CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

George Mason vs UMKC

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

George Mason

Projected margin: George Mason by 15.0

92%Win probability
George Mason 92%Bookmakers 90–108% UMKC

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour George Mason
  • Elo
    89%
  • Logistic
    91%
  • Logistic v2
    92%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    92%
  • Gradient boosting
    92%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    92%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    93%
  • LLM panel
    88%

Bookmakers: George Mason 90%

Power Index

George Mason75.0↑8.3#53
UMKC40.0↑8.5#244
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

George Mason2–0
WW
5 days rest
UMKC2–2
LWLW
Back-to-back

Game Preview

George Mason host UMKC on Thursday, November 12 in the NCAA. George Mason are 2–0 this season, UMKC 2–2. In the CourtFrame Power Index, George Mason are 53rd at 75.0 and UMKC 244th at 40.0. UMKC play the second night of a back-to-back.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make George Mason the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: George Mason at 90% against our 92%.
  • 3Power Index: George Mason 53rd, UMKC 244th.
  • 4UMKC: L-W-L-W in the last 4.
  • 5Rest: George Mason 5 days, UMKC a back-to-back.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 92%)

The CourtFrame model has George Mason winning 92% of the time, by 15.0 points. Across our 8 models the range is 88–93%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeHome Advantage
Home/Away Win%100% / 33.3%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Thu, Nov 12
Time
3:00 PM EST