CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Nebraska vs Boise State

Prediction & preview · Sunday, November 15, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Nebraska

Projected margin: Nebraska by 9.5

82%Win probability
Nebraska 82%Bookmakers 79–2118% Boise State

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

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Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Nebraska
  • Elo
    69%
  • Logistic
    62%
  • Logistic v2
    61%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    61%
  • Gradient boosting
    59%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    58%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    82%
  • LLM panel
    85%

Bookmakers: Nebraska 79%

Power Index

Nebraska86.7↑4.3#9
Boise State72.2↑7.5#63
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Nebraska3–0
WLWWW
3 days rest
Boise State3–0
WWW
3 days rest

Game Preview

Nebraska host Boise State on Sunday, November 15 in the NCAA. Nebraska are 3–0 this season, Boise State 3–0. Nebraska have won their last 3 league games. Boise State have won their last 3 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Nebraska are 9th at 86.7 and Boise State 63rd at 72.2.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Nebraska the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Nebraska at 79% against our 82%.
  • 3Power Index: Nebraska 9th, Boise State 63rd.
  • 4Nebraska: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Boise State: W-W-W in the last 3.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 82%)

The CourtFrame model has Nebraska winning 82% of the time, by 9.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 58–85%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Sun, Nov 15
Time
1:00 PM EST