CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

North Dakota St vs CSU Bakersfield

Prediction & preview · Sunday, November 15, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

North Dakota St

Projected margin: North Dakota St by 4.5

64%Win probability
North Dakota St 64%Bookmakers 62–3836% CSU Bakersfield

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models7 of 8 favour North Dakota St
  • Elo
    82%
  • Logistic
    67%
  • Logistic v2
    66%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    65%
  • Gradient boosting
    66%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    66%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    64%
  • LLM panel
    40%

Bookmakers: North Dakota St 62%

Power Index

North Dakota St43.4↑16.4#235
CSU Bakersfield71.7↑7.0#64
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

North Dakota St2–3
WLLLW
Back-to-back
CSU Bakersfield3–0
WWW
2 days rest

Game Preview

North Dakota St host CSU Bakersfield on Sunday, November 15 in the NCAA. North Dakota St are 2–3 this season, CSU Bakersfield 3–0. CSU Bakersfield have won their last 3 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, North Dakota St are 235th at 43.4 and CSU Bakersfield 64th at 71.7. North Dakota St play the second night of a back-to-back.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 8 CourtFrame models make North Dakota St the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: North Dakota St at 62% against our 64%.
  • 3Power Index: CSU Bakersfield 64th, North Dakota St 235th.
  • 4North Dakota St: W-L-L-L-W in the last 5.
  • 5CSU Bakersfield: W-W-W in the last 3.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 64%)

The CourtFrame model has North Dakota St winning 64% of the time, by 4.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 40–82%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeAway Advantage
Home/Away Win%100% / 100%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Sun, Nov 15
Time
2:00 PM EST