CourtFrame
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Euroleague

Valencia vs Bayern

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026 • Roig Arena

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Valencia

Projected margin: Valencia by 9.0

80%Win probability
Valencia 80%Bookmakers 77–2320% Bayern

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Valencia
  • Elo
    79%
  • Logistic
    86%
  • Logistic v2
    86%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    85%
  • Gradient boosting
    89%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    89%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    80%
  • LLM panel
    82%

Bookmakers: Valencia 77%

Power Index

Valencia73.5↓0.4#9
Bayern27.8↑0.3#17
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Valencia7–3
LWWLW
4 days rest
Bayern3–7
LLLLW
7 days rest

Game Preview

Valencia host Bayern at Roig Arena on Thursday, November 12 in the Euroleague. Valencia are 7–3 this season, Bayern 3–7. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Valencia are 9th at 73.5 and Bayern 17th at 27.8.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Valencia the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Valencia at 77% against our 80%.
  • 3Power Index: Valencia 9th, Bayern 17th.
  • 4Valencia: L-W-W-L-W in the last 5.
  • 5Bayern: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 80%)

The CourtFrame model has Valencia winning 80% of the time, by 9.0 points. Across our 8 models the range is 79–89%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Similar Pace87.8 vs 85.6
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%60% / 50%

Game Info

Date
Thu, Nov 12
Time
7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Roig Arena
Stage
Regular season · Round 11

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