CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Michigan State vs Northern Iowa

Prediction & preview · Friday, November 13, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Michigan State

Projected margin: Michigan State by 13.0

86%Win probability
Michigan State 86%Bookmakers 94–614% Northern Iowa

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Michigan State
  • Elo
    79%
  • Logistic
    79%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    86%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    86%
  • Gradient boosting
    84%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    83%
  • LLM panel
    92%

Bookmakers: Michigan State 94%

Power Index

Michigan State80.0↓9.5#15
Northern Iowa63.3↓7.6#81
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Michigan State3–0
WLWWW
3 days rest
Northern Iowa2–1
LWLW
3 days rest

Game Preview

Michigan State host Northern Iowa on Friday, November 13 in the NCAA. Michigan State are 3–0 this season, Northern Iowa 2–1. Michigan State have won their last 3 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Michigan State are 15th at 80.0 and Northern Iowa 81st at 63.3.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Michigan State the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers price Michigan State at 94%, 8 points above our 86%.
  • 3Power Index: Michigan State 15th, Northern Iowa 81st.
  • 4Michigan State: W-L-W-W-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Northern Iowa: L-W-L-W in the last 4 league games.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 86%)

The CourtFrame model has Michigan State winning 86% of the time, by 13.0 points. Across our 7 models the range is 79–92%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%100% / 0%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Fri, Nov 13
Time
7:00 PM EST