CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

American University vs Harvard

Prediction & preview · Sunday, November 15, 2026

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

American University

Projected margin: American University by 0.5

50%Win probability
American University 50%Bookmakers 50–5050% Harvard

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models7 of 8 favour American University
  • Elo
    53%
  • Logistic
    53%
  • Logistic v2
    54%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    54%
  • Gradient boosting
    53%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    52%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    50%
  • LLM panel
    49%

Bookmakers: American University 50%

Power Index

American University35.0↑5.1#279
Harvard52.1↑2.8#184
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

American University1–2
LLW
3 days rest
Harvard2–2
WWLL
Back-to-back

Game Preview

American University host Harvard on Sunday, November 15 in the NCAA. American University are 1–2 this season, Harvard 2–2. In the CourtFrame Power Index, American University are 279th at 35.0 and Harvard 184th at 52.1. Harvard play the second night of a back-to-back.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 8 CourtFrame models make American University the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: American University at 50% against our 50%.
  • 3Power Index: Harvard 184th, American University 279th.
  • 4American University: L-L-W in the last 3.
  • 5Harvard: W-W-L-L in the last 4.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 50%)

The CourtFrame model has American University winning 50% of the time, by 0.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 49–54%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeHome Advantage

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Sun, Nov 15
Time
1:00 PM EST