CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Pacific vs Air Force

Prediction & preview · Sunday, November 15, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Pacific

Projected margin: Pacific by 12.5

86%Win probability
Pacific 86%Bookmakers 83–1714% Air Force

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Pacific
  • Elo
    82%
  • Logistic
    80%
  • Logistic v2
    80%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    80%
  • Gradient boosting
    79%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    80%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    86%
  • LLM panel
    54%

Bookmakers: Pacific 83%

Power Index

Pacific51.0↑0.5#195
Air Force68.6↑3.3#71
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Pacific2–1
WWL
3 days rest
Air Force3–1
LWWW
4 days rest

Game Preview

Pacific host Air Force on Sunday, November 15 in the NCAA. Pacific are 2–1 this season, Air Force 3–1. Air Force have won their last 3 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Pacific are 195th at 51.0 and Air Force 71st at 68.6.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Pacific the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Pacific at 83% against our 86%.
  • 3Power Index: Air Force 71st, Pacific 195th.
  • 4Pacific: W-W-L in the last 3.
  • 5Air Force: L-W-W-W in the last 4.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 86%)

The CourtFrame model has Pacific winning 86% of the time, by 12.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 54–86%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%100% / 0%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Sun, Nov 15
Time
4:00 PM EST