CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Southern Illinois vs Richmond Spiders

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

Richmond Spiders

Projected margin: Richmond Spiders by 3.5

61%Win probability
Southern Illinois 39%Bookmakers 40–6061% Richmond Spiders

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models6 of 8 favour Richmond Spiders
  • Elo
    36%
  • Logistic
    42%
  • Logistic v2
    62%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    62%
  • Gradient boosting
    58%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    61%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    61%
  • LLM panel
    71%

Bookmakers: Richmond Spiders 60%

Power Index

Southern Illinois43.4↑10.4#232
Richmond Spiders81.3↑9.0#43
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Southern Illinois1–1
WL
6 days rest
Richmond Spiders3–0
WWW
5 days rest

Game Preview

Southern Illinois host Richmond Spiders on Thursday, November 12 in the NCAA. Southern Illinois are 1–1 this season, Richmond Spiders 3–0. Richmond Spiders have won their last 3 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Southern Illinois are 232nd at 43.4 and Richmond Spiders 43rd at 81.3.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 16 of 8 CourtFrame models make Richmond Spiders the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Richmond Spiders at 60% against our 61%.
  • 3Power Index: Richmond Spiders 43rd, Southern Illinois 232nd.
  • 4Richmond Spiders: W-W-W in the last 3.
  • 5Rest: Southern Illinois 6 days, Richmond Spiders 5 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 61%)

The CourtFrame model has Richmond Spiders winning 61% of the time, by 3.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 36–71%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%100% / 100%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Thu, Nov 12
Time
8:00 PM EST