CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Memphis vs Louisville

Prediction & preview · Sunday, November 15, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Louisville

Projected margin: Louisville by 8.5

79%Win probability
Memphis 21%Bookmakers 24–7679% Louisville

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Louisville
  • Elo
    55%
  • Logistic
    63%
  • Logistic v2
    64%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    64%
  • Gradient boosting
    64%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    66%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    79%
  • LLM panel
    84%

Bookmakers: Louisville 76%

Power Index

Memphis69.3↑1.8#67
Louisville77.8↑1.3#30
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Memphis2–1
WWL
4 days rest
Louisville2–0
LWW

Game Preview

Memphis host Louisville on Sunday, November 15 in the NCAA. Memphis are 2–1 this season, Louisville 2–0. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Memphis are 67th at 69.3 and Louisville 30th at 77.8.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Louisville the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Louisville at 76% against our 79%.
  • 3Power Index: Louisville 30th, Memphis 67th.
  • 4Memphis: W-W-L in the last 3.
  • 5Louisville: L-W-W in the last 3 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 79%)

The CourtFrame model has Louisville winning 79% of the time, by 8.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 55–84%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

Memphis
  • OUT
    Zach Edey
    Ankle Injury Management
  • OUT
    Scotty Pippen Jr.
    Lumbar Disc Herniation
  • OUT
    Quinten Post
    Concussion Protocol
  • OUT
    Richie Saunders
    Knee Surgery

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Matchup Insights

Injury ImpactSignificant

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Sun, Nov 15
Time
1:00 PM EST