CourtFrame
Pricing
NBA

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026 • Capital One Arena

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Detroit Pistons

Projected margin: Detroit Pistons by 10.0

79%Win probability
Washington Wizards 21%Bookmakers 23–7779% Detroit Pistons

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Detroit Pistons
  • Elo
    83%
  • Logistic
    88%
  • Logistic v2
    89%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    90%
  • Gradient boosting
    91%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    90%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    79%
  • LLM panel
    74%

Bookmakers: Detroit Pistons 77%

Power Index

Washington Wizards18.3↓8.8#23
Detroit Pistons88.8↓10.0#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Washington Wizards4–8
LLLLL
Back-to-back
Detroit Pistons7–3
WWLLW
3 days rest

Game Preview

Washington Wizards host Detroit Pistons at Capital One Arena on Thursday, November 12 in the NBA. Washington Wizards are 4–8 this season, Detroit Pistons 7–3. Washington Wizards have lost their last 5 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Washington Wizards are 23rd at 18.3 and Detroit Pistons 2nd at 88.8. Washington Wizards play the second night of a back-to-back.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Detroit Pistons the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Detroit Pistons at 77% against our 79%.
  • 3Power Index: Detroit Pistons 2nd, Washington Wizards 23rd.
  • 4Washington Wizards: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
  • 5Detroit Pistons: W-W-L-L-W in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 79%)

The CourtFrame model has Detroit Pistons winning 79% of the time, by 10.0 points. Across our 8 models the range is 74–91%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

Washington Wizards
  • OUT
    Reece Beekman
    AC Joint Injury
  • OUT
    Justin Champagnie
    Foot Surgery
  • OUT
    Tristan Vukcevic
    Hip Impingement
  • OUT
    Jamir Watkins
    ACL Repair / Surgery
Detroit Pistons
  • OUT
    Jalen Duren
    Hamstring Strain
  • OUT
    Isaiah Joe
    Hip Contusion

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Matchup Insights

Pace
Slow vs Fast99.1 vs 106.8
Injury ImpactCritical
Schedule EdgeAway Advantage
Home/Away Win%50% / 80%

Game Info

League
NBA
Date
Thu, Nov 12
Time
7:00 PM EST
Venue
Capital One Arena
Stage
Regular season