CourtFrame
Pricing
Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica vs Bigua

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026 • Union Atletica

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Bigua

Projected margin: Bigua by 6.0

71%Win probability
Union Atletica 29%Bookmakers 33–6771% Bigua

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models7 of 8 favour Bigua
  • Elo
    46%
  • Logistic
    56%
  • Logistic v2
    59%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    58%
  • Gradient boosting
    60%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    60%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    71%
  • LLM panel
    79%

Bookmakers: Bigua 67%

Power Index

Union Atletica1.6↑1.1#11
Bigua82.5↓2.9#2
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Union Atletica1–5
LLLLL
2 days rest
Bigua5–1
WWWLW
2 days rest

Game Preview

Union Atletica host Bigua at Union Atletica on Thursday, November 12 in the Liga Uruguaya. Union Atletica are 1–5 this season, Bigua 5–1. Union Atletica have lost their last 5 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Union Atletica are 11th at 1.6 and Bigua 2nd at 82.5.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 8 CourtFrame models make Bigua the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Bigua at 67% against our 71%.
  • 3Power Index: Bigua 2nd, Union Atletica 11th.
  • 4Union Atletica: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
  • 5Bigua: W-W-W-L-W in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 71%)

The CourtFrame model has Bigua winning 71% of the time, by 6.0 points. Across our 8 models the range is 46–79%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Fast vs Slow88.3 vs 82.0
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%0% / 50%

Game Info

Date
Thu, Nov 12
Time
10:15 PM UTC
Venue
Union Atletica