graded against the final score, and the record — misses included — is public on the track record page. The model is also scored each night against the bookmakers' closing line.

Where do the numbers come from?

From the CourtFrame model, a statistical model retrained every night on every game we track: team ratings carried across seasons, recent form, rest, and box-score efficiency adjusted for the opponents played. When a team has too few games behind it, we publish no pick rather than a guess.

How should I use these predictions?

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.