CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

Western Illinois vs CSU Bakersfield

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

CSU Bakersfield

Projected margin: CSU Bakersfield by 9.5

80%Win probability
Western Illinois 20%Bookmakers 23–7780% CSU Bakersfield

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models5 of 8 favour CSU Bakersfield
  • Elo
    46%
  • Logistic
    52%
  • Logistic v2
    46%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    46%
  • Gradient boosting
    53%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    51%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    80%
  • LLM panel
    76%

Bookmakers: CSU Bakersfield 77%

Power Index

Western Illinois42.2↑4.7#237
CSU Bakersfield68.8↑7.6#100
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Western Illinois1–2
LLW
3 days rest
CSU Bakersfield2–0
WW
5 days rest

Game Preview

Western Illinois host CSU Bakersfield on Thursday, November 12 in the NCAA. Western Illinois are 1–2 this season, CSU Bakersfield 2–0. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Western Illinois are 237th at 42.2 and CSU Bakersfield 100th at 68.8.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 15 of 8 CourtFrame models make CSU Bakersfield the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: CSU Bakersfield at 77% against our 80%.
  • 3Power Index: CSU Bakersfield 100th, Western Illinois 237th.
  • 4Western Illinois: L-L-W in the last 3.
  • 5Rest: CSU Bakersfield 5 days, Western Illinois 3 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 80%)

The CourtFrame model has CSU Bakersfield winning 80% of the time, by 9.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 46–80%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Thu, Nov 12
Time
7:00 PM EST