CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Illinois vs Sam Houston St.

Prediction & preview · Friday, November 13, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Illinois

Projected margin: Illinois by 18.0

90%Win probability
Illinois 90%Bookmakers 94–610% Sam Houston St.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

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Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Illinois
  • Elo
    81%
  • Logistic
    82%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    90%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    90%
  • Gradient boosting
    91%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    90%
  • LLM panel
    92%

Bookmakers: Illinois 94%

Power Index

Illinois56.6↓9.5#130
Sam Houston St.63.7↓1.4#78
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Illinois2–1
WLWWL
3 days rest
Sam Houston St.2–1
LWW
2 days rest

Game Preview

Illinois host Sam Houston St. on Friday, November 13 in the NCAA. Illinois are 2–1 this season, Sam Houston St. 2–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Illinois are 130th at 56.6 and Sam Houston St. 78th at 63.7.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Illinois the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Illinois at 94% against our 90%.
  • 3Power Index: Sam Houston St. 78th, Illinois 130th.
  • 4Illinois: W-L-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Sam Houston St.: L-W-W in the last 3.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 90%)

The CourtFrame model has Illinois winning 90% of the time, by 18.0 points. Across our 7 models the range is 81–92%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeHome Advantage
Home/Away Win%100% / 0%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Fri, Nov 13
Time
7:00 PM EST