CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

West Virginia vs Mercer

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026

CourtFrame model · Lean

West Virginia

Projected margin: West Virginia by 6.7

68%Win probability
West Virginia 68%Bookmakers 95–532% Mercer

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

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7 Models7 of 7 favour West Virginia
  • Elo
    71%
  • Logistic
    73%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    68%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    68%
  • Gradient boosting
    68%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    68%
  • LLM panel
    92%

Bookmakers: West Virginia 95%

Power Index

West Virginia50.0↑5.6#198
Mercer54.2↑13.4#179
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

West Virginia2–0
WW
6 days rest
Mercer2–2
WLLW
2 days rest

Game Preview

West Virginia host Mercer on Thursday, November 12 in the NCAA. West Virginia are 2–0 this season, Mercer 2–2. In the CourtFrame Power Index, West Virginia are 198th at 50.0 and Mercer 179th at 54.2.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make West Virginia the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers price West Virginia at 95%, 27 points above our 68%.
  • 3Power Index: Mercer 179th, West Virginia 198th.
  • 4Mercer: W-L-L-W in the last 4.
  • 5Rest: West Virginia 6 days, Mercer 2 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 68%)

The CourtFrame model has West Virginia winning 68% of the time, by 6.7 points. Across our 7 models the range is 68–92%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeHome Advantage
Home/Away Win%100% / 33.3%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Thu, Nov 12
Time
7:00 PM EST