CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Iowa State vs Niagara

Prediction & preview · Sunday, November 15, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Iowa State

Projected margin: Iowa State by 25.5

92%Win probability
Iowa State 92%8% Niagara

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Iowa State
  • Elo
    93%
  • Logistic
    95%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    96%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    96%
  • Gradient boosting
    96%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    96%
  • LLM panel
    80%

Power Index

Iowa State52.9↑0.1#177
Niagara5.6↑5.6#344
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Iowa State2–1
WLLWW
4 days rest
Niagara0–3
LLL
2 days rest

Game Preview

Iowa State host Niagara on Sunday, November 15 in the NCAA. Iowa State are 2–1 this season, Niagara 0–3. Niagara have lost their last 3 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Iowa State are 177th at 52.9 and Niagara 344th at 5.6.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Iowa State the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Iowa State 177th, Niagara 344th.
  • 3Iowa State: W-L-L-W-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Niagara: L-L-L in the last 3.
  • 5Rest: Iowa State 4 days, Niagara 2 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 92%)

The CourtFrame model has Iowa State winning 92% of the time, by 25.5 points. Across our 7 models the range is 80–96%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeHome Advantage
Home/Away Win%66.7% / 0%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Sun, Nov 15
Time
1:00 PM EST