Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 • Scotiabank Arena

Boston Celtics

Away

See how the model expects this to go

Prediction

How it works · Track record

CourtFrame model · Clear favourite

Boston Celtics

Projected margin: Boston Celtics by 7.5

73%Win probability

Toronto Raptors 27%Bookmakers 29–7173% Boston Celtics

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

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8 Models8 of 8 favour Boston Celtics

Elo
63%
Logistic
70%
Logistic v2
60%
Logistic v2 + players
72%
Gradient boosting
64%
Gradient boosting + players
74%
v3 · market consensusPub
73%
LLM panel
72%

Bookmakers: Boston Celtics 71%

Power Index

Toronto Raptors43.5↓2.7#19

Boston Celtics100.0↑7.1#1

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5

Toronto Raptors5–5

LWLWL

2 days rest

Boston Celtics9–2

LWWWW

Back-to-back

Game Preview

Toronto Raptors host Boston Celtics at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday, November 11 in the NBA. Toronto Raptors are 5–5 this season, Boston Celtics 9–2. Boston Celtics have won their last 4 games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Toronto Raptors are 19th at 43.5 and Boston Celtics 1st at 100.0. Boston Celtics play the second night of a back-to-back.

Key Factors to Watch

18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Boston Celtics the favourite.
2Bookmakers agree: Boston Celtics at 71% against our 73%.
3Power Index: Boston Celtics 1st, Toronto Raptors 19th.
4Toronto Raptors: L-W-L-W-L in the last 5.
5Boston Celtics: L-W-W-W-W in the last 5.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 73%)

The CourtFrame model has Boston Celtics winning 73% of the time, by 7.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 60–74%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

Toronto Raptors

OUT
Nate Bittle
Avulsion Fracture
OUT
Kawhi Leonard
Knee Injury Management
OUT
Scottie Barnes
Groin Strain
OUT
Nate Bittle
Avulsion Fracture Jackson-
OUT
Kawhi Leonard
Knee Injury Management Murray-
GTD
Scottie Barnes
Groin Strain
GTD
Immanuel Quickley
Hamstring Tightness / Soreness
GTD
Trayce Davis
Illness
GTD
Collin Boyles
Illness
GTD
Immanuel Quickley
Hamstring Injury Management

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Matchup Insights

Pace

Fast vs Slow120.1 vs 108.2

Injury ImpactCritical

Schedule EdgeAway Advantage

Home/Away Win%50% / 66.7%

Game Info

League: NBA
Date: Wed, Nov 11
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Stage: Regular season

Team Pages

Toronto Raptors

Boston Celtics