Prediction
How it works · Track recordCourtFrame model · Clear favourite
Defensor
Projected margin: Defensor by 12.5
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.
Where the value is on this game
Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.
- Elo65%
- Logistic62%
- Logistic v275%
- Logistic v2 + players75%
- Gradient boosting75%
- Gradient boosting + players78%
- v3 · market consensusPub89%
- LLM panel84%
Bookmakers: Defensor 85%
Power Index
Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings
Form · Last 5 · incl. last season
Game Preview
Defensor host Larranaga at Welcome on Wednesday, November 11 in the Liga Uruguaya. Defensor are 2–2 this season, Larranaga 2–3. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Defensor are 5th at 56.8 and Larranaga 8th at 36.7.
Key Factors to Watch
- 18 of 8 CourtFrame models make Defensor the favourite.
- 2Bookmakers agree: Defensor at 85% against our 89%.
- 3Power Index: Defensor 5th, Larranaga 8th.
- 4Defensor: L-W-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
- 5Larranaga: L-L-W-L-W in the last 5.
Model Outlook(Win probability: 89%)
The CourtFrame model has Defensor winning 89% of the time, by 12.5 points. Across our 8 models the range is 62–89%.
Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works
Matchup Insights
Game Info
- League
- Liga Uruguaya
- Date
- Wed, Nov 11
- Time
- 10:15 PM UTC
- Venue
- Welcome