CourtFrame
Pricing
Euroleague

Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas

Prediction & preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026 • Unipol Forum

CourtFrame model · Lean

Zalgiris Kaunas

Projected margin: Zalgiris Kaunas by 2.0

55%Win probability
Olimpia Milano 45%Bookmakers 45–5555% Zalgiris Kaunas

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Zalgiris Kaunas
  • Elo
    59%
  • Logistic
    70%
  • Logistic v2
    73%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    73%
  • Gradient boosting
    73%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    70%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    55%
  • LLM panel
    69%

Bookmakers: Zalgiris Kaunas 55%

Power Index

Olimpia Milano9.0↑0.6#19
Zalgiris Kaunas82.3↓0.2#6
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Olimpia Milano1–9
LLLLL
7 days rest
Zalgiris Kaunas6–4
LWWWW
6 days rest

Game Preview

Olimpia Milano host Zalgiris Kaunas at Unipol Forum on Thursday, November 12 in the Euroleague. Olimpia Milano are 1–9 this season, Zalgiris Kaunas 6–4. Olimpia Milano have lost their last 5 games. Zalgiris Kaunas have won their last 4 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Olimpia Milano are 19th at 9.0 and Zalgiris Kaunas 6th at 82.3.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Zalgiris Kaunas the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: Zalgiris Kaunas at 55% against our 55%.
  • 3Power Index: Zalgiris Kaunas 6th, Olimpia Milano 19th.
  • 4Olimpia Milano: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5.
  • 5Zalgiris Kaunas: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 55%)

The CourtFrame model has Zalgiris Kaunas winning 55% of the time, by 2.0 points. Across our 8 models the range is 55–73%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Pace
Similar Pace84.9 vs 81.9
Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%20% / 66.7%

Game Info

Date
Thu, Nov 12
Time
7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Unipol Forum
Stage
Regular season · Round 11