Prediction
How it works · Track recordCourtFrame model · Clear favourite
UMBC Retrievers
Projected margin: UMBC Retrievers by 6.5
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.
Where the value is on this game
Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.
- Elo78%
- Logistic70%
- Logistic v269%
- Logistic v2 + players68%
- Gradient boosting73%
- Gradient boosting + players73%
- v3 · market consensusPub72%
- LLM panel51%
Bookmakers: UMBC Retrievers 70%
Power Index
Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings
Form · Last 5
Game Preview
UMBC Retrievers host Morgan State on Thursday, November 12 in the NCAA. UMBC Retrievers are 1–2 this season, Morgan State 3–0. Morgan State have won their last 3 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, UMBC Retrievers are 269th at 33.8 and Morgan State 204th at 50.0.
Key Factors to Watch
- 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make UMBC Retrievers the favourite.
- 2Bookmakers agree: UMBC Retrievers at 70% against our 72%.
- 3Power Index: Morgan State 204th, UMBC Retrievers 269th.
- 4UMBC Retrievers: L-L-W in the last 3.
- 5Morgan State: W-W-W in the last 3.
Model Outlook(Win probability: 72%)
The CourtFrame model has UMBC Retrievers winning 72% of the time, by 6.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 51–78%.
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works
Matchup Insights
Game Info
- League
- NCAA
- Date
- Thu, Nov 12
- Time
- 6:00 PM EST