Prediction
How it works · Track recordCourtFrame model · Clear favourite
Penn State
Projected margin: Penn State by 20.5
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.
Where the value is on this game
Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.
- Elo65%
- Logistic64%
- Logistic v265%
- Logistic v2 + players65%
- Gradient boosting62%
- Gradient boosting + players62%
- v3 · market consensusPub98%
- LLM panel92%
Bookmakers: Penn State 94%
Power Index
Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings
Form · Last 5
Game Preview
Penn State host Mercyhurst Lakers on Thursday, November 12 in the NCAA. Penn State are 2–1 this season, Mercyhurst Lakers 1–2. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Penn State are 145th at 60.6 and Mercyhurst Lakers 236th at 42.2.
Key Factors to Watch
- 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Penn State the favourite.
- 2Bookmakers agree: Penn State at 94% against our 92%.
- 3Power Index: Penn State 145th, Mercyhurst Lakers 236th.
- 4Penn State: W-W-L in the last 3.
- 5Mercyhurst Lakers: L-L-W in the last 3.
Model Outlook(Win probability: 92%)
The CourtFrame model has Penn State winning 92% of the time, by 20.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 62–98%.
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works
Matchup Insights
Game Info
- League
- NCAA
- Date
- Thu, Nov 12
- Time
- 6:30 PM EST