CourtFrame
Pricing
NCAA

NC Wilmington vs Kent State

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, November 11, 2026

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

NC Wilmington

Projected margin: NC Wilmington by 7.0

73%Win probability
NC Wilmington 73%Bookmakers 71–2927% Kent State

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour NC Wilmington
  • Elo
    70%
  • Logistic
    72%
  • Logistic v2
    74%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    74%
  • Gradient boosting
    69%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    69%
  • v3 · market consensusPub
    73%
  • LLM panel
    75%

Bookmakers: NC Wilmington 71%

Power Index

NC Wilmington77.8↓6.2#24
Kent State44.8↓15.6#190
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

NC Wilmington2–0
WW
5 days rest
Kent State1–1
LW
5 days rest

Game Preview

NC Wilmington host Kent State on Wednesday, November 11 in the NCAA. NC Wilmington are 2–0 this season, Kent State 1–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, NC Wilmington are 24th at 77.8 and Kent State 190th at 44.8.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make NC Wilmington the favourite.
  • 2Bookmakers agree: NC Wilmington at 71% against our 73%.
  • 3Power Index: NC Wilmington 24th, Kent State 190th.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 73%)

The CourtFrame model has NC Wilmington winning 73% of the time, by 7.0 points. Across our 8 models the range is 69–75%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Matchup Insights

Schedule EdgeEven
Home/Away Win%100% / 0%

Game Info

League
NCAA
Date
Wed, Nov 11
Time
7:00 PM EST